US · GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
- Headquarters
- Atlanta, GA 30328
- Website
- graphicpkg.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$9.70
Market cap 3.61B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $12.38 | +27.63% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $4.71 | -51.44% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $5.30 | -45.39% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $9.02 | -7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.53 | $23.90 | $0.00 | $3.77 | $7.95 |
| 2012 | $6.15 | $24.18 | $0.00 | $1.07 | $3.49 |
| 2013 | $8.49 | $24.53 | $0.00 | $1.93 | $4.72 |
| 2014 | $12.00 | $26.67 | $0.00 | $1.04 | $0.81 |
| 2015 | $10.61 | $24.31 | $0.00 | $1.05 | $4.47 |
| 2016 | $10.86 | $23.46 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8.09 |
| 2017 | $13.48 | $23.18 | $0.00 | $0.22 | $10.06 |
| 2018 | $10.76 | $18.99 | $35.29 | $0.00 | $31.09 |
| 2019 | $12.39 | $22.60 | $20.03 | $0.00 | $7.20 |
| 2020 | $16.29 | $17.41 | $51.57 | $0.00 | $8.55 |
| 2021 | $17.71 | $16.07 | $18.22 | $0.00 | $11.49 |
| 2022 | $22.55 | $22.03 | $137.96 | $4.53 | $65.48 |
| 2023 | $26.40 | $23.44 | $58.28 | $7.94 | $18.62 |
| 2024 | $27.13 | $24.68 | $0.00 | $8.15 | $3.93 |
| 2025 | $11.77 | $12.38 | $0.00 | $5.30 | $9.02 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Graphic Packaging Holding Company's (GPK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $12.38
- Current price
- $9.70
- AI upside
- +27.63%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$4.71
-51.44% upside
Graham-Dodd
$5.30
-45.39% upside
Graham Formula
$9.02
-7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding… | $9.70 | 3.61B | +28% | -51% | -45% | -7% | 7.86 | 1.05 | 0.41 | 6.56 | — | 5.81 | 18.71% | 10.08% | 5.15% | 13.99% | 7.81% | 3.87% | 1.67 | 3.91 | 1.30 | 0.46 | 3.96 | -3148.00% | -216.00% | -7769.00% | -2.32% | 0.38 | -0.96% | 3.67% | 28.80% | 8.94% | 10.13 | -108.65 | 1.02 | 1.48 |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group, … | $213.78 | 4.16B | +3% | -56% | -2% | +51% | 6.17 | 1.05 | 0.23 | 10.14 | 36.57 | -8.40 | 16.61% | 5.57% | 2.73% | 17.91% | 7.89% | 5.99% | 1.63 | 3.59 | 0.95 | 0.18 | 6.14 | 1688.00% | 471.00% | 5884.00% | 14.10% | 0.22 | 6.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.76% | 10.36 | 17.99 | 0.58 | 2.53 |
| EAT | Brinker International, In… | $148.20 | 6.45B | -29% | -57% | -68% | +69% | 18.42 | 19.03 | 1.31 | 12.13 | 12.73 | 44.44 | 18.25% | 9.51% | 7.12% | 186.74% | 21.22% | 14.53% | 4.57 | 9.64 | 0.31 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 14471.00% | 2195.00% | 8552.00% | 5.86% | 1.01 | 20.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.96% | 17.05 | 21.11 | 1.62 | 4.36 |
| FTDR | Frontdoor, Inc. | $68.57 | 4.94B | +40% | +28% | -89% | +8% | 19.34 | 20.38 | 2.36 | 10.98 | 141.97 | -4.42 | 55.28% | 23.32% | 12.18% | 106.03% | 38.83% | 12.00% | 4.92 | 6.18 | 1.55 | 1.41 | 1.24 | 1362.00% | 1356.00% | 6883.00% | 7.91% | 1.03 | 41.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.25% | 11.39 | 14.25 | 2.65 | 3.92 |
