US · EAT
Brinker International, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75019
- Website
- brinker.com
Price · as of 2025-06-25
$148.14
Market cap 6.45B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $104.65 | -29.36% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $63.29 | -57.28% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $46.90 | -68.34% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $250.60 | +69.16% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $45.68 | $16.28 | $0.00 | $9.84 | |
| 2021 | $51.28 | $43.50 | $0.00 | $3.17 | $46.76 |
| 2022 | $29.65 | $37.52 | $0.00 | $2.42 | $56.49 |
| 2023 | $31.13 | $30.92 | $0.00 | $3.73 | $38.05 |
| 2024 | $69.14 | $43.59 | $0.00 | $13.92 | $51.19 |
| 2025 | $158.22 | $104.65 | $0.00 | $46.90 | $250.59 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Brinker International, Inc.'s (EAT) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $104.65
- Current price
- $148.14
- AI upside
- -29.36%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$63.29
-57.28% upside
Graham-Dodd
$46.90
-68.34% upside
Graham Formula
$250.60
+69.16% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| EAT | Brinker International, In… | $148.14 | 6.45B | -29% | -57% | -68% | +69% | 18.42 | 19.03 | 1.31 | 12.13 | 12.73 | 44.44 | 18.25% | 9.51% | 7.12% | 186.74% | 21.22% | 14.53% | 4.57 | 9.64 | 0.31 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 14471.00% | 2195.00% | 8552.00% | 5.86% | 1.01 | 20.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.96% | 17.05 | 21.11 | 1.62 | 4.36 |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group, … | $213.78 | 4.16B | +3% | -56% | -2% | +51% | 6.17 | 1.05 | 0.23 | 10.14 | 36.57 | -8.40 | 16.61% | 5.57% | 2.73% | 17.91% | 7.89% | 5.99% | 1.63 | 3.59 | 0.95 | 0.18 | 6.14 | 1688.00% | 471.00% | 5884.00% | 14.10% | 0.22 | 6.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.76% | 10.36 | 17.99 | 0.58 | 2.53 |
| CHH | Choice Hotels Internation… | $105.35 | 4.87B | +25% | -51% | -81% | -32% | 12.96 | 26.46 | 3.00 | 10.44 | 45.67 | -3.97 | 61.41% | 28.38% | 23.17% | 544.21% | 18.04% | 13.58% | 11.76 | 4.97 | 0.87 | 0.54 | 3.16 | 2839.00% | 75.00% | -2818.00% | 2.60% | 0.58 | 6.13% | 1.11% | 14.50% | 4.00% | 15.19 | 55.21 | 4.31 | 3.20 |
| FTDR | Frontdoor, Inc. | $68.57 | 4.94B | +40% | +28% | -89% | +8% | 19.34 | 20.38 | 2.36 | 10.98 | 141.97 | -4.42 | 55.28% | 23.32% | 12.18% | 106.03% | 38.83% | 12.00% | 4.92 | 6.18 | 1.55 | 1.41 | 1.24 | 1362.00% | 1356.00% | 6883.00% | 7.91% | 1.03 | 41.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.25% | 11.39 | 14.25 | 2.65 | 3.92 |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | $23.40 | 5.12B | +45% | +16% | -52% | +30% | 13.30 | 2.06 | 2.02 | 8.77 | — | 2.63 | 34.20% | 19.16% | 15.19% | 15.52% | 17.81% | 13.52% | 0.00 | — | 2.91 | 1.34 | -0.26 | -114.00% | 955.00% | 2956.00% | 8.96% | 1.51 | 20.14% | 2.09% | 27.80% | 8.26% | 10.22 | 10.84 | 1.96 | 8.73 |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp. | $102.33 | 6B | +23,471% | -60% | — | -63% | 0.03 | 0.01 | 2.37 | 1.51 | — | 0.13 | 47.26% | 11.70% | 7.37% | 47.72% | 0.03% | 15.96% | 1.20 | 0.00 | 2.38 | 0.62 | 1.50 | -801.00% | 414.00% | 7030426.00% | 1979.09% | 0.45 | 14.31% | 925.93% | 30.00% | 929.42% | 3002.01 | 7.49 | 351.30 | 0.39 |
| GPI | Group 1 Automotive, Inc. | $325.74 | 4.11B | +6% | -61% | -57% | +59% | 12.71 | 1.48 | 0.18 | 11.66 | — | -11.82 | 15.51% | 4.23% | 1.42% | 11.29% | 8.18% | 3.22% | 2.10 | 3.36 | 1.08 | 0.20 | 6.82 | -3128.00% | 1323.00% | 2441.00% | 10.27% | 0.20 | 5.05% | 0.62% | 7.90% | 14.05% | 10.44 | 23.49 | 0.44 | 3.44 |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding… | $12.23 | 3.61B | +1% | -61% | -57% | -26% | 7.86 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 6.56 | — | 5.81 | 18.71% | 10.08% | 5.15% | 13.99% | 7.81% | 3.87% | 1.67 | 3.91 | 1.30 | 0.46 | 3.96 | -3148.00% | -216.00% | -7769.00% | -2.32% | 0.38 | -0.96% | 3.67% | 28.80% | 8.94% | 10.13 | -108.65 | 1.02 | 1.48 |
| KBH | KB Home | $63.58 | 4.02B | +14% | -62% | +16% | — | 9.61 | 1.06 | 0.66 | 9.45 | — | 1.06 | 18.88% | 8.42% | 6.88% | 10.77% | 7.68% | 6.28% | 0.44 | — | 4.57 | 0.43 | 2.52 | -2722.00% | -1001.00% | -1025.00% | 7.04% | 0.25 | 5.49% | 1.66% | 16.00% | 14.80% | 10.71 | 19.37 | 0.90 | 3.69 |
| MTH | Meritage Homes Corporatio… | $75.42 | 5.31B | +40% | -60% | +5% | -99% | 11.36 | 0.99 | 0.88 | 11.13 | — | 1.00 | 19.69% | 9.18% | 7.73% | 8.76% | 6.83% | 6.12% | 0.36 | — | 12.12 | 1.81 | 1.98 | -4030.00% | -840.00% | -13613.00% | 1.80% | 0.20 | 1.52% | 2.35% | 26.70% | 8.08% | 11.65 | 67.65 | 1.07 | 4.25 |
| TNL | Travel + Leisure Co. | $73.70 | 4.6B | +81% | -60% | — | -43% | 20.85 | -4.88 | 1.19 | 11.41 | — | -2.23 | 27.18% | 17.83% | 5.72% | -24.69% | 11.82% | 3.41% | -5.00 | 1.95 | 1.64 | 0.44 | 5.62 | -3570.00% | 406.00% | 3655.00% | 10.91% | 0.68 | 12.64% | 3.11% | 64.80% | 27.07% | 13.18 | 18.07 | 2.35 | 1.92 |
About Brinker International, Inc.
Brinker International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the ownership, development, operation, and franchising of casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Chili's and Maggiano's. As of June 30, 2021, it owned, operated, or franchised 1,648 restaurants comprising 1,594 restaurants under the Chili's Grill & Bar name and 54 restaurants under the Maggiano's Little Italy brand name. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- Kevin D. Hochman
- Employees
- 68.85K
- Beta
- 1.34
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($63.29 ÷ $148.14) − 1 = -57.28% (DCF, example).