US · MWA
Mueller Water Products, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Machinery
- Headquarters
- Atlanta, GA 30328
- Website
- muellerwaterproducts.com
Price · as of 2025-09-30
$27.39
Market cap 4.68B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $36.64 | +33.77% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $10.96 | -59.99% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.82 | -71.46% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $20.28 | -25.95% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $1.73 | $22.59 | $0.00 | $0.23 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $4.52 | $27.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $9.96 |
| 2013 | $7.20 | $29.12 | $0.00 | $2.33 | $4.43 |
| 2014 | $8.71 | $29.72 | $0.00 | $2.85 | $4.77 |
| 2015 | $7.38 | $28.73 | $0.00 | $2.09 | $1.23 |
| 2016 | $12.08 | $31.02 | $0.13 | $3.04 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $10.76 | $30.56 | $0.93 | $4.57 | $8.62 |
| 2018 | $8.89 | $27.88 | $1.57 | $3.97 | $12.32 |
| 2019 | $10.68 | $27.87 | $0.01 | $2.11 | $5.45 |
| 2020 | $11.02 | $26.45 | $0.00 | $2.56 | $3.54 |
| 2021 | $13.15 | $28.76 | $0.00 | $2.59 | $10.07 |
| 2022 | $10.90 | $27.59 | $0.00 | $2.58 | $9.64 |
| 2023 | $13.34 | $25.74 | $0.00 | $3.03 | $5.60 |
| 2024 | $24.97 | $32.54 | $0.00 | $4.56 | $8.18 |
| 2025 | $24.51 | $36.64 | $1.98 | $7.82 | $20.28 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Mueller Water Products, Inc.'s (MWA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $36.64
- Current price
- $27.39
- AI upside
- +33.77%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$10.96
-59.99% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.82
-71.46% upside
Graham Formula
$20.28
-25.95% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products, I… | $27.39 | 4.68B | +34% | -60% | -71% | -26% | 20.00 | 3.91 | 2.68 | 12.82 | 30.83 | 6.55 | 36.14% | 18.23% | 13.41% | 21.40% | 19.86% | 11.03% | 0.46 | 13.03 | 3.54 | 2.22 | 0.07 | 6486.00% | 875.00% | -1014.00% | 4.49% | 0.76 | 17.38% | 1.09% | 21.90% | 5.33% | 14.79 | 22.41 | 2.70 | 4.28 |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | $451.25 | 6.26B | -73% | -51% | -92% | -18% | 23.13 | 5.62 | 2.26 | 15.50 | 14.70 | 6.14 | 16.13% | 10.09% | 9.78% | 26.59% | -46.85% | 11.92% | 0.01 | — | 1.63 | 1.59 | -1.52 | 15732.00% | 5247.00% | 4110.00% | 8.14% | 0.35 | -111.30% | 0.92% | 21.40% | 1.00% | 16.49 | 9.03 | 1.66 | 4.77 |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technolo… | $64.53 | 5.26B | -13% | -52% | -80% | -47% | 25.99 | 14.24 | 3.05 | 17.95 | 206.05 | 18.35 | 28.88% | 16.37% | 11.76% | 68.46% | 32.45% | 16.32% | 1.51 | 8.65 | 2.42 | 1.51 | 1.05 | 1261.00% | 567.00% | 16197.00% | 2.76% | 0.55 | 21.46% | 0.32% | 8.30% | 3.56% | 19.82 | 38.46 | 3.24 | 6.28 |
| CSW | CSW Industrials, Inc. | $294.33 | 4.91B | -21% | -22% | -73% | -47% | 35.97 | 4.61 | 5.63 | 21.44 | 126.09 | 10.98 | 44.78% | 20.64% | 15.56% | 16.29% | 15.88% | 11.35% | 0.06 | 673.78 | 4.03 | 2.61 | -0.70 | 2853.00% | 1078.00% | 294.00% | 3.08% | 1.14 | 17.45% | 0.29% | 10.60% | 8.29% | 26.42 | 31.49 | 5.45 | 12.53 |
| CXT | Crane NXT, Co. | $48.29 | 2.77B | +7% | +41% | -92% | -0% | 19.25 | 2.22 | 1.69 | 10.63 | — | -6.01 | 42.48% | 15.91% | 8.76% | 12.50% | 10.90% | 5.27% | 0.91 | 4.37 | 1.50 | 1.05 | 2.60 | -2163.00% | 1143.00% | 1755.00% | 7.10% | 0.42 | 10.23% | 1.40% | 26.90% | 1.40% | 14.04 | 18.65 | 2.23 | 1.82 |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co., In… | $99.62 | 4.43B | -24% | -60% | -80% | -57% | 30.27 | 3.40 | 2.11 | 17.46 | — | 6.66 | 35.47% | 12.65% | 6.90% | 11.48% | 15.02% | 7.90% | 0.21 | 25.34 | 2.79 | 1.01 | 0.67 | -1580.00% | 544.00% | -1190.00% | 4.30% | 0.69 | 14.11% | 1.11% | 33.60% | 4.79% | 17.36 | 24.19 | 2.20 | 7.08 |
