US · BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- New York City, NY 10154
- Website
- blackstonemortgagetrust.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$19.07
Market cap 3.24B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $82.77 | +334.03% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.86 | -58.78% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.18 | $821.28 | $0.00 | $520.87 | |
| 2012 | $7.89 | $753.34 | $206.92 | $104.08 | |
| 2013 | $9.87 | $30.78 | $50.37 | $36.52 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $10.30 | $45.09 | $0.00 | $13.47 | $376.06 |
| 2015 | $10.52 | $44.90 | $0.00 | $11.89 | $289.99 |
| 2016 | $13.04 | $54.15 | $0.00 | $2.06 | $61.24 |
| 2017 | $14.88 | $51.12 | $0.00 | $4.94 | $2.39 |
| 2018 | $17.16 | $133.81 | $0.00 | $5.54 | $94.12 |
| 2019 | $19.71 | $71.50 | $0.00 | $3.66 | $34.83 |
| 2020 | $19.29 | $77.39 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $9.56 |
| 2021 | $20.50 | $129.20 | $0.00 | $7.42 | $72.77 |
| 2022 | $13.48 | $125.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $42.51 |
| 2023 | $16.29 | $116.37 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $20.90 |
| 2024 | $18.52 | $98.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $19.65 | $82.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s (BXMT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $82.77
- Current price
- $19.07
- AI upside
- +334.03%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.86
-58.78% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust… | $19.07 | 3.24B | +334% | -59% | — | — | — | 0.96 | 2.21 | 16.36 | — | 0.99 | 76.86% | 71.65% | 7.20% | 0.00% | 5.49% | 0.00% | 4.62 | 1.10 | 8.71 | 8.71 | 13.48 | -15470.00% | -1396.00% | -2460.00% | 8.21% | 0.13 | 1.44% | 9.61% | — | 12.87% | 17.51 | 69.18 | 12.55 | 1.21 |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $7.93 | 1.55B | +413% | +119% | +122% | — | 10.50 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 1.36 | — | 0.58 | -58.87% | 19.47% | 98.00% | 5.28% | 0.28% | 1.13% | 0.00 | 0.03 | — | — | -0.56 | -5254.00% | -8253.00% | -1931.00% | 22.47% | — | 4.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 604.87% | 55.02 | 3.15 | 10.72 | 0.13 |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | $31.78 | 3.6B | -4% | -57% | -36% | -60% | 22.64 | 2.38 | 4.73 | 15.04 | 253.15 | 2.42 | 15.43% | 30.16% | 19.94% | 10.61% | 5.80% | 3.56% | 1.86 | 2.66 | 5.51 | 5.51 | 6.21 | 894.00% | 141.00% | 344.00% | 8.58% | 3.34 | 7.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 26.70 | 19.84 | 8.05 | 1.13 |
| HIW | Highwoods Properties, Inc… | $22.49 | 2.47B | +2% | -57% | — | -62% | 33151.75 | 1.03 | 3.04 | 9.94 | 61103.23 | 1.15 | 67.58% | 25.99% | 19.80% | 0.00% | 3.61% | 0.00% | 1.53 | 1.37 | 42.45 | 43.83 | 5.92 | 5426.00% | -239.00% | -5873.00% | 6.79% | 41.73 | 2.87% | 8.93% | 296063.50% | 9.02% | 28.94 | 36.40 | 7.52 | 0.50 |
| MFA | MFA Financial, Inc. | $10.11 | 1.03B | +259% | -60% | +101% | +3,473% | 6.00 | 0.58 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 5.72 | 0.58 | 96.18% | 78.84% | 20.20% | 9.64% | 11.21% | 1.45% | 0.00 | 1.34 | — | — | -0.31 | 10488.00% | 21302.00% | -6190.00% | 7.19% | — | 1.24% | 3.80% | 22.80% | 860.43% | 1.23 | 11.12 | 0.97 | 0.11 |
| NMRK | Newmark Group, Inc. | $14.52 | 2.59B | +874% | +55% | -39% | +41% | — | 1.44 | 0.76 | 6.87 | — | 2.90 | 94.57% | 7.01% | 3.78% | 0.00% | 7.07% | 0.00% | 0.38 | 7.20 | 1.05 | 0.51 | 1.07 | 10000.00% | 2186.00% | -49949.00% | 6.80% | 0.09 | 6.74% | 0.00% | — | 54.65% | 12.19 | 16.59 | 0.85 | 1.31 |
| OUT | Outfront Media Inc. | $28.81 | 4.82B | +11% | -57% | — | -75% | 33.21 | 6.87 | 2.66 | 13.97 | — | -2.56 | 32.36% | 17.00% | 8.03% | 19.88% | 8.91% | 2.79% | 2.18 | 2.13 | 0.92 | 0.18 | 3.20 | -4710.00% | 4.00% | -104.00% | 4.48% | 0.56 | 6.35% | 4.31% | 143.10% | 55.90% | 20.33 | 28.93 | 3.46 | 1.17 |
| RWT | Redwood Trust, Inc. | $6.05 | 766.43M | +3,502% | -60% | -11% | +79% | -9.83 | 0.70 | 3.88 | -848.93 | — | 0.73 | 138.96% | -12.95% | -39.48% | -6.45% | -0.11% | -0.33% | 22.69 | -1.27 | — | — | -823.21 | -29688.00% | -2686.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -988.99 | — | 128.12 | 1.05 |
| RWTN | Redwood Trust, Inc. 9.125… | $25.02 | 3.17B | +729% | -60% | — | — | — | 2.88 | 10.29 | -928.79 | — | 2.95 | 89.70% | -9.71% | -25.49% | 0.00% | -0.13% | 0.00% | 22.68 | -1.47 | — | — | -823.18 | -29375.00% | 1331.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | — | 0.00% | 3.50% | — | 5.33% | -932.27 | — | 90.48 | 0.10 |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | $27.58 | 5.26B | +12% | -60% | +41% | +59% | 5.60 | 0.88 | 2.90 | 6.96 | 0.05 | 0.89 | 100.00% | 15.03% | 49.99% | 16.82% | 2.03% | 5.95% | 1.32 | 0.77 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 3.99 | 1040000.00% | 127.00% | 13402.00% | 23.97% | 1.15 | 9.52% | 3.87% | 21.70% | 27.97% | 45.18 | 9.77 | 6.79 | 0.29 |
About Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate finance company, originates senior loans collateralized by commercial properties in North America, Europe, and Australia. The company operates as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to U.S. federal income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as Capital Trust, Inc. and changed its name to Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. in May 2013. Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- CEO
- Timothy Johnson
- Employees
- 0
- Beta
- 1.08
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.86 ÷ $19.07) − 1 = -58.78% (DCF, example).