US · VIPS
Vipshop Holdings Limited
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- Guangzhou 510220
- Website
- vip.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$14.52
Market cap 8.72B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $2.10 | -85.54% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $12.91 | -11.09% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $20.90 | +43.94% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $11.60 | -20.11% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2012 | $2.29 | $12.86 | $1,790,907.68 | $0.10 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $15.65 | $17.25 | $1,959,809.76 | $0.80 | $11.40 |
| 2014 | $24.10 | $24.21 | $1,971,086.09 | $1.70 | $27.40 |
| 2015 | $11.90 | $19.99 | $152,980.16 | $2.80 | $29.60 |
| 2016 | $12.24 | $16.20 | $9,314.77 | $3.80 | $23.20 |
| 2017 | $16.90 | $15.34 | $921.40 | $5.60 | $16.60 |
| 2018 | $6.79 | $10.41 | $88.91 | $5.70 | $10.30 |
| 2019 | $15.52 | $15.76 | $4.17 | $8.80 | $14.90 |
| 2020 | $39.66 | $25.50 | $5.11 | $11.90 | $21.20 |
| 2021 | $6.17 | $10.08 | $6.02 | $11.40 | $21.70 |
| 2022 | $13.64 | $12.49 | $4.92 | $12.80 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $16.24 | $14.81 | $8.34 | $19.10 | $34.60 |
| 2024 | $16.48 | $13.78 | $9.62 | $13.90 | $8.80 |
| 2025 | $16.79 | $14.84 | $10.77 | $20.90 | $11.60 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Vipshop Holdings Limited's (VIPS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $2.10
- Current price
- $14.52
- AI upside
- -85.54%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$12.91
-11.09% upside
Graham-Dodd
$20.90
+43.94% upside
Graham Formula
$11.60
-20.11% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | $14.52 | 8.72B | +2% | -11% | +44% | -20% | 8.46 | 1.49 | 0.58 | 4.08 | — | 2.08 | 23.12% | 7.68% | 6.84% | 17.89% | 38.87% | 9.42% | 0.16 | 92.89 | 1.28 | 0.96 | -1.73 | -139.00% | -231.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.79 | — | 0.37 | 2.89 |
| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | $118.52 | 9B | -19% | -47% | -86% | -3% | 12.19 | 3.48 | 0.83 | 7.22 | 63.98 | 7.56 | 19.18% | 10.08% | 6.80% | 30.32% | 19.32% | 8.94% | 0.95 | 10.58 | 1.05 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 1905.00% | 409.00% | 4896.00% | 7.98% | 0.29 | 16.98% | 2.66% | 32.40% | 6.57% | 9.91 | 15.10 | 1.00 | 2.58 |
| CART | Instacart (Maplebear Inc.… | $37.51 | 9.85B | +113% | -10% | -54% | -16% | 22.12 | 3.64 | 2.64 | 13.89 | 1747.83 | 4.40 | 73.57% | 15.39% | 11.95% | 15.40% | 26.30% | 11.46% | 0.03 | — | 2.40 | 2.17 | -1.13 | 127.00% | 1078.00% | 4623.00% | 9.21% | 1.06 | 51.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.01% | 15.80 | 9.99 | 2.43 | 6.34 |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | $602.79 | 9.41B | +33% | -54% | — | -53% | 16.62 | 4.03 | 1.44 | 10.02 | — | 4.03 | 37.59% | 10.49% | 8.69% | 27.50% | 38.40% | 16.21% | 0.15 | — | 2.65 | 1.23 | -0.58 | -103.00% | -41.00% | 230.00% | 6.58% | 0.79 | 42.37% | 5.12% | 85.00% | 9.86% | 12.72 | 14.05 | 1.33 | 7.96 |
| FIVE | Five Below, Inc. | $223.53 | 12.33B | -65% | -60% | -75% | -66% | 13.13 | 1.84 | 0.86 | 9.73 | — | 1.84 | 34.89% | 8.35% | 6.54% | 14.95% | 7.92% | 6.18% | 1.10 | — | 1.79 | 0.71 | 3.36 | -1497.00% | 891.00% | -3519.00% | 3.20% | 0.57 | 3.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.42% | 14.77 | 44.84 | 1.23 | 2.63 |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $28.04 | 10.43B | +45% | -74% | -63% | -24% | 8.04 | 2.08 | 0.45 | 5.61 | 12.53 | 2.26 | 41.28% | 7.37% | 5.59% | 28.81% | 13.41% | 7.36% | 1.68 | 12.78 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 6418.00% | 132.00% | -656.00% | 15.31% | 0.46 | 16.88% | 3.32% | 26.70% | 10.73% | 8.70 | 9.31 | 0.64 | 2.60 |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear Inc. | $68.09 | 10.42B | -39% | -8% | -75% | -22% | 25.65 | 2.89 | 2.79 | 16.75 | 332.07 | -31.40 | 30.18% | 19.84% | 11.03% | 15.99% | 10.94% | 5.66% | 1.37 | 5.98 | 2.11 | 0.55 | 5.17 | 772.00% | 1250.00% | 3595.00% | 4.64% | 0.26 | 8.56% | 1.34% | 34.30% | 3.45% | 20.37 | 31.16 | 4.04 | 1.92 |
