US · MDU
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Conglomerates
- Headquarters
- Bismarck, ND 58506-5650
- Website
- mdu.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$22.60
Market cap 4.23B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $15.06 | -33.36% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $9.91 | -56.15% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $16.54 | -26.81% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $13.46 | -40.44% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.52 | $14.01 | $1.26 | $7.18 | $13.06 |
| 2012 | $6.40 | $4.52 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $8.76 | $28.67 | $0.00 | $11.32 | $25.28 |
| 2014 | $5.46 | $6.47 | $0.59 | $10.68 | $19.41 |
| 2015 | $5.29 | $10.65 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $5.19 |
| 2016 | $7.73 | $7.80 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $2.24 |
| 2017 | $7.94 | $7.85 | $0.00 | $4.82 | $22.17 |
| 2018 | $8.04 | $5.01 | $0.00 | $4.83 | $13.97 |
| 2019 | $9.41 | $8.36 | $0.00 | $7.25 | $42.49 |
| 2020 | $10.37 | $8.04 | $0.00 | $9.07 | $22.52 |
| 2021 | $8.53 | $8.84 | $0.00 | $9.59 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $10.43 | $11.50 | $1.88 | $11.22 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $11.86 | $9.83 | $0.00 | $10.16 | $22.79 |
| 2024 | $16.12 | $10.59 | $0.16 | $10.82 | $7.78 |
| 2025 | $20.85 | $15.06 | $2.64 | $16.54 | $13.46 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates MDU Resources Group, Inc.'s (MDU) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $15.06
- Current price
- $22.60
- AI upside
- -33.36%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$9.91
-56.15% upside
Graham-Dodd
$16.54
-26.81% upside
Graham Formula
$13.46
-40.44% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group, Inc. | $22.60 | 4.23B | -33% | -56% | -27% | -40% | 22.37 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 13.27 | — | 1.75 | 21.59% | 15.49% | 10.15% | 6.97% | 5.06% | 2.57% | 0.99 | 2.70 | 0.84 | 0.42 | 5.16 | -3212.00% | 666.00% | 145369.00% | -7.48% | 0.69 | -6.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 24.01 | -21.88 | 3.72 | 1.06 |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | $451.25 | 6.26B | -73% | -51% | -92% | -18% | 23.13 | 5.62 | 2.26 | 15.50 | 14.70 | 6.14 | 16.13% | 10.09% | 9.78% | 26.59% | -46.85% | 11.92% | 0.01 | — | 1.63 | 1.59 | -1.52 | 15732.00% | 5247.00% | 4110.00% | 8.14% | 0.35 | -111.30% | 0.92% | 21.40% | 1.00% | 16.49 | 9.03 | 1.66 | 4.77 |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technolo… | $64.53 | 5.26B | -13% | -52% | -80% | -47% | 25.99 | 14.24 | 3.05 | 17.95 | 206.05 | 18.35 | 28.88% | 16.37% | 11.76% | 68.46% | 32.45% | 16.32% | 1.51 | 8.65 | 2.42 | 1.51 | 1.05 | 1261.00% | 567.00% | 16197.00% | 2.76% | 0.55 | 21.46% | 0.32% | 8.30% | 3.56% | 19.82 | 38.46 | 3.24 | 6.28 |
| ECG | Everus Construction Group… | $120.87 | 6.17B | -29% | +1,098% | -76% | +25% | 30.18 | 9.67 | 1.63 | 18.58 | 74.40 | 12.52 | 12.12% | 7.07% | 5.39% | 38.34% | 30.82% | 13.37% | 0.17 | 12.34 | 1.76 | 1.28 | -0.20 | 4057.00% | 3147.00% | -2180.00% | 1.48% | 0.21 | 14.23% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.62% | 22.76 | 66.94 | 1.61 | 6.78 |
| FELE | Franklin Electric Co., In… | $99.62 | 4.43B | -24% | -60% | -80% | -57% | 30.27 | 3.40 | 2.11 | 17.46 | — | 6.66 | 35.47% | 12.65% | 6.90% | 11.48% | 15.02% | 7.90% | 0.21 | 25.34 | 2.79 | 1.01 | 0.67 | -1580.00% | 544.00% | -1190.00% | 4.30% | 0.69 | 14.11% | 1.11% | 33.60% | 4.79% | 17.36 | 24.19 | 2.20 | 7.08 |
