US · XPO
XPO Logistics, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
- Headquarters
- Greenwich, CT 06831
- Website
- xpo.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$215.28
Market cap 24.71B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $100.90 | -53.13% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $86.07 | -60.02% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $16.05 | -92.54% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $24.34 | -88.7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.56 | $51.37 | $329.44 | $10.86 | $1.80 |
| 2012 | $5.91 | $498.64 | $2,076.46 | $2.73 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $11.22 | $33.64 | $113,375.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $16.08 | $56.00 | $5,907,126.72 | $6.80 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $9.47 | $62.48 | $17,141,290.79 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $17.31 | $49.32 | $16,548,442.85 | $0.00 | $60.07 |
| 2017 | $36.06 | $31.12 | $476,855.50 | $6.05 | $38.78 |
| 2018 | $15.98 | $27.60 | $6,555.85 | $8.93 | $68.59 |
| 2019 | $22.75 | $17.43 | $0.00 | $2.79 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $43.22 | $27.98 | $0.00 | $7.86 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $41.88 | $25.28 | $0.00 | $10.93 | $72.60 |
| 2022 | $34.65 | $23.18 | $0.00 | $24.96 | $86.97 |
| 2023 | $122.43 | $76.30 | $0.00 | $6.15 | $13.87 |
| 2024 | $108.35 | $61.31 | $0.00 | $17.88 | $40.53 |
| 2025 | $215.18 | $100.90 | $0.00 | $16.05 | $24.34 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates XPO Logistics, Inc.'s (XPO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $100.90
- Current price
- $215.28
- AI upside
- -53.13%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$86.07
-60.02% upside
Graham-Dodd
$16.05
-92.54% upside
Graham Formula
$24.34
-88.7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| XPO | XPO Logistics, Inc. | $215.28 | 24.71B | -53% | -60% | -93% | -89% | 80.35 | 13.64 | 3.11 | 23.83 | — | 8463.75 | 12.00% | 8.94% | 3.87% | 18.26% | 8.99% | 3.97% | 2.53 | 3.33 | 1.05 | 0.86 | 3.51 | -1827.00% | 105.00% | 209333.00% | 1.30% | 0.63 | 5.61% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 40.85 | 90.52 | 3.65 | 3.86 |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, … | $185.25 | 21.97B | -55% | -60% | — | -100% | 38.35 | 12.20 | 1.39 | 27.00 | 152.61 | 80.64 | 8.37% | 4.90% | 3.62% | 32.91% | 19.48% | 11.34% | 0.88 | 12.60 | 1.53 | 1.46 | 1.65 | 2513.00% | -842.00% | 8397.00% | 3.97% | 0.50 | 26.99% | 1.34% | 51.30% | 3.48% | 30.17 | 26.80 | 1.48 | 9.84 |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corp… | $398.07 | 19.83B | -62% | -67% | -85% | -77% | 32.99 | 6.57 | 4.31 | 19.13 | 32.81 | 7.52 | 26.71% | 18.14% | 13.07% | 21.39% | 18.74% | 11.09% | 0.39 | 8.17 | 3.65 | 1.84 | 0.63 | 10054.00% | 425.00% | 6046.00% | 2.31% | 0.91 | 12.77% | 0.32% | 10.70% | 2.11% | 24.58 | 44.83 | 4.46 | 7.10 |
