US · MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Personal Products & Services
- Headquarters
- Tucson, AZ 85705
- Website
- mistercarwash.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$7.05
Market cap 2.34B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $26.74 | +279.29% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3.10 | -56.03% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $1.57 | -77.67% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $4.32 | -38.7% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2021 | $14.89 | $31.24 | $6.01 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $8.36 | $45.67 | $0.38 | $0.84 | $8.58 |
| 2023 | $7.67 | $35.46 | $0.00 | $0.58 | $3.52 |
| 2024 | $7.96 | $29.14 | $0.00 | $0.67 | $3.30 |
| 2025 | $7.12 | $26.74 | $0.43 | $1.57 | $4.32 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Mister Car Wash, Inc.'s (MCW) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $26.74
- Current price
- $7.05
- AI upside
- +279.29%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3.10
-56.03% upside
Graham-Dodd
$1.57
-77.67% upside
Graham Formula
$4.32
-38.7% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash, Inc. | $7.05 | 2.34B | +279% | -56% | -78% | -39% | 22.54 | 2.05 | 2.21 | 11.35 | 47.33 | -20.62 | 62.87% | 20.42% | 9.80% | 9.67% | 6.44% | 3.29% | 0.86 | 3.65 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 3.28 | 4762.00% | 573.00% | -13720.00% | 1.30% | 1.55 | 1.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36.91% | 15.22 | 107.83 | 3.11 | 1.31 |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | $67.23 | 1.98B | -7% | -61% | +37% | -85% | 13.41 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 14.89 | — | 0.78 | 21.42% | 9.16% | 3.58% | 5.66% | 7.32% | 3.27% | 0.56 | — | 4.15 | 0.25 | 5.86 | -5327.00% | -638.00% | 4334.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 3.18% | 1.75% | 23.50% | 11.09% | 8.65 | 26.26 | 0.79 | 3.24 |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $18.07 | 1.68B | +113% | -61% | +24% | -30% | 28.04 | 1.05 | 0.38 | 6.40 | — | 1.38 | 17.46% | 6.24% | 5.02% | 3.97% | 9.48% | 1.67% | 0.38 | — | 2.92 | 0.35 | 1.14 | -3333.00% | -289.00% | -5519.00% | -7.66% | -0.13 | -5.81% | 0.82% | 23.00% | 44.19% | 7.44 | -15.87 | 0.46 | 2.79 |
| KSS | Kohl's Corporation | $16.37 | 1.84B | +271% | -84% | -44% | -93% | 6.67 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 6.59 | — | 0.19 | 35.86% | 3.14% | 0.67% | 2.83% | 4.44% | 0.79% | 1.88 | 1.60 | 1.08 | 0.09 | 5.97 | -6608.00% | -718.00% | -6920.00% | 25.05% | 0.21 | 1.66% | 30.55% | 203.70% | 55.05% | 15.23 | 42.59 | 0.48 | 1.49 |
| MBC | MasterBrand, Inc. | $10.12 | 1.29B | +201% | -60% | -73% | -81% | 47.57 | 0.94 | 0.46 | 10.80 | — | -3.84 | 29.25% | 4.83% | 0.98% | 2.02% | 3.20% | 0.89% | 1.00 | 1.78 | 1.67 | 0.80 | 5.17 | -7812.00% | 127.00% | -4434.00% | 9.25% | 0.47 | 4.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.43% | 18.44 | 20.73 | 0.89 | 2.18 |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino & Resort, … | $96.10 | 1.75B | -9% | -44% | -61% | -29% | 17.48 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 9.16 | 42.21 | 3.47 | 45.13% | 25.07% | 18.60% | 19.21% | 22.78% | 14.44% | 0.05 | 70.55 | 0.86 | 0.74 | -0.38 | 4141.00% | 439.00% | 3768.00% | 7.25% | 1.10 | 27.33% | 1.24% | 21.60% | 6.82% | 12.45 | 13.25 | 3.12 | 8.61 |
| OI | O-I Glass, Inc. | $13.40 | 2.06B | +56% | -44% | — | — | 412.44 | 1.59 | 0.32 | 8.07 | 1897.23 | -4.97 | 17.26% | 9.85% | -2.01% | 0.42% | 11.45% | 0.06% | 3.86 | 1.86 | 1.25 | 0.65 | 5.43 | 2174.00% | -161.00% | -23125.00% | 8.15% | 0.29 | 3.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.88% | 9.96 | 37.51 | 0.98 | 1.23 |
| TRIP | Tripadvisor, Inc. | $10.11 | 1.18B | +325% | -38% | -100% | -65% | 31.19 | 1.93 | 0.66 | 6.74 | 3.91 | -5.38 | 62.03% | 4.23% | 2.12% | 5.04% | 8.73% | 1.54% | 1.92 | 1.27 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 0.94 | 79855.00% | 305.00% | 13286.00% | 13.07% | 0.25 | 20.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 41.76% | 18.12 | 8.89 | 0.77 | 1.50 |
| UAA | Under Armour, Inc. | $7.42 | 3.17B | +328% | -64% | -88% | -95% | -14.47 | 1.54 | 0.56 | 433.73 | — | 2.08 | 47.92% | -3.59% | -3.90% | -9.95% | -6.73% | -4.44% | 0.69 | — | 2.10 | 1.06 | 93.27 | -19038.00% | -943.00% | -21197.00% | -7.83% | -0.05 | -8.40% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.09% | -20.04 | -16.28 | 0.72 | 2.37 |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc… | $17.67 | 1.45B | — | -58% | — | -3% | 15.33 | 3.60 | 0.78 | 11.82 | — | -7.21 | 47.31% | 8.01% | 5.11% | — | — | — | 2.13 | 4.58 | 1.40 | 0.71 | 3.67 | — | — | — | 8.55% | 0.27 | — | 2.27% | 34.80% | 3.26% | 14.18 | 16.97 | 1.14 | 3.03 |
About Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Mister Car Wash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides conveyorized car wash services in the United States. It offers express exterior and interior cleaning services. As of June 16, 2022, it operated 407 car wash locations in 21 states. The company was formerly known as Hotshine Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Mister Car Wash, Inc. in March 2021. Mister Car Wash, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Tucson, Arizona.
- CEO
- John Lai
- Employees
- 6.64K
- Beta
- 1.47
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3.10 ÷ $7.05) − 1 = -56.03% (DCF, example).