US · TSCO
Tractor Supply Company
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- Brentwood, TN 37027
- Website
- tractorsupply.com
Price · as of 2025-12-27
$33.83
Market cap 27.39B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $40.46 | +19.6% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $20.91 | -38.19% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $0.76 | -97.77% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $25.52 | -24.56% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $7.23 | $34.87 | $8.09 | $2.30 | $7.39 |
| 2012 | $8.74 | $33.41 | $9.05 | $2.29 | $6.96 |
| 2013 | $12.24 | $33.79 | $9.24 | $2.65 | $8.69 |
| 2014 | $14.66 | $33.86 | $11.16 | $2.73 | $9.84 |
| 2015 | $15.48 | $33.47 | $19.41 | $2.79 | $10.13 |
| 2016 | $12.59 | $31.71 | $7.66 | $2.57 | $10.88 |
| 2017 | $11.55 | $30.91 | $1.68 | $2.24 | $9.82 |
| 2018 | $16.21 | $33.17 | $1.60 | $3.14 | $14.53 |
| 2019 | $16.64 | $28.89 | $0.07 | $3.08 | $12.67 |
| 2020 | $31.47 | $41.36 | $65.58 | $5.18 | $43.95 |
| 2021 | $42.20 | $43.51 | $155.62 | $5.87 | $47.03 |
| 2022 | $43.12 | $39.50 | $147.75 | $2.00 | $37.60 |
| 2023 | $48.47 | $40.66 | $27.14 | $1.27 | $21.16 |
| 2024 | $55.92 | $42.91 | $0.00 | $0.82 | $20.99 |
| 2025 | $52.28 | $40.46 | $0.00 | $0.76 | $25.52 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Tractor Supply Company's (TSCO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $40.46
- Current price
- $33.83
- AI upside
- +19.6%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$20.91
-38.19% upside
Graham-Dodd
$0.76
-97.77% upside
Graham Formula
$25.52
-24.56% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply Company | $33.83 | 27.39B | +20% | -38% | -98% | -25% | 25.28 | 10.73 | 1.78 | 17.06 | 2578.29 | 12.69 | 33.24% | 9.45% | 7.06% | 45.18% | 14.59% | 10.57% | 2.30 | 21.22 | 1.34 | 0.08 | 2.93 | 98.00% | 431.00% | 1628.00% | 2.67% | 0.63 | 9.39% | 1.76% | 44.50% | 3.06% | 22.80 | 45.18 | 2.16 | 4.91 |
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | $61.97 | 13.02B | +15% | -63% | — | -73% | 13.48 | 4.45 | 0.30 | 6.77 | — | 6.91 | 22.60% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 31.63% | 22.59% | 6.23% | 1.44 | 33.75 | 1.03 | 0.33 | 1.12 | -2465.00% | -443.00% | 10622.00% | 11.14% | 0.26 | 25.61% | 6.46% | 87.10% | 10.94% | 8.70 | 10.76 | 0.36 | 4.07 |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, I… | $685.59 | 25.41B | -63% | +6% | -85% | -68% | 35.01 | 5.45 | 1.20 | 18.14 | 388.54 | 8.79 | 23.54% | 5.00% | 3.43% | 16.75% | 11.54% | 7.39% | 0.84 | 8.21 | 0.92 | 0.46 | 2.19 | 901.00% | 725.00% | 5760.00% | 3.06% | 0.99 | 11.05% | 0.38% | 13.20% | 0.38% | 27.33 | 37.23 | 1.37 | 5.09 |
| EBAY | eBay Inc. | $90.86 | 41.07B | -11% | -21% | -94% | -22% | 20.06 | 8.68 | 3.61 | 15.61 | 197.59 | 270.54 | 71.45% | 20.51% | 18.30% | 40.85% | 24.82% | 10.80% | 1.60 | 9.26 | 1.10 | 0.91 | 1.93 | 1015.00% | 795.00% | -1508.00% | 4.15% | 0.47 | 20.92% | 1.33% | 26.60% | 7.57% | 19.54 | 26.79 | 4.01 | 2.94 |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | $215.69 | 25.24B | -14% | -5% | — | -26% | 20.66 | 20.82 | 1.81 | 9.11 | 215.00 | -4.17 | 84.10% | 13.43% | 8.78% | 91.09% | 75.90% | 5.53% | 5.19 | 6.62 | 0.73 | 0.69 | -0.11 | 961.00% | 761.00% | 3353.00% | 11.63% | 0.23 | 145.94% | 0.75% | 15.50% | 17.90% | 13.20 | 8.39 | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.26 | 16.59B | -8% | -60% | — | -95% | 249.78 | 3.72 | 0.68 | 32.20 | — | -26.50 | 34.58% | 5.00% | 0.27% | 1.51% | 11.13% | 