US · EXPE
Expedia Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
- Headquarters
- Seattle, WA 98119
- Website
- expediagroup.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$251.84
Market cap 25.24B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $185.27 | -26.43% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $203.96 | -19.01% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $158.96 | -36.88% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $28.83 | $79.40 | $13.92 | $3.94 | $38.23 |
| 2012 | $59.93 | $116.97 | $14.56 | $0.00 | $50.52 |
| 2013 | $70.30 | $118.58 | $79.25 | $0.00 | $44.41 |
| 2014 | $86.28 | $142.68 | $358.41 | $0.00 | $86.55 |
| 2015 | $109.18 | $158.41 | $337.05 | $0.00 | $136.52 |
| 2016 | $120.54 | $153.17 | $946.24 | $0.00 | $71.54 |
| 2017 | $108.51 | $125.41 | $745.26 | $0.00 | $55.08 |
| 2018 | $118.58 | $137.61 | $737.62 | $0.00 | $52.05 |
| 2019 | $90.78 | $108.64 | $132.41 | $0.00 | $59.11 |
| 2020 | $173.19 | $81.75 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $856.88 |
| 2021 | $177.87 | $203.74 | $1.19 | $0.00 | $5.67 |
| 2022 | $97.50 | $163.19 | $780.50 | $0.00 | $94.77 |
| 2023 | $134.69 | $147.16 | $2,638.30 | $0.00 | $97.29 |
| 2024 | $182.85 | $175.45 | $611.04 | $6.72 | $135.61 |
| 2025 | $213.24 | $185.27 | $150.70 | $0.00 | $158.96 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Expedia Group, Inc.'s (EXPE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $185.27
- Current price
- $251.84
- AI upside
- -26.43%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$203.96
-19.01% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$158.96
-36.88% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | $251.84 | 25.24B | -26% | -19% | — | -37% | 20.66 | 20.82 | 1.81 | 9.11 | 215.00 | -4.17 | 84.10% | 13.43% | 8.78% | 91.09% | 75.90% | 5.53% | 5.19 | 6.62 | 0.73 | 0.69 | -0.11 | 961.00% | 761.00% | 3353.00% | 11.63% | 0.23 | 145.94% | 0.75% | 15.50% | 17.90% | 13.20 | 8.39 | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| DRI | Darden Restaurants, Inc. | $213.85 | 24.87B | -28% | -63% | — | -42% | 22.43 | 10.19 | 1.95 | 15.69 | 545.36 | -33.90 | 21.88% | 11.28% | 8.69% | 46.10% | 15.29% | 8.78% | 2.70 | 7.55 | 0.42 | 0.15 | 3.18 | 411.00% | 603.00% | 524.00% | 4.40% | 0.76 | 13.12% | 2.80% | 62.70% | 4.57% | 21.68 | 28.53 | 2.45 | 2.56 |
| IHG | InterContinental Hotels G… | $139.04 | 20.96B | -26% | -57% | — | -53% | 27.50 | -7.60 | 4.02 | 18.04 | 103.79 | -5.35 | 31.95% | 23.09% | 14.61% | -30.00% | 152.96% | 15.02% | -1.69 | — | 0.98 | 0.96 | 2.59 | 2649.00% | 540.00% | 3467.00% | 4.17% | 0.43 | 157.18% | 1.30% | 35.60% | 5.65% | 20.31 | 27.97 | 4.69 | 3.17 |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | $137.20 | 26.39B | +4% | -58% | -21% | -62% | 11.93 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 8.88 | — | 2.05 | 26.41% | 17.32% | 12.82% | 17.67% | 17.45% | 12.53% | 0.19 | 4956.49 | 5.91 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -2430.00% | -354.00% | 1192.00% | 6.61% | 0.73 | 13.35% | 0.67% | 8.00% | 6.39% | 8.96 | 15.37 | 1.55 | 6.22 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | $60.89 | 29.29B | -19% | -43% | — | -67% | 55.96 | 21.44 | 7.84 | 35.94 | 413.21 | -50.58 | 49.44% | 19.39% | 14.00% | 38.94% | 23.54% | 17.67% | 0.97 | 25.54 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 1354.00% | 1099.00% | 1206.00% | 2.21% | 0.86 | 27.92% | 1.11% | 62.30% | 1.85% | 42.10 | 47.23 | 8.16 | 12.19 |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | $51.84 | 27.39B | -22% | -60% | -99% | -51% | 25.28 | 10.73 | 1.78 | 17.06 | 2578.29 | 12.69 | 33.24% | 9.45% | 7.06% | 45.18% | 14.59% | 10.57% | 2.30 | 21.22 | 1.34 | 0.08 | 2.93 | 98.00% | 431.00% | 1628.00% | 2.67% | 0.63 | 9.39% | 1.76% | 44.50% | 3.06% | 22.80 | 45.18 | 2.16 | 4.91 |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $684.79 | 30.7B | -56% | -47% | -74% | -67% | 14.21 | 6.86 | 1.51 | 9.90 | — | 6.89 | 38.84% | 13.98% | 10.63% | 50.39% | 33.65% | 20.52% | 0.77 | — | 1.70 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -265.00% | 79.00% | -738.00% | 5.65% | 0.75 | 27.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.02% | 11.58 | 18.96 | 1.62 | 6.26 |
| VIK | Viking Holdings Ltd | $78.02 | 34.61B | -2% | +48% | -99% | -89% | 103.77 | -71.27 | 2.98 | 23.55 | — | -55.94 | 36.73% | 20.16% | 2.86% | -5.49% | 120.06% | 1.64% | -25.02 | 2.83 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 3.98 | -10696.00% | 1323.00% | 6757.00% | 7.34% | 0.40 | 144.38% | 0.12% | 12.40% | 5.06% | 17.77 | 16.40 | 3.58 | 0.83 |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | $205.65 | 24.55B | -28% | -69% | -87% | -67% | 16.38 | 8.60 | 2.39 | 11.18 | 78.96 | 8.92 | 46.45% | 18.55% | 14.59% | 52.70% | 47.79% | 21.28% | 0.63 | — | 1.44 | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2074.00% | -50.00% | -2367.00% | 6.18% | 0.71 | 50.24% | 1.52% | 24.90% | 5.90% | 12.98 | 16.30 | 2.41 | 6.46 |
About Expedia Group, Inc.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates as an online travel company in the United States and internationally. The company operates through Retail, B2B, and trivago segments. Its brand portfolio include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel brand with localized websites; Hotels.com for marketing and distributing lodging accommodations; Vrbo, an online marketplace for the alternative accommodations; Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets travel websites; ebookers, an online EMEA travel agent for travelers an array of travel options; Hotwire, which offers travel booking services; CarRentals.com, an online car rental booking service; Classic Vacations, a luxury travel specialist; and Expedia Cruise, a provider of advice for travelers booking cruises. The company's brand portfolio also comprise Expedia Partner Solutions, a business-to-business brand that provides travel and non-travel vertical, which includes corporate travel management, airlines, travel agents, online retailers and financial institutions; and Egencia that provides corporate travel management services. In addition, its brand portfolio consists of Trivago, a hotel metasearch website, which send referrals to online travel companies and travel service providers from hotel metasearch websites; and Expedia Group Media solutions. Further, the company provides online travel services through its Wotif.com, lastminute.com.au, travel.com.au, Wotif.co.nz, and lastminute.co.nz brands; loyalty programs; hotel accommodations and alternative accommodations; and advertising and media services. It serves leisure and corporate travelers. The company was formerly known as Expedia, Inc. and changed its name to Expedia Group, Inc. in March 2018. Expedia Group, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
- CEO
- Ariane Gorin
- Employees
- 16.5K
- Beta
- 1.38
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($203.96 ÷ $251.84) − 1 = -19.01% (DCF, example).