US · BLD
TopBuild Corp.
- Sector
- Industrials · Engineering & Construction
- Headquarters
- Daytona Beach, FL 32114
- Website
- topbuild.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$438.98
Market cap 12.58B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $346.16 | -21.14% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $178.87 | -59.25% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $67.30 | -84.67% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $176.89 | -59.7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $3.75 | |||
| 2015 | $29.20 | $27.54 | $1.42 | $0.00 | $31.08 |
| 2016 | $44.48 | $50.46 | $0.00 | $7.72 | $30.09 |
| 2017 | $77.51 | $70.42 | $0.00 | $19.80 | $75.51 |
| 2018 | $63.72 | $77.85 | $518.96 | $10.93 | $123.65 |
| 2019 | $106.70 | $104.98 | $279.25 | $21.89 | $99.97 |
| 2020 | $199.05 | $170.50 | $6.16 | $35.64 | $86.85 |
| 2021 | $216.12 | $192.60 | $561.93 | $39.84 | $346.76 |
| 2022 | $192.86 | $218.34 | $4,303.73 | $85.14 | $860.12 |
| 2023 | $407.25 | $299.34 | $2,273.85 | $113.77 | $228.88 |
| 2024 | $308.06 | $288.69 | $528.97 | $105.24 | $216.71 |
| 2025 | $438.95 | $346.16 | $4.03 | $67.30 | $176.89 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates TopBuild Corp.'s (BLD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $346.16
- Current price
- $438.98
- AI upside
- -21.14%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$178.87
-59.25% upside
Graham-Dodd
$67.30
-84.67% upside
Graham Formula
$176.89
-59.7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| BLD | TopBuild Corp. | $438.98 | 12.58B | -21% | -59% | -85% | -60% | 23.50 | 5.29 | 2.27 | 14.04 | — | -5.89 | 29.01% | 14.64% | 9.65% | 23.06% | 13.55% | 9.20% | 1.36 | 3.75 | 1.94 | 1.28 | 2.74 | -996.00% | 149.00% | -139.00% | 5.68% | 0.90 | 16.08% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.54% | 19.23 | 21.85 | 2.81 | 3.82 |
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource, Inc… | $104.29 | 11.53B | -1% | -62% | -79% | -96% | 25.45 | 2.54 | 0.73 | 12.01 | — | -11.43 | 30.39% | 5.18% | 2.86% | 10.06% | 7.30% | 3.99% | 1.30 | 2.87 | 1.86 | 1.08 | 3.97 | -5706.00% | -738.00% | -4281.00% | 7.71% | 0.77 | 9.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.74% | 21.04 | 19.38 | 1.09 | 2.71 |
| ERJ | Embraer S.A. | $64.52 | 11.85B | -17% | +318% | -59% | -15% | 26.40 | 3.04 | 1.46 | 9.63 | 22.34 | 16.35 | 18.03% | 10.44% | 5.51% | 12.10% | 11.98% | 3.14% | 0.85 | 3.14 | 1.47 | 0.75 | 1.03 | 11818.00% | 2138.00% | 11751.00% | 4.33% | 0.20 | 11.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.35% | 14.62 | 24.10 | 1.53 | 1.60 |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Indust… | $444.52 | 17.44B | -36% | -57% | -87% | -45% | 29.47 | 3.51 | 1.43 | 16.68 | 287.73 | 10.31 | 12.70% | 4.87% | 4.85% | 12.42% | 6.45% | 4.86% | 0.62 | 5.79 | 1.13 | 1.04 | 1.96 | 1024.00% | 823.00% | 295385.00% | 4.45% | 0.39 | 10.81% | 1.19% | 35.20% | 2.34% | 33.23 | 25.45 | 1.62 | 3.17 |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | $71.62 | 14.58B | -6% | -61% | — | -74% | 18.01 | -78.43 | 1.93 | 12.56 | 677.18 | -14.39 | 35.53% | 16.82% | 10.71% | -347.64% | 39.22% | 15.86% | -18.47 | 12.59 | 1.81 | 1.06 | 2.02 | 266.00% | -340.00% | -452.00% | 5.94% | 0.65 | 35.33% | 1.79% | 32.20% | 5.70% | 13.66 | 20.07 | 2.30 | 4.08 |
