US · TRN
Trinity Industries, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Railroads
- Headquarters
- Dallas, TX 75254-2957
- Website
- trin.net
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$36.22
Market cap 2.74B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $46.29 | +27.8% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $13.84 | -61.79% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.93 | -78.11% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $8.42 | $12.72 | $0.00 | $12.52 | $42.91 |
| 2012 | $11.18 | $9.70 | $24.24 | $16.89 | $51.28 |
| 2013 | $19.02 | $21.62 | $119.83 | $22.33 | $54.30 |
| 2014 | $17.51 | $50.60 | $323.57 | $34.43 | $214.38 |
| 2015 | $9.97 | $57.36 | $162.14 | $41.97 | $61.38 |
| 2016 | $13.88 | $32.73 | $2.33 | $26.16 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $18.34 | $40.53 | $7.27 | $41.35 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $17.36 | $24.72 | $0.00 | $11.37 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $16.12 | $30.11 | $2.34 | $10.17 | $18.97 |
| 2020 | $24.80 | $24.25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $33.92 |
| 2021 | $27.77 | $34.56 | $1.30 | $4.51 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $22.10 | $44.21 | $1.19 | $0.00 | $27.30 |
| 2023 | $24.23 | $374.24 | $194.81 | $0.69 | $74.05 |
| 2024 | $28.53 | $30.29 | $471.00 | $1.60 | $18.91 |
| 2025 | $34.60 | $46.29 | $0.00 | $7.93 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Trinity Industries, Inc.'s (TRN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $46.29
- Current price
- $36.22
- AI upside
- +27.8%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$13.84
-61.79% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.93
-78.11% upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TRN | Trinity Industries, Inc. | $36.22 | 2.74B | +28% | -62% | -78% | — | 10.74 | 2.60 | 1.30 | 8.42 | 11.74 | 3.27 | 26.55% | 16.62% | 11.73% | 24.37% | 4.24% | 3.02% | 5.05 | 1.31 | 2.12 | 1.08 | 5.49 | 9146.00% | -2995.00% | 188721.00% | -15.57% | 0.63 | -6.80% | 3.53% | 37.90% | 12.83% | 22.42 | -18.47 | 3.73 | 0.72 |
| ALG | Alamo Group Inc. | $213.53 | 2.59B | -46% | -66% | -53% | -79% | 18.84 | 2.14 | 1.34 | 9.91 | — | 3.29 | 25.33% | 10.12% | 7.12% | 11.88% | 11.77% | 8.11% | 0.22 | 8.02 | 4.51 | 2.64 | 0.13 | -1523.00% | -362.00% | 9782.00% | 8.46% | 1.10 | 17.04% | 0.57% | 10.70% | 7.94% | 13.43 | 11.98 | 1.36 | 6.01 |
| AMRC | Ameresco, Inc. | $30.46 | 1.61B | +159% | -85% | -23% | +27% | 10.23 | 0.57 | 0.33 | 11.17 | — | 0.62 | 14.47% | 6.14% | 3.21% | 5.93% | 4.37% | 1.44% | 1.68 | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 8.19 | -855.00% | 2876.00% | -4841.00% | -55.22% | 0.13 | -12.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20.01 | -6.78 | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| ATKR | Atkore Inc. | $64.71 | 2.18B | +9% | -61% | -83% | -98% | -141.75 | 1.54 | 0.75 | 14.76 | — | 2.28 | 22.25% | 8.33% | -0.53% | -1.03% | 9.79% | -0.52% | 0.67 | 7.14 | 3.05 | 1.82 | 2.44 | -10355.00% | -1098.00% | -2593.00% | 13.74% | 0.77 | 14.92% | 2.06% | -291.30% | 14.83% | 10.84 | 8.71 | 0.90 | 3.05 |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group Corp. | $40.80 | 2.16B | +22% | -56% | -74% | -47% | 23.45 | 5.01 | 3.53 | 15.39 | 261.30 | 22.43 | 49.64% | 22.59% | 15.03% | 22.47% | 22.21% | 11.56% | 0.53 | 14.06 | 2.74 | 1.88 | 0.52 | 897.00% | 465.00% | 3152.00% | 4.23% | 0.81 | 19.08% | 0.10% | 2.30% | 3.26% | 16.16 | 24.48 | 3.65 | 5.44 |