| HAYW | Hayward Holdings, Inc. | $16.00 | 3.47B | +140% | -58% | -60% | -36% | 22.84 | 2.17 | 3.08 | 10.52 | 88.08 | 6.26 | 48.00% | 20.79% | 13.51% | 10.05% | 11.23% | 4.94% | 0.01 | 4.64 | 2.94 | 2.10 | -1.08 | 2593.00% | 671.00% | 2022.00% | 6.52% | 0.79 | 13.24% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31.79% | 13.18 | 13.62 | 2.74 | 2.55 |
| KAI | Kadant Inc. | $339.17 | 3.99B | -21% | -48% | -82% | -50% | 39.39 | 5.19 | 4.17 | 20.77 | — | 49.69 | 44.25% | 16.26% | 10.59% | 13.77% | 13.41% | 8.56% | 0.38 | 8.55 | 2.31 | 1.33 | 1.02 | -424.00% | 999.00% | 42.00% | 3.05% | 0.81 | 14.30% | 0.33% | 13.10% | 0.33% | 27.00 | 34.44 | 4.39 | 6.79 |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group, Inc. | $20.68 | 4.23B | -27% | -52% | -20% | -35% | 22.37 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 13.27 | — | 1.75 | 21.59% | 15.49% | 10.15% | 6.97% | 5.06% | 2.57% | 0.99 | 2.70 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 5.16 | -3212.00% | 666.00% | 145369.00% | -7.48% | 0.69 | -6.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 24.01 | -21.88 | 3.72 | 1.06 |
| SKYW | SkyWest, Inc. | $104.08 | 4.21B | -8% | +54% | +16% | +129% | 9.57 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 5.59 | 28.83 | 1.49 | 61.58% | 15.22% | 10.55% | 16.62% | 10.64% | 5.90% | 0.87 | 5.92 | 0.65 | 0.42 | 2.31 | 3320.00% | 1503.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.43% | 9.36 | — | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corpora… | $21.61 | 3.93B | +42% | -59% | — | — | -74.93 | 4.64 | 1.74 | 13.56 | — | -6.35 | 46.79% | 21.43% | -2.32% | -5.65% | 9.38% | -0.89% | 4.84 | 2.20 | 0.86 | 0.67 | 6.91 | -29333.00% | -477.00% | 18117.00% | 18.58% | 1.25 | 14.80% | 1.29% | -96.50% | 3.80% | 16.57 | 10.98 | 3.55 | 0.94 |
About Mueller Water Products, Inc.
Mueller Water Products Inc. manufactures and markets products and services used in the transmission, distribution, and measurement of water in North America and internationally. Its products and services are used by municipalities, and the residential and non-residential construction industries. It operates through two segments, Infrastructure and Technologies. The company's Infrastructure segment manufactures and sells valves for water and gas systems, including iron gate, butterfly, tapping, check, knife, plug, automatic control, and ball valves; and dry-barrel and wet-barrel fire hydrants and service brass products, as well as a line of pipe repair products, such as clamps and couplings used to repair leaks. This segment offers its products under Canada Valve, Centurion, Ez-Max, Hydro Gate, Hydro-Guard, HYMAX, HYMAX VERSA, Jones, Krausz, Milliken, Mueller, Pratt, Pratt Industrial, Repamax, Repaflex, and Singer brands. Its Technologies segment offers residential and commercial water metering, water leak detection and pipe condition assessment products, systems, and services. It offers products under Echologics, Echoshore, ePulse, Hersey, LeakFinderRT, LeakFinderST, LeakListener, LeakTuner, Mi.Echo, Mi.Data, Mi.Hydrant, Mi.Net, Mueller Systems, and Sentryx brands. The company was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
- CEO
- Paul McAndrew
- Employees
- 3.4K
- Beta
- 1.17
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($10.96 ÷ $27.39) − 1 = -59.99% (DCF, example).