US · CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Waste Management
- Headquarters
- Rutland, VT 05701
- Website
- casella.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$86.83
Market cap 5.82B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $63.24 | -27.17% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $54.46 | -37.28% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.69 | -91.14% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $3.14 | -96.38% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $6.71 | $55.13 | $0.00 | $4.09 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $5.26 | $22.14 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $4.51 | $18.27 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $4.96 | $21.32 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $6.81 | $15.57 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $12.67 | $24.99 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $24.07 | $27.28 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $33.84 | $38.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $2.69 |
| 2019 | $50.07 | $41.35 | $9.38 | $2.02 | $13.53 |
| 2020 | $64.70 | $45.52 | $1.92 | $12.76 | $22.68 |
| 2021 | $90.70 | $54.08 | $8.15 | $7.70 | $17.85 |
| 2022 | $75.41 | $49.89 | $56.19 | $9.47 | $30.00 |
| 2023 | $93.27 | $54.46 | $87.27 | $7.49 | $11.05 |
| 2024 | $112.47 | $62.17 | $160.11 | $10.34 | $6.89 |
| 2025 | $91.92 | $63.24 | $124.74 | $7.69 | $3.14 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Casella Waste Systems, Inc.'s (CWST) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $63.24
- Current price
- $86.83
- AI upside
- -27.17%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$54.46
-37.28% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.69
-91.14% upside
Graham Formula
$3.14
-96.38% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CWST | Casella Waste Systems, In… | $86.83 | 5.82B | -27% | -37% | -91% | -96% | 741.13 | 3.72 | 3.18 | 17.84 | — | 36.97 | 17.06% | 4.86% | 0.43% | 0.50% | 2.10% | 0.24% | 0.84 | 1.51 | 1.26 | 1.03 | 3.02 | -4783.00% | 1795.00% | 842.00% | 1.45% | 1.12 | 3.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 78.73 | 82.89 | 3.82 | 2.64 |
| AMTM | Amentum Holdings, Inc. | $29.87 | 7.28B | +16% | +16,223% | — | -30% | 122.41 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 11.10 | — | -2.29 | 10.51% | 3.33% | 0.46% | 1.32% | 2.87% | 0.50% | 0.92 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.24 | 3.78 | -13000.00% | 7159.00% | 133333.00% | 7.14% | 0.23 | 6.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.48% | 22.82 | 21.22 | 0.76 | 2.05 |
| FCN | FTI Consulting, Inc. | $164.42 | 5.32B | +12% | -60% | -64% | -45% | 19.06 | 2.98 | 1.36 | 12.43 | 215.78 | 10.82 | 32.13% | 10.27% | 7.15% | 13.57% | 14.57% | 7.64% | 0.34 | 18.18 | 1.56 | 1.43 | 0.73 | 883.00% | 244.00% | -6063.00% | 3.03% | 0.16 | 8.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 16.63% | 14.11 | 35.05 | 1.45 | 4.15 |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | $184.17 | 6.57B | -17% | -47% | -55% | -12% | 20.26 | 2.41 | 3.82 | 14.66 | 117.60 | 2.53 | 48.58% | 30.69% | 19.15% | 12.63% | 4.27% | 2.14% | 4.66 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 7.93 | 1722.00% | 977.00% | -3625.00% | -10.30% | 0.16 | -6.51% | 1.35% | 27.40% | 5.09% | 27.07 | -21.15 | 8.31 | 0.80 |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporat… | $27.57 | 7.12B | +39% | -60% | -65% | -68% | 28.75 | 2.17 | 2.10 | 12.03 | 96.70 | 67.93 | 40.49% | 15.34% | 7.30% | 7.91% | 8.74% | 3.61% | 0.75 | 3.55 | 3.37 | 2.12 | 2.29 | 2973.00% | 103.00% | 3656.00% | 5.60% | 0.65 | 8.