| FA | First Advantage Corporati… | $11.51 | 2B | +276% | +1,511% | — | — | 49.44 | 1.55 | 1.29 | 4.75 | — | -1.21 | 29.88% | 8.41% | -2.21% | 3.14% | 5.66% | 1.06% | 0.01 | 0.79 | 2.44 | 2.33 | -0.61 | -7297.00% | 8302.00% | 63699.00% | 9.58% | 0.85 | 8.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 108.93% | 13.63 | 9.26 | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| GBX | The Greenbrier Companies,… | $56.42 | 1.74B | +3% | -70% | +1% | — | 6.69 | 0.89 | 0.42 | 5.55 | 23.87 | 0.99 | 18.57% | 10.43% | 6.31% | 14.03% | 7.56% | 4.74% | 1.20 | 3.67 | 2.80 | 1.58 | 2.92 | 2802.00% | -866.00% | -7766.00% | -1.08% | 0.47 | -0.47% | 2.90% | 19.40% | 27.43% | 8.53 | -195.56 | 0.89 | 1.97 |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | $43.07 | 2.61B | +3% | -64% | -66% | -90% | 22.62 | 1.43 | 0.60 | 8.14 | — | 4.18 | 85.37% | 3.55% | 2.64% | 6.34% | 5.40% | 3.58% | 0.31 | 9.70 | 1.33 | 1.19 | 1.21 | -3511.00% | -610.00% | -4910.00% | 6.10% | 0.34 | 7.04% | 1.28% | 29.10% | 4.64% | 19.70 | 19.25 | 0.70 | 3.80 |
| PSIX | Power Solutions Internati… | $83.50 | 1.92B | -52% | -84% | -80% | -58% | 9.11 | 9.67 | 1.33 | 8.31 | 5.63 | 19.14 | 29.53% | 17.15% | 14.56% | 225.91% | 53.08% | 22.62% | 2.24 | 7.13 | 1.12 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 16174.00% | 370.00% | -1168.00% | 9.17% | 0.27 | 38.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.61% | 8.84 | 12.48 | 1.52 | 3.42 |
| SBLK | Star Bulk Carriers Corp. | $26.29 | 3.01B | -8% | -48% | -22% | — | 36.74 | 1.26 | 2.97 | 11.86 | — | 1.26 | 22.48% | 13.49% | 8.07% | 3.41% | 4.31% | 2.13% | 0.44 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.30 | 1.85 | -7393.00% | -1762.00% | -4905.00% | 6.79% | 0.77 | 6.43% | 1.11% | 40.80% | 19.13% | 26.05 | 17.45 | 3.51 | 1.86 |
| UPWK | Upwork Inc. | $13.42 | 1.75B | +265% | -39% | -40% | -31% | 14.85 | 2.72 | 2.18 | 8.68 | — | 3.86 | 77.82% | 16.41% | 14.65% | 19.15% | 29.65% | 9.19% | 0.60 | 184.72 | 1.46 | 1.16 | 0.51 | -4539.00% | 240.00% | 7429.00% | 14.15% | 0.38 | 73.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.93% | 10.97 | 5.85 | 1.80 | 2.79 |
About Trinity Industries, Inc.
Trinity Industries, Inc. provides rail transportation products and services under the TrinityRail name in North America. It operates in two segments, Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group, and Rail Products Group. The Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group segment leases freight and tank railcars; originates and manages railcar leases for third-party investors; and provides fleet maintenance and management services. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 106,970 owned or leased railcars. This segment serves industrial shipper and railroad companies operating in agriculture, construction and metals, consumer products, energy, and refined products and chemicals markets. The Rail Products Group segment manufactures freight and tank railcars for transporting various liquids, gases, and dry cargo; and offers railcar maintenance and modification services. This segment serves railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers of products in the agriculture, construction and metals, consumer products, energy, and refined products and chemicals markets. It sells or leases products and services through its own sales personnel and independent sales representatives. Trinity Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1933 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- CEO
- E. Jean Savage
- Employees
- 7.38K
- Beta
- 1.45
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($13.84 ÷ $36.22) − 1 = -61.79% (DCF, example).