| GFF | Griffon Corporation | $85.24 | 3.97B | -10% | -65% | — | -94% | 65.41 | 45.19 | 1.33 | 16.89 | — | -5.51 | 41.99% | 8.19% | 2.03% | 34.20% | 4.89% | 2.31% | 21.52 | 2.15 | 2.66 | 1.17 | 5.21 | -7423.00% | -395.00% | -171.00% | 9.08% | 1.06 | 17.94% | 1.19% | 77.70% | 9.63% | 23.44 | 15.93 | 1.92 | 3.21 |
| IEP | Icahn Enterprises L.P. | $8.06 | 4.84B | +56% | -45% | — | -30% | -6.92 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 15.47 | — | 1.47 | 9.19% | 1.49% | -4.29% | -15.03% | 1.82% | -2.92% | 2.69 | 0.29 | 3.41 | 3.04 | 9.36 | -4641.00% | -1471.00% | -8392.00% | 14.72% | 0.34 | 6.92% | 10.43% | -72.10% | 62.70% | 47.52 | 13.08 | 0.71 | 1.28 |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products, I… | $29.93 | 4.68B | +22% | -63% | -74% | -32% | 20.00 | 3.91 | 2.68 | 12.82 | 30.83 | 6.55 | 36.14% | 18.23% | 13.41% | 21.40% | 19.86% | 11.03% | 0.46 | 13.03 | 3.54 | 2.22 | 0.07 | 6486.00% | 875.00% | -1014.00% | 4.49% | 0.76 | 17.38% | 1.09% | 21.90% | 5.33% | 14.79 | 22.41 | 2.70 | 4.28 |
| SKYW | SkyWest, Inc. | $104.08 | 4.21B | -8% | +54% | +16% | +129% | 9.57 | 1.49 | 1.01 | 5.59 | 28.83 | 1.49 | 61.58% | 15.22% | 10.55% | 16.62% | 10.64% | 5.90% | 0.87 | 5.92 | 0.65 | 0.42 | 2.31 | 3320.00% | 1503.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.43% | 9.36 | — | 1.43 | 1.26 |
| WSC | WillScot Holdings Corpora… | $21.61 | 3.93B | +42% | -59% | — | — | -74.93 | 4.64 | 1.74 | 13.56 | — | -6.35 | 46.79% | 21.43% | -2.32% | -5.65% | 9.38% | -0.89% | 4.84 | 2.20 | 0.86 | 0.67 | 6.91 | -29333.00% | -477.00% | 18117.00% | 18.58% | 1.25 | 14.80% | 1.29% | -96.50% | 3.80% | 16.57 | 10.98 | 3.55 | 0.94 |
About MDU Resources Group, Inc.
MDU Resources Group, Inc. engages in the regulated energy delivery, and construction materials and services businesses in the United States. The company's Electric segment generates, transmits, and distributes electricity for residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming, as well as operates 3,500 miles of transmission lines and 4,800 miles of distribution lines. Its Natural Gas Distribution segment distributes natural gas for residential, commercial, and industrial customers in Idaho, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington, and Wyoming; and offers supply-related value-added services. The company's Pipeline segment provides natural gas transportation and underground storage services through a regulated pipeline system primarily in the Rocky Mountain and northern Great Plains regions; and cathodic protection and other energy-related services. Its Construction Materials and Contracting segment mines, processes, and sells construction aggregates; produces and sells asphalt mix; and supplies ready-mixed concrete. This segment is also involved in the sale of cement, finished concrete products, and other building materials and related contracting services. The company's Construction Services segment designs, constructs, and maintains electrical and communication wiring and infrastructure, fire suppression systems, mechanical piping and services; overhead and underground electrical, gas, and communication infrastructure; and manufactures and distributes transmission lines construction equipment. It serves manufacturing, commercial, industrial, transportation, institutional, and renewable and government customers, as well as utilities. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Bismarck, North Dakota.
- CEO
- Nicole A. Kivisto
- Employees
- 2.05K
- Beta
- 0.42
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($9.91 ÷ $22.60) − 1 = -56.15% (DCF, example).