| EXPD | Expeditors International … | $145.03 | 19.68B | -37% | -58% | -83% | -49% | 24.36 | 8.40 | 1.79 | 16.94 | 605.72 | 8.42 | 15.31% | 9.51% | 7.35% | 35.47% | 42.06% | 16.83% | 0.44 | — | 1.81 | 1.61 | -0.25 | 402.00% | 442.00% | 3961.00% | 4.82% | 0.49 | 51.32% | 1.05% | 25.50% | 4.42% | 18.52 | 20.45 | 1.76 | 8.80 |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Servi… | $233.41 | 22.22B | -48% | -60% | -83% | -81% | 37.89 | 6.36 | 1.89 | 15.53 | 376.22 | 6.76 | 10.52% | 7.21% | 4.99% | 15.79% | 11.64% | 7.18% | 0.53 | 12.19 | 0.83 | 0.71 | 1.18 | 1007.00% | -73.00% | 5338.00% | 4.18% | 0.87 | 16.93% | 0.75% | 28.60% | 4.94% | 28.37 | 25.90 | 2.05 | 6.09 |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Co. | $49.26 | 25.48B | -26% | -50% | -88% | -83% | 59.11 | 3.27 | 0.93 | 12.89 | 1108.24 | 3.88 | 17.44% | 1.53% | 1.57% | 4.81% | 3.28% | 1.40% | 0.75 | 3.79 | 0.52 | 0.40 | 1.23 | 533.00% | 211.00% | -4864.00% | -3.19% | 0.17 | -8.14% | 1.53% | 90.50% | 11.31% | 67.33 | -34.68 | 1.03 | 2.33 |
| MTZ | MasTec, Inc. | $298.02 | 23.51B | -59% | +170% | -87% | -59% | — | 7.11 | 1.66 | 22.23 | — | 55.24 | 12.54% | 4.56% | 2.79% | 0.00% | 12.19% | 0.00% | 0.09 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 14612.00% | 1622.00% | -7063.00% | 1.20% | 0.17 | 6.52% | 0.00% | — | 8.18% | 36.78 | 84.01 | 1.68 | 3.42 |
| TRU | TransUnion | $78.55 | 15.25B | -1% | -60% | -99% | -49% | 33.43 | 3.43 | 3.33 | 13.53 | 55.71 | -3.88 | 59.09% | 18.74% | 9.95% | 10.52% | 7.19% | 4.12% | 1.15 | 3.64 | 1.75 | 1.52 | 2.95 | 6000.00% | 938.00% | 2804.00% | 4.35% | 0.86 | 7.59% | 0.59% | 19.90% | 4.66% | 22.70 | 29.43 | 4.26 | 2.49 |
| ULS | UL Solutions Inc. | $83.97 | 16.88B | -28% | -57% | -96% | -75% | 57.13 | 14.35 | 6.08 | 25.87 | — | 38.28 | 49.06% | 17.11% | 10.78% | 29.57% | 23.15% | 11.36% | 0.64 | 12.74 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 0.73 | -123.00% | 638.00% | 4042.00% | 2.17% | 0.79 | 23.90% | 0.56% | 32.00% | 1.10% | 36.57 | 47.40 | 6.26 | 8.58 |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | $386.76 | 23.2B | -54% | +15% | -87% | -71% | 40.85 | 7.04 | 5.06 | 27.12 | 208.05 | 13.83 | 26.81% | 14.33% | 12.39% | 18.64% | 15.07% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 11.19 | 2.08 | 1.28 | 0.58 | 1963.00% | 730.00% | -71.00% | 1.88% | 0.52 | 11.84% | 0.36% | 14.70% | 2.52% | 36.10 | 54.22 | 5.17 | 7.73 |
| ZTO | ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. | $24.38 | 19.45B | -21% | +4% | -88% | +39% | 13.04 | 1.87 | 2.62 | 7.38 | 1382.62 | 2.25 | 30.98% | 26.60% | 19.91% | 14.59% | 15.85% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 34.85 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 0.26 | 94.00% | 1526.00% | -1739.00% | 4.77% | 0.40 | 9.82% | 4.84% | 63.10% | 5.83% | 9.42 | 20.07 | 2.51 | 3.86 |
About XPO Logistics, Inc.
XPO Logistics, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, North American LTL and Brokerage and Other Services. The North American LTL segment provides customers with less-than-truckload (LTL) services, such as geographic density and day-definite regional, inter-regional, and transcontinental LTL freight services. This segment also offers cross-border U.S. service to and from Mexico and Canada, as well as intra-Canada service. The Brokerage and Other Services segment offers last mile logistics for heavy goods sold through e-commerce, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels, as well as other non-core brokered freight transportation modes. It provides its services to customers in various industries, such as industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and transportation, and consumer goods. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
- CEO
- Mario A. Harik
- Employees
- 38K
- Beta
- 1.79
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($86.07 ÷ $215.28) − 1 = -60.02% (DCF, example).