0.33% | 1.87 | 7.43 | 1.08 | 0.29 | 10.35 | -9274.00% | 346.00% | -3845.00% | 2.56% | 0.09 | 3.86% | 3.42% | 855.00% | 3.42% | 19.98 | 57.66 | 1.00 | 2.32 |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | $114.36 | 29.48B | -31% | -60% | -29% | -67% | 13.88 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 10.73 | — | 1.60 | 17.74% | 8.05% | 6.02% | 8.46% | 7.95% | 5.57% | 0.29 | 198.24 | 3.12 | 0.96 | 0.85 | -4423.00% | -364.00% | -9874.00% | 0.10% | 0.04 | 0.11% | 1.78% | 24.70% | 7.96% | 11.55 | 1127.25 | 0.93 | 4.00 |
| ROL | Rollins, Inc. | $60.89 | 29.29B | -19% | -43% | — | -67% | 55.96 | 21.44 | 7.84 | 35.94 | 413.21 | -50.58 | 49.44% | 19.39% | 14.00% | 38.94% | 23.54% | 17.67% | 0.97 | 25.54 | 0.60 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 1354.00% | 1099.00% | 1206.00% | 2.21% | 0.86 | 27.92% | 1.11% | 62.30% | 1.85% | 42.10 | 47.23 | 8.16 | 12.19 |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $684.79 | 30.7B | -56% | -47% | -74% | -67% | 14.21 | 6.86 | 1.51 | 9.90 | — | 6.89 | 38.84% | 13.98% | 10.63% | 50.39% | 33.65% | 20.52% | 0.77 | — | 1.70 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -265.00% | 79.00% | -738.00% | 5.65% | 0.75 | 27.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.02% | 11.58 | 18.96 | 1.62 | 6.26 |
| VIK | Viking Holdings Ltd | $78.02 | 34.61B | -2% | +48% | -99% | -89% | 103.77 | -71.27 | 2.98 | 23.55 | — | -55.94 | 36.73% | 20.16% | 2.86% | -5.49% | 120.06% | 1.64% | -25.02 | 2.83 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 3.98 | -10696.00% | 1323.00% | 6757.00% | 7.34% | 0.40 | 144.38% | 0.12% | 12.40% | 5.06% | 17.77 | 16.40 | 3.58 | 0.83 |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | $205.65 | 24.55B | -28% | -69% | -87% | -67% | 16.38 | 8.60 | 2.39 | 11.18 | 78.96 | 8.92 | 46.45% | 18.55% | 14.59% | 52.70% | 47.79% | 21.28% | 0.63 | — | 1.44 | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2074.00% | -50.00% | -2367.00% | 6.18% | 0.71 | 50.24% | 1.52% | 24.90% | 5.90% | 12.98 | 16.30 | 2.41 | 6.46 |
About Tractor Supply Company
Tractor Supply Company operates as a rural lifestyle retailer in the United States. The company offers a selection of merchandise, including equine, livestock, pet, and small animal products necessary for their health, care, growth, and containment; hardware, truck, towing, and tool products; seasonal products, such as heating products, lawn and garden items, power equipment, gifts, and toys; work/recreational clothing and footwear; and maintenance products for agricultural and rural use. It provides its products under the 4health, Producer's Pride, American Farmworks, Red Shed, Bit & Bridle, Redstone, Blue Mountain, Retriever, C.E. Schmidt, Ridgecut, Countyline, Royal Wing, Dumor, Strive, Groundwork, Traveller, Huskee, Treeline, JobSmart, TSC Tractor Supply Co, Paws & Claws, and Untamed brands. As of June 25, 2022, it operated 2,016 Tractor Supply stores in 49 states; and 178 Petsense stores in 23 states. The company operates its retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Del's Feed & Farm Supply, and Petsense names; and operates websites under the TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com names. It sells its products to recreational farmers, ranchers, and others. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Brentwood, Tennessee.
- CEO
- Harry A. Lawton
- Employees
- 52K
- Beta
- 0.73
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($20.91 ÷ $33.83) − 1 = -38.19% (DCF, example).