| GEF | Greif, Inc. | $72.67 | 3.44B | -17% | -64% | +13% | +75% | 186.82 | 1.06 | 0.72 | 9.97 | 83.67 | 8.15 | 22.16% | 6.85% | 19.58% | 0.66% | 2.56% | 0.27% | 0.54 | 5.24 | 1.47 | 0.81 | 2.98 | 22328.00% | -100.00% | -15027.00% | -2.77% | 0.05 | -1.86% | 3.29% | 613.70% | 54.14% | 14.93 | -51.52 | 1.02 | 2.48 |
| KBH | KB Home | $63.58 | 4.02B | +14% | -62% | +16% | — | 9.61 | 1.06 | 0.66 | 9.45 | — | 1.06 | 18.88% | 8.42% | 6.88% | 10.77% | 7.68% | 6.28% | 0.44 | — | 4.57 | 0.43 | 2.52 | -2722.00% | -1001.00% | -1025.00% | 7.04% | 0.25 | 5.49% | 1.66% | 16.00% | 14.80% | 10.71 | 19.37 | 0.90 | 3.69 |
| MTH | Meritage Homes Corporatio… | $75.42 | 5.31B | +40% | -60% | +5% | -99% | 11.36 | 0.99 | 0.88 | 11.13 | — | 1.00 | 19.69% | 9.18% | 7.73% | 8.76% | 6.83% | 6.12% | 0.36 | — | 12.12 | 1.81 | 1.98 | -4030.00% | -840.00% | -13613.00% | 1.80% | 0.20 | 1.52% | 2.35% | 26.70% | 8.08% | 11.65 | 67.65 | 1.07 | 4.25 |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Product… | $24.81 | 5.22B | +22% | -61% | — | -49% | 16.98 | 2.27 | 1.37 | 10.96 | — | -8.74 | 24.56% | 13.22% | 8.09% | 13.70% | 9.83% | 6.14% | 0.78 | 5.72 | 1.93 | 0.89 | 2.64 | -1437.00% | 70.00% | -1436.00% | 6.18% | 0.83 | 8.24% | 3.76% | 63.80% | 4.52% | 13.68 | 21.30 | 1.81 | 2.58 |
| SEE | Sealed Air Corporation | $41.88 | 6.17B | -4% | -69% | — | -72% | 17.14 | 7.27 | 0.84 | 8.79 | — | -1.72 | 30.14% | 13.65% | 4.91% | 45.09% | 8.87% | 3.72% | 7.22 | 2.56 | 1.16 | 0.57 | 4.19 | -2331.00% | -175.00% | 8669.00% | 11.19% | 0.45 | 10.42% | 2.60% | 44.60% | 9.51% | 11.79 | 17.08 | 1.61 | 1.71 |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | $48.05 | 5.14B | -37% | -43% | -52% | +5% | 17.77 | 2.25 | 0.79 | 9.12 | 382.05 | 2.25 | 17.73% | 10.16% | 4.45% | 13.53% | 8.34% | 3.21% | 1.91 | 3.48 | 1.51 | 0.92 | 3.55 | 465.00% | 1074.00% | -793.00% | 8.25% | 0.40 | 7.64% | 1.67% | 29.80% | 8.24% | 12.74 | 19.85 | 1.29 | 1.47 |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | $56.47 | 5.57B | -7% | +224,630% | — | +239% | 16.06 | 1.55 | 0.75 | 6.60 | 11.37 | -3.59 | 20.94% | 9.47% | 5.27% | 11.84% | 6.30% | 2.95% | 1.34 | 3.05 | 1.05 | 0.55 | 2.93 | 14121.00% | 4172.00% | -1087.00% | 7.00% | 0.27 | 4.55% | 3.71% | 59.50% | 46.53% | 14.16 | 25.69 | 1.34 | 1.34 |
About Graphic Packaging Holding Company
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors. It also offers various laminated, coated, and printed packaging structures that are produced from its CUK, CRB, and SBS, as well as other grades of paperboards that are purchased from third-party suppliers; designs and manufactures specialized packaging machines that package bottles and cans, and non-beverage consumer products; and installs its packaging machines at customer plants and provides support, service, and performance monitoring of the machines. The company markets its products primarily through sales offices and broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
- CEO
- Robbert E. Rietbroek
- Employees
- 23K
- Beta
- 0.63
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($4.71 ÷ $9.70) − 1 = -51.44% (DCF, example).