US · TPH
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
- Headquarters
- Irvine, CA 92612
- Website
- tripointehomes.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$46.86
Market cap 3.98B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $104.11 | +122.17% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $18.72 | -60.05% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $53.00 | +13.09% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $19.03 | $59.01 | $0.12 | $5.12 | $23.89 |
| 2013 | $18.08 | $37.30 | $11.07 | $12.97 | $113.20 |
| 2014 | $14.70 | $87.10 | $4,942.32 | $11.06 | $315.88 |
| 2015 | $11.40 | $42.80 | $404.45 | $15.78 | $60.16 |
| 2016 | $12.96 | $74.59 | $62.53 | $16.57 | $10.10 |
| 2017 | $16.41 | $48.43 | $0.00 | $17.69 | $29.39 |
| 2018 | $12.86 | $36.08 | $0.00 | $22.05 | $43.03 |
| 2019 | $15.37 | $36.13 | $0.00 | $21.89 | $4.08 |
| 2020 | $20.08 | $43.76 | $0.00 | $27.09 | $29.84 |
| 2021 | $22.14 | $67.03 | $24.88 | $41.25 | $122.12 |
| 2022 | $23.72 | $98.56 | $115.49 | $54.16 | $94.78 |
| 2023 | $34.60 | $88.37 | $0.00 | $46.52 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $32.73 | $79.24 | $43.84 | $58.38 | $137.51 |
| 2025 | $46.44 | $104.11 | $0.00 | $53.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.'s (TPH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $104.11
- Current price
- $46.86
- AI upside
- +122.17%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$18.72
-60.05% upside
Graham-Dodd
$53.00
+13.09% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TPH | Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. | $46.86 | 3.98B | +122% | -60% | +13% | — | 16.44 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 11.46 | — | 1.25 | 21.96% | 9.74% | 6.94% | 7.25% | 6.98% | 4.86% | 0.36 | — | 9.23 | 2.42 | 0.58 | -4369.00% | -2275.00% | -8089.00% | 3.25% | 0.35 | 3.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 12.34 | 32.46 | 1.20 | 4.21 |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | $67.23 | 1.98B | -7% | -61% | +37% | -85% | 13.41 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 14.89 | — | 0.78 | 21.42% | 9.16% | 3.58% | 5.66% | 7.32% | 3.27% | 0.56 | — | 4.15 | 0.25 | 5.86 | -5327.00% | -638.00% | 4334.00% | 6.28% | 0.18 | 3.18% | 1.75% | 23.50% | 11.09% | 8.65 | 26.26 | 0.79 | 3.24 |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Compa… | $61.94 | 3.34B | +65% | -61% | -53% | -53% | 18.57 | 1.92 | 0.97 | 11.75 | — | 2.01 | 50.53% | 6.31% | 5.22% | 10.16% | 10.33% | 6.00% | 0.51 | — | 2.59 | 1.57 | 1.48 | -1518.00% | 85.00% | -4974.00% | 6.59% | 0.37 | 13.55% | 1.99% | 37.00% | 8.10% | 15.72 | 15.53 | 0.99 | 3.52 |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | $18.07 | 1.68B | +113% | -61% | +24% | -30% | 28.04 | 1.05 | 0.38 | 6.40 | — | 1.38 | 17.46% | 6.24% | 5.02% | 3.97% | 9.48% | 1.67% | 0.38 | — | 2.92 | 0.35 | 1.14 | -3333.00% | -289.00% | -5519.00% | -7.66% | -0.13 | -5.81% | 0.82% | 23.00% | 44.19% | 7.44 | -15.87 | 0.46 | 2.79 |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc… | $73.66 | 3.21B | +25% | -55% | +5% | -21% | 10.12 | 1.71 | 1.51 | 7.56 | — | 1.71 | 30.54% | 19.51% | 14.93% | 17.98% | 16.59% | 13.09% | 0.18 | — | 22.60 | 2.06 | 0.41 | -1633.00% | -2.00% | 86740.00% | 6.57% | 2.26 | 10.78% | 0.09% | 0.90% | 3.45% | 8.19 | 16.08 | 1.60 | 6.35 |
