US · XPEV
XPeng Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Manufacturers
- Headquarters
- Guangzhou 510640
- Website
- heyxpeng.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$15.83
Market cap 16.68B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $1.50 | -90.52% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $2,419.54 | +15,184.52% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $0.30 | -98.1% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2020 | $35.15 | $24.05 | $539,243.58 | $3.40 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $22.91 | $15.24 | $3,941,203.34 | $3.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $8.18 | $3.27 | $7,966.14 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $9.52 | $4.32 | $95.78 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $23.60 | $10.56 | $26.31 | $0.30 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates XPeng Inc.'s (XPEV) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $1.50
- Current price
- $15.83
- AI upside
- -90.52%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$2,419.54
+15,184.52% upside
Graham-Dodd
$0.30
-98.1% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| XPEV | XPeng Inc. | $15.83 | 16.68B | -33% | +15,185% | -98% | — | -27.49 | 5.09 | 3.90 | -48.86 | — | 6.66 | 14.30% | -16.29% | -14.17% | -17.13% | -38.09% | -6.94% | 0.51 | -19.36 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.91 | -4866.00% | 3322.00% | 22761.00% | -2.79% | -0.05 | -25.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -21.39 | -32.07 | 3.48 | 1.53 |
| LI | Li Auto Inc. | $17.59 | 17.76B | +3% | +131% | -11% | +56% | 25.68 | 2.91 | 1.43 | 8.74 | — | 3.01 | 20.53% | 4.40% | 5.56% | 12.26% | -19.91% | 5.25% | 0.23 | 33.85 | 1.82 | 1.63 | -3.94 | -3183.00% | 1671.00% | -8144.00% | 3.98% | 0.23 | -29.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.27 | 13.39 | 0.76 | 2.90 |
| NIO | NIO Inc. | $4.87 | 11.55B | -63% | -63% | — | — | -2.89 | 10.98 | 1.00 | -5.55 | — | 11.42 | 9.88% | -33.28% | -34.47% | -143.80% | -154.86% | -20.14% | 5.67 | -27.40 | 0.99 | 0.38 | -1.04 | -1133.00% | 1818.00% | 807.00% | -25.93% | -0.13 | -120.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.53 | -4.55 | 1.18 | -1.12 |
| PHM | PulteGroup, Inc. | $137.20 | 26.39B | +4% | -58% | -21% | -62% | 11.93 | 2.04 | 1.53 | 8.88 | — | 2.05 | 26.41% | 17.32% | 12.82% | 17.67% | 17.45% | 12.53% | 0.19 | 4956.49 | 5.91 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -2430.00% | -354.00% | 1192.00% | 6.61% | 0.73 | 13.35% | 0.67% | 8.00% | 6.39% | 8.96 | 15.37 | 1.55 | 6.22 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| RIVN | Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $15.33 | 18.96B | +28% | — | — | — | -4.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | -7.17 | — | 3.90 | 2.67% | -66.55% | -67.68% | -65.19% | -73.69% | -23.95% | 1.46 | -13.08 | 2.33 | 1.80 | -1.20 | -3449.00% | 839.00% | -1288.00% | -13.98% | -0.21 | -51.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -5.12 | -7.38 | 3.41 | -1.54 |
| STLA | Stellantis N.V. | $8.09 | 23.37B | -62% | -50% | — | — | -0.84 | 0.35 | 0.12 | -1.76 | — | 2.17 | -1.38% | -17.10% | -14.57% | -33.08% | -34.73% | -11.11% | 0.86 | — | 1.02 | 0.45 | -0.81 | -52120.00% | -215.00% | 7920.00% | -67.16% | -0.06 | -16.72% | 10.41% | -8.80% | 10.41% | -1.32 | -2.74 | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| TPR | Tapestry, Inc. | $155.47 | 31.82B | -46% | -73% | — | -93% | 122.39 | 26.14 | 3.20 | 47.88 | — | -26.53 | 75.44% | 5.92% | 2.61% | 9.76% | 8.69% | 1.83% | 4.55 | 4.86 | 1.87 | 1.05 | 5.32 | -7657.00% | 509.00% | -460.00% | 4.88% | 0.78 | 27.03% | 1.33% | 163.40% | 10.34% | 60.73 | 23.04 | 3.59 | 3.33 |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. | $684.79 | 30.7B | -56% | -47% | -74% | -67% | 14.21 | 6.86 | 1.51 | 9.90 | — | 6.89 | 38.84% | 13.98% | 10.63% | 50.39% | 33.65% | 20.52% | 0.77 | — | 1.70 | 0.52 | 0.66 | -265.00% | 79.00% | -738.00% | 5.65% | 0.75 | 27.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.02% | 11.58 | 18.96 | 1.62 | 6.26 |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma, Inc. | $205.65 | 24.55B | -28% | -69% | -87% | -67% | 16.38 | 8.60 | 2.39 | 11.18 | 78.96 | 8.92 | 46.45% | 18.55% | 14.59% | 52.70% | 47.79% | 21.28% | 0.63 | — | 1.44 | 0.70 | 0.08 | 2074.00% | -50.00% | -2367.00% | 6.18% | 0.71 | 50.24% | 1.52% | 24.90% | 5.90% | 12.98 | 16.30 | 2.41 | 6.46 |
About XPeng Inc.
XPeng Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles in the People's Republic of China. It offers SUVs under the G3 and G3i names; four-door sports sedans under the P7 name; and family sedans under the P5 name. The company also provides sales contracts, maintenance, super charging, vehicle leasing, insurance agency, ride-hailing, technical support, automotive loan referral and auto financing, music subscription, and other services. XPeng Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
- CEO
- Xiaopeng He
- Employees
- 15.36K
- Beta
- 1.20
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($2,419.54 ÷ $15.83) − 1 = +15,184.52% (DCF, example).