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.01% | 16.89 | 22.04 | 2.59 | 2.59 |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | $92.69 | 7.38B | -40% | -59% | -90% | -88% | 68.84 | 6.02 | 3.98 | 28.65 | — | 7.45 | 22.96% | 9.06% | 5.78% | 7.87% | 6.47% | 4.03% | 0.79 | 4.55 | 2.26 | 0.99 | 3.13 | -1384.00% | -48.00% | 5140.00% | 4.08% | 0.71 | 14.28% | 0.72% | 49.30% | 6.75% | 49.26 | 27.52 | 4.46 | 5.39 |
| KBR | KBR, Inc. | $42.23 | 5.36B | -7% | -55% | — | -34% | 13.30 | 3.57 | 0.69 | 8.17 | 90.83 | -2.82 | 14.77% | 7.30% | 5.33% | 27.27% | 10.71% | 6.08% | 1.88 | 3.59 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 2.48 | 1464.00% | 57.00% | 3377.00% | 9.61% | 0.33 | 13.02% | 1.57% | 20.80% | 13.15% | 13.54 | 14.94 | 0.99 | 2.53 |
| KEX | Kirby Corporation | $129.80 | 7.04B | -23% | -59% | -35% | -46% | 20.84 | 2.19 | 2.20 | 11.04 | 72.05 | 2.54 | 26.26% | 14.61% | 10.54% | 10.56% | 8.29% | 5.98% | 0.39 | 10.61 | 1.53 | 0.88 | 1.57 | 2892.00% | 301.00% | -196.00% | 5.48% | 0.95 | 9.07% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.78% | 17.56 | 21.27 | 2.57 | 3.35 |
| LNZA | LanzaTech Global, Inc. | $8.57 | 19.88M | +230% | +230% | — | +9,470% | -1.01 | 10.37 | 2.81 | -1.60 | — | 10.37 | 47.63% | -219.66% | -277.73% | -215.34% | -410.05% | -66.17% | 6.09 | — | 3.26 | 2.77 | -0.37 | -1122.00% | -2082.00% | -1084.00% | -67.65% | -2.93 | -355.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.03% | -1.52 | -1.75 | 3.34 | -8.55 |
| SITE | SiteOne Landscape Supply,… | $142.89 | 6.35B | -1% | -60% | -71% | -73% | 42.09 | 3.85 | 1.36 | 22.52 | 172.84 | 7.03 | 34.76% | 5.06% | 3.23% | 9.39% | 7.59% | 4.83% | 0.59 | 6.80 | 2.47 | 1.07 | 2.48 | 2435.00% | 362.00% | 344.00% | 3.86% | 0.44 | 10.15% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.40% | 30.15 | 29.09 | 1.53 | 5.10 |
| TKR | The Timken Company | $108.38 | 7.54B | -29% | -59% | -78% | -68% | 26.61 | 2.41 | 1.67 | 12.66 | — | 11.03 | 28.68% | 12.35% | 6.29% | 9.60% | 8.94% | 4.41% | 0.68 | 5.13 | 2.82 | 1.32 | 2.40 | -1764.00% | 19.00% | 3284.00% | 5.29% | 0.60 | 8.41% | 1.28% | 34.10% | 3.30% | 16.69 | 23.25 | 2.06 | 3.21 |
About Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the northeastern United States. It offers resource management services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling, and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. The company provides a range of non-hazardous solid waste services, including collections, transfer stations, and disposal facilities. It also markets recyclable metals, aluminum, plastics, and paper and corrugated cardboard that are processed at its facilities, as well as recyclables purchased from third parties. In addition, the company is involved in commodity brokerage operations. As of January 31, 2022, it owned and/or operated 50 solid waste collection operations, 65 transfer stations, 23 recycling facilities, 8 Subtitle D landfills, 3 landfill gas-to-energy facilities, and 1 landfill permitted to accept construction and demolition materials. Casella Waste Systems, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Rutland, Vermont.
- CEO
- Edmond R. Coletta
- Employees
- 5.1K
- Beta
- 0.79
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($54.46 ÷ $86.83) − 1 = -37.28% (DCF, example).