| MLI | Mueller Industries, Inc. | $117.96 | 13.1B | +6% | -49% | -64% | +10% | 16.98 | 5.21 | 3.11 | 10.69 | 58.65 | 5.21 | 27.38% | 21.42% | 18.31% | 29.05% | 46.79% | 24.26% | 0.02 | 8289.37 | 5.92 | 4.52 | -1.21 | 2895.00% | 1087.00% | 2138.00% | 5.29% | 1.83 | 47.36% | 0.84% | 14.30% | 5.15% | 13.01 | 16.97 | 2.79 | 18.85 |
| OC | Owens Corning | $122.07 | 10.03B | -33% | -61% | — | — | -18.66 | 2.53 | 0.96 | 15.94 | — | -26.98 | 28.54% | 17.02% | -5.17% | -11.69% | 6.88% | -3.86% | 1.60 | 6.72 | 1.26 | 0.48 | 5.95 | -18505.00% | -795.00% | -2273.00% | 9.88% | 0.67 | 9.63% | 2.38% | -44.40% | 10.75% | 9.04 | 16.15 | 1.54 | 2.40 |
| STN | Stantec Inc. | $92.77 | 10.58B | -20% | -34% | -94% | -47% | 30.89 | 4.57 | 1.82 | 16.16 | 95.08 | -25.72 | 39.01% | 9.19% | 5.89% | 15.49% | 10.86% | 6.43% | 0.97 | 6.40 | 1.23 | 1.19 | 2.52 | 3249.00% | 850.00% | 5679.00% | 5.34% | 0.38 | 14.77% | 0.68% | 21.10% | 0.68% | 23.45 | 22.18 | 2.15 | 3.60 |
| STRL | Sterling Infrastructure, … | $428.13 | 13.15B | -34% | +579% | -85% | -45% | 42.69 | 11.93 | 5.31 | 26.08 | 318.02 | -420.96 | 22.09% | 16.64% | 11.65% | 32.32% | 39.74% | 13.27% | 0.32 | 20.94 | 1.01 | 0.87 | -0.08 | 1342.00% | 1769.00% | -1285.00% | 2.74% | 0.43 | 45.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.56% | 31.82 | 36.34 | 5.29 | 7.13 |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | $289.50 | 14.09B | -16% | -59% | -78% | -30% | 22.79 | 2.91 | 0.62 | 14.91 | — | -180.79 | 20.31% | 5.24% | 2.72% | 12.85% | 8.47% | 4.07% | 1.49 | 3.19 | 2.20 | 1.21 | 4.77 | 0.00% | 776.00% | -9750.00% | 0.17% | 0.03 | 0.23% | 0.79% | 18.00% | 4.99% | 17.46 | 854.13 | 0.92 | 3.28 |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems… | $171.34 | 13.35B | -40% | -70% | -82% | -69% | 19.64 | 5.49 | 3.06 | 11.41 | — | 19.76 | 37.68% | 22.64% | 15.50% | 31.43% | 21.16% | 13.01% | 0.89 | 7.16 | 3.33 | 2.00 | 1.14 | -1070.00% | 104.00% | -3100.00% | 4.15% | 1.46 | 15.56% | 0.56% | 11.00% | 1.35% | 15.01 | 26.78 | 3.40 | 4.84 |
About TopBuild Corp.
TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, afterpaint products, fireproofing products, garage doors, fireplaces, closet shelving, roofing materials, and other products; and insulation installation services. The company also offers various services and tools to assist builders in applying the principles of building science to new home construction, which include pre-construction plan reviews, diagnostic testing, and various inspection services; and home energy rating services. In addition, it distributes building and mechanical insulation, insulation accessories, and other building product materials for the residential, commercial, and industrial end markets. The company serves single-family homebuilders, single-family custom builders, multi-family builders, commercial general contractors, remodelers, and individual homeowners, as well as insulation contractors, gutter contractors, weatherization contractors, other contractors, dealers, metal building erectors, and modular home builders. It operates approximately 235 installation branches and 175 distribution centers in the United States and Canada. The company was formerly known as Masco SpinCo Corp. and changed its name to TopBuild Corp. in March 2015. TopBuild Corp. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Daytona Beach, Florida.
- CEO
- Robert Buck
- Employees
- 13.98K
- Beta
- 1.72
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($178.87 ÷ $438.98) − 1 = -59.25% (DCF, example).