| GME | GameStop Corp. | $24.03 | 10.77B | +107% | -32% | -41% | — | 79.24 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 269.64 | 5.66 | 2.11 | 29.14% | -0.69% | 3.43% | 4.19% | -3.83% | 3.06% | 0.08 | — | 8.05 | 7.27 | -194.03 | 140000.00% | -2750.00% | -15432.00% | 1.25% | 0.22 | 19.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.71% | -230.54 | 46.61 | 1.58 | 8.18 |
| LAD | Lithia Motors, Inc. | $279.58 | 6.78B | +29% | -61% | +39% | +38% | 8.41 | 1.05 | 0.18 | 11.36 | 95.14 | 5.05 | 14.54% | 4.06% | 2.18% | 12.43% | 5.55% | 3.42% | 2.22 | 3.04 | 1.17 | 0.22 | 7.65 | 884.00% | 400.00% | 16038.00% | 2.76% | 0.08 | 0.93% | 0.80% | 6.70% | 14.64% | 13.92 | 110.94 | 0.57 | 1.98 |
| MNSO | MINISO Group Holding Limi… | $18.02 | 5.61B | +65% | -26% | -88% | +4,259% | 16.43 | 4.20 | 2.55 | 12.31 | 2.53 | 5.01 | 44.94% | 19.51% | 15.40% | 27.05% | 49.62% | 16.17% | 0.30 | 256.83 | 2.04 | 1.50 | -1.00 | 65000.00% | 68876.00% | -1560.00% | 3.25% | 0.38 | 26.72% | 2.87% | 47.20% | 3.60% | 11.98 | 28.26 | 2.34 | 5.61 |
| MUSA | Murphy USA Inc. | $390.74 | 7.24B | -12% | -59% | -73% | -74% | 16.53 | 12.48 | 0.40 | 11.00 | — | 49.81 | 5.01% | 3.81% | 2.43% | 64.31% | 16.30% | 10.16% | 5.22 | 6.67 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 3.22 | -4.00% | -425.00% | -390.00% | 4.81% | 0.88 | 10.68% | 0.53% | 8.80% | 8.89% | 14.89 | 29.40 | 0.57 | 6.95 |
About Vipshop Holdings Limited
Vipshop Holdings Limited operates online platforms for various brands in the People's Republic of China. It operates in Vip.com, Shan Shan Outlets, and Others segments. The company offers women's apparel, such as casual wear, jeans, dresses, outerwear, lingerie, pajamas, and maternity clothes; men's apparel comprising casual and smart-casual T-shirts, polo shirts, jackets, pants, and underwear; and skin care and cosmetic products, including cleansers, lotions, face and body creams, face masks, sunscreen, foundations, lipsticks, eye shadows, and other cosmetics-related items. It also provides shoes and bags, which comprises casual and formal shoes, purses, satchels, luggage, duffel bags, and wallets; handbags; apparel, gears and accessories, furnishings and decor, toys, and games for boys, girls, infants, and toddlers; sportswear, sports gear, and footwear for various sporting activities; home furnishings, such as bed and bath products, home decor, kitchen and tabletop items, and home appliances; and consumer electronic products. In addition, the company offers food and snacks, beverages, fresh produce, and pet goods; beauty products; and internet finance services, including consumer and supplier financing, and microcredit. Vipshop Holdings Limited provides its branded products through its vip.com and vipshop.com online platforms, as well as through its internet website and cellular phone application. Further, it offers warehousing, logistics, product procurement, research and development, technology development, and consulting services; software development and information technology support solutions; and supply chain services. Vipshop Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
- CEO
- Ya Shen
- Employees
- 14.97K
- Beta
- 0.71
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($12.91 ÷ $14.52) − 1 = -11.09% (DCF, example).