US · MGM
MGM Resorts International
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
- Headquarters
- Las Vegas, NV 89109
- Website
- mgmresorts.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$38.50
Market cap 10.08B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $165.84 | +330.75% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $14.29 | -62.88% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $7.67 | -80.07% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $12.95 | $76.32 | $51.05 | $38.40 | $237.17 |
| 2012 | $11.68 | $13.82 | $63.71 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $26.72 | $24.90 | $182.82 | $1.09 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $18.33 | $19.72 | $3.49 | $0.91 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $19.66 | $17.60 | $2.77 | $2.67 | $0.24 |
| 2016 | $24.09 | $22.76 | $7.79 | $17.44 | $20.95 |
| 2017 | $35.25 | $21.78 | $4.37 | $20.53 | $74.07 |
| 2018 | $25.80 | $16.71 | $14.78 | $5.72 | $14.36 |
| 2019 | $20.22 | $27.23 | $43.92 | $22.55 | $67.68 |
| 2020 | $38.96 | $43.45 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $106.55 |
| 2021 | $40.10 | $37.93 | $3.87 | $18.24 | $262.16 |
| 2022 | $42.68 | $109.61 | $4.34 | $17.37 | $151.85 |
| 2023 | $42.47 | $80.19 | $15.24 | $12.27 | $97.58 |
| 2024 | $32.03 | $78.45 | $57.66 | $5.24 | $35.08 |
| 2025 | $35.72 | $165.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $7.67 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MGM Resorts International's (MGM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $165.84
- Current price
- $38.50
- AI upside
- +330.75%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$14.29
-62.88% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$7.67
-80.07% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MGM | MGM Resorts International | $38.50 | 10.08B | +331% | -63% | — | -80% | 44.82 | 3.89 | 0.54 | 37.00 | — | -2.47 | 44.42% | 5.71% | 1.18% | 7.74% | 2.25% | 0.50% | 23.11 | 2.39 | 1.23 | 0.97 | 31.49 | -6833.00% | 172.00% | 3761.00% | 17.63% | 0.78 | 3.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.98% | 63.44 | 38.11 | 3.62 | 0.75 |
| BROS | Dutch Bros Inc. | $53.61 | 6.81B | -22% | +121% | -84% | -59% | 56.90 | 9.80 | 4.07 | 27.11 | 55.12 | 10.15 | 25.88% | 9.84% | 4.87% | 19.25% | 10.37% | 4.26% | 1.60 | 5.69 | 1.49 | 1.20 | 2.97 | 10323.00% | 2788.00% | 12034.00% | 0.82% | 1.23 | 4.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46.48 | 137.70 | 4.57 | 2.71 |
| BWA | BorgWarner Inc. | $57.57 | 12.32B | -14% | -54% | -76% | -79% | 43.73 | 2.23 | 0.85 | 6.67 | — | 4.05 | 18.71% | 9.62% | 1.93% | 5.05% | 11.67% | 2.00% | 0.77 | 11.20 | 2.07 | 1.61 | 0.89 | -1467.00% | 165.00% | 7313.00% | 9.73% | 0.50 | 15.63% | 0.98% | 43.00% | 8.34% | 10.15 | 11.86 | 0.98 | 3.24 |
| BYD | Boyd Gaming Corporation | $83.23 | 6.28B | +73% | -46% | +47% | +229% | 3.66 | 2.58 | 1.65 | 3.46 | 1.38 | 38.40 | 42.14% | 21.43% | 45.05% | 87.98% | 12.92% | 27.83% | 1.25 | 5.56 | 0.54 | 0.45 | 1.04 | 26446.00% | 412.00% | -3022.00% | 5.76% | 1.00 | 7.25% | 0.86% | 3.20% | 22.83% | 11.01 | 24.85 | 2.36 | 2.43 |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorpora… | $91.93 | 6.41B | +26% | -29% | -81% | -14% | 17.24 | -32.78 | 2.27 | 6.96 | — | -32.78 | 33.58% | 25.17% | 12.98% | 87.52% | 16.60% | 9.68% | -3.96 | 2.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | -634.00% | 701.00% | 11927.00% | 7.45% | 8.66 | 15.41% | 0.46% | 8.00% | 66.17% | 10.11 | 15.05 | 2.55 | 12.09 |
| FIVE | Five Below, Inc. | $223.53 | 12.33B | -65% | -60% | -75% | -66% | 13.13 | 1.84 | 0.86 | 9.73 | — | 1.84 | 34.89% | 8.35% | 6.54% | 14.95% | 7.92% | 6.18% | 1.10 | — | 1.79 | 0.71 | 3.36 | -1497.00% | 891.00% | -3519.00% | 3.20% | 0.57 | 3.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.42% | 14.77 | 44.84 | 1.23 | 2.63 |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $28.04 | 10.43B | +45% | -74% | -63% | -24% | 8.04 | 2.08 | 0.45 | 5.61 | 12.53 | 2.26 | 41.28% | 7.37% | 5.59% | 28.81% | 13.41% | 7.36% | 1.68 | 12.78 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 6418.00% | 132.00% | -656.00% | 15.31% | 0.46 | 16.88% | 3.32% | 26.70% | 10.73% | 8.70 | 9.31 | 0.64 | 2.60 |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear Inc. | $68.09 | 10.42B | -39% | -8% | -75% | -22% | 25.65 | 2.89 | 2.79 | 16.75 | 332.07 | -31.40 | 30.18% | 19.84% | 11.03% | 15.99% | 10.94% | 5.66% | 1.37 | 5.98 | 2.11 | 0.55 | 5.17 | 772.00% | 1250.00% | 3595.00% | 4.64% | 0.26 | 8.56% | 1.34% | 34.30% | 3.45% | 20.37 | 31.16 | 4.04 | 1.92 |
| LNW | Light & Wonder, Inc. | $99.75 | 8.43B | — | — | — | -34% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 70.80% | 20.95% | 10.54% | 47.97% | 12.36% | 6.12% | 6.16 | 2.28 | 1.61 | 1.06 | 3.41 | 11029.00% | 986.00% | -287.00% | — | 0.86 | 7.83% | — | 0.00% | — | — | — | — | — |
| MTN | Vail Resorts, Inc. | $135.81 | 4.88B | +64% | -55% | — | -40% | 17.99 | 12.63 | 1.81 | 9.61 | 74.79 | -3.46 | 42.78% | 18.89% | 9.45% | 51.91% | 12.06% | 5.19% | 8.11 | 3.26 | 0.63 | 0.49 | 3.45 | 2405.00% | 274.00% | -1488.00% | 5.96% | 0.33 | 9.30% | 6.12% | 110.10% | 11.16% | 14.94 | 26.16 | 2.82 | 1.52 |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | $17.42 | 8.72B | -15% | -26% | +20% | -33% | 8.46 | 1.49 | 0.58 | 4.08 | — | 2.08 | 23.12% | 7.68% | 6.84% | 17.89% | 38.87% | 9.42% | 0.16 | 92.89 | 1.28 | 0.96 | -1.73 | -139.00% | -231.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.79 | — | 0.37 | 2.89 |
About MGM Resorts International
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts in the United States and Macau. The company operates through three segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, and MGM China. Its casino resorts offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. The company's casino operations include slots and table games, as well as online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM. As of February 17, 2021, its portfolio consisted of 29 hotel and destination gaming offerings. The company also owns and operates Las Vegas Strip Resorts and Fallen Oak golf course. Its customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
- CEO
- William Joseph Hornbuckle
- Employees
- 60K
- Beta
- 1.40
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($14.29 ÷ $38.50) − 1 = -62.88% (DCF, example).