| LCII | LCI Industries | $133.20 | 3.22B | -21% | -60% | — | +2% | 17.45 | 2.41 | 0.80 | 8.15 | 49.61 | 9.78 | 23.78% | 6.79% | 4.57% | 13.70% | 11.32% | 6.20% | 0.22 | 7.84 | 2.85 | 0.98 | 0.17 | 3518.00% | 1018.00% | -1513.00% | 8.47% | 0.70 | 15.25% | 3.47% | 60.60% | 30.48% | 11.99 | 12.06 | 0.81 | 3.01 |
| MHO | M/I Homes, Inc. | $142.16 | 3.72B | +38% | -59% | +36% | -34% | 9.38 | 1.19 | 0.86 | 7.37 | — | 1.20 | 23.03% | 11.47% | 9.12% | 13.20% | 11.54% | 8.64% | 0.34 | 25.28 | 24.19 | 3.80 | 0.70 | -2522.00% | -193.00% | -2953.00% | 3.19% | 0.72 | 3.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.35% | 8.25 | 34.59 | 0.95 | 4.70 |
| PRKS | United Parks & Resorts In… | $34.79 | 1.91B | +149% | -39% | — | — | 10.99 | — | 1.11 | 3.27 | — | — | 92.33% | 21.98% | 10.13% | -72.95% | 32.21% | 6.49% | — | 2.72 | 0.70 | 0.70 | -0.19 | -1926.00% | -364.00% | 1356.00% | 14.22% | 2.65 | 31.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 127.73% | 4.79 | 6.66 | 1.05 | — |
| SKY | Champion Homes, Inc. | $93.48 | 5.22B | -10% | -65% | -60% | +10% | 18.38 | 2.40 | 1.49 | 10.39 | 52.24 | 3.30 | 26.16% | 9.54% | 7.99% | 13.59% | 17.76% | 10.00% | 0.08 | 27.99 | 2.41 | 1.54 | -1.54 | 3518.00% | 2265.00% | 1210.00% | 5.14% | 0.53 | 18.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.87% | 13.61 | 16.95 | 1.30 | 6.48 |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | $95.67 | 2.61B | -1% | -42% | -14% | -56% | 12.19 | 1.66 | 0.69 | 5.24 | — | 1.93 | 14.12% | 8.76% | 5.33% | 15.23% | 17.56% | 6.82% | 0.34 | 82.50 | 1.80 | 1.40 | -0.51 | -2587.00% | -253.00% | -448.00% | 10.67% | 0.41 | 23.39% | 0.58% | 7.00% | 4.08% | 7.17 | 8.54 | 0.63 | 3.79 |
| YETI | YETI Holdings, Inc. | $43.71 | 3.55B | — | +58% | -60% | -52% | 21.13 | 5.38 | 1.87 | 13.37 | — | 9.76 | 57.41% | 11.45% | 8.85% | — | — | — | 0.57 | 482.96 | 1.98 | 0.99 | 0.65 | — | — | — | 6.07% | 0.76 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.52% | 17.18 | 17.33 | 1.97 | 6.87 |
About Tri Pointe Homes, Inc.
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through a portfolio of six brands comprising Maracay in Arizona; Pardee Homes in California and Nevada; Quadrant Homes in Washington; Trendmaker Homes in Texas; TRI Pointe Homes in California, Colorado, and the Carolinas; and Winchester Homes in Maryland, Virginia, and the District of Columbia. As of December 31, 2021, its operations consisted of 112 active selling communities and 41,675 owned or controlled lots. The company sells its homes through own sales representatives and independent real estate brokers. It also provides financial services, such as mortgage financing, title and escrow, and property and casualty insurance agency services. The company was formerly known as TRI Pointe Group, Inc. and changed its name to Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. in January 2021. Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.
- CEO
- Douglas F. Bauer
- Employees
- 1.75K
- Beta
- 1.41
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($18.72 ÷ $46.86) − 1 = -60.05% (DCF, example).