US · ULCC
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- Headquarters
- Denver, CO 80239
- Website
- flyfrontier.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$4.00
Market cap 1.02B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $15.26 | +281.5% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.62 | -59.5% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | $0.00 | $13.66 | |||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | $0.00 | $12.26 | |||
| 2019 | $0.00 | $27.80 | |||
| 2020 | $0.00 | $41.73 | |||
| 2021 | $10.33 | $25.41 | $16.94 | $0.09 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $10.66 | $22.35 | $515.98 | $1.49 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $7.38 | $12.26 | $250.14 | $2.05 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $6.64 | $16.24 | $20.60 | $4.59 | $4.96 |
| 2025 | $4.04 | $15.26 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s (ULCC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $15.26
- Current price
- $4.00
- AI upside
- +281.5%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.62
-59.5% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings, … | $4.00 | 1.02B | +282% | -59% | — | — | -6.75 | 1.88 | 0.25 | -168.73 | — | 1.99 | 35.50% | -4.00% | -3.68% | -25.02% | -2.18% | -2.05% | 19.42 | -13.55 | 0.46 | 0.36 | -152.79 | -25789.00% | -135.00% | 29494.00% | -67.51% | -0.25 | -9.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -65.68 | -15.68 | 2.63 | 0.35 |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group Inc. | $6.90 | 222.42M | +606% | -56% | — | — | -3.10 | -28.33 | 0.14 | -29.70 | -10.31 | -1.85 | 25.85% | 1.26% | -4.37% | -233.43% | 2.95% | -5.70% | -38.59 | 2.13 | 1.43 | 0.41 | -16.72 | 3010.00% | -217.00% | -34444.00% | 13.24% | 0.07 | 4.19% | 1.20% | -3.70% | 351.03% | 24.58 | 17.28 | 0.31 | 1.49 |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings, In… | $4.54 | 1.41B | +1,659% | -62% | — | — | -1.91 | -2.92 | 0.16 | 47.33 | — | -0.31 | 12.79% | 1.06% | -8.78% | 459.48% | 0.49% | -3.19% | -37.15 | 0.08 | 2.65 | 2.65 | 43.65 | -7420.00% | -602.00% | 294.00% | -644.57% | 1.90 | -51.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 143.71% | 191.44 | -1.99 | 2.03 | 0.30 |
| MEG | Montrose Environmental Gr… | $29.22 | 1.03B | +67% | -61% | — | — | -1191.08 | 2.23 | 1.21 | 13.16 | — | -7.07 | 34.13% | 1.52% | -0.10% | -0.19% | 0.82% | -0.09% | 0.18 | 0.65 | 1.43 | 0.99 | 0.87 | -9369.00% | 1926.00% | 1000632.00% | 9.08% | 0.64 | 14.75% | 0.41% | -492.30% | 32.24% | 85.13 | 11.79 | 1.29 | 1.72 |
| SERV | Serve Robotics Inc. | $9.99 | 555.01M | +945% | -54% | — | — | -6.95 | 2.07 | 150.28 | -3.99 | -11.64 | 2.07 | -4.15% | -2112.51% | -2162.29% | -61.41% | -690.46% | -55.04% | 0.02 | -56.26 | 18.40 | 18.15 | 3.18 | 5970.00% | 77330.00% | 9902.00% | -11.67% | -3.16 | -573.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46.00% | -3.96 | -4.76 | 83.56 | 19.68 |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group Corpora… | $8.78 | 668.56M | +188% | -53% | — | — | -4.91 | 2.53 | 17.86 | -10.83 | -6.17 | 2.61 | 38.22% | -138.30% | -306.42% | -61.97% | -6.56% | -11.20% | 3.10 | -28.55 | 5.63 | 2.26 | -5.58 | 7959.00% | 9486.00% | 3721.00% | -33.25% | -0.40 | -28.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -26.65 | -6.21 | 36.86 | 0.37 |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines Hold… | $19.68 | 1.05B | +41% | -44% | -36% | -36% | 19.12 | 1.62 | 0.90 | 6.79 | — | 3.06 | 66.93% | 8.93% | 4.69% | 8.83% | 7.62% | 3.19% | 0.95 | 2.73 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 2.22 | 0.00% | 474.00% | -2853.00% | 8.32% | 0.35 | 8.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.77% | 13.59 | 16.28 | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| SWIM | Latham Group, Inc. | $6.71 | 782.76M | +324% | -56% | -81% | -96% | -47.38 | 2.19 | 1.66 | 18.18 | -7.80 | -14.51 | 30.23% | 3.59% | -3.51% | -4.54% | 2.88% | -2.19% | 0.80 | 0.74 | 2.51 | 1.31 | 4.20 | 60755.00% | -1023.00% | -5048.00% | 4.87% | 0.86 | 6.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 60.22 | 26.72 | 2.16 | 1.99 |
| UP | Wheels Up Experience Inc. | $0.60 | 429.85M | +3,995% | -61% | — | — | -1.38 | -1.04 | 0.55 | -3.08 | — | -0.60 | 2.25% | -34.25% | -39.95% | 100.02% | 163.36% | -27.67% | -0.40 | -2.79 | 0.27 | 0.18 | -0.17 | -1429.00% | -702.00% | 1916.00% | -64.03% | -0.18 | 168.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 57.88% | -1.70 | -1.65 | 0.58 | -4.20 |
| VLRS | Controladora Vuela Compañ… | $8.62 | 991M | +476% | -63% | — | — | -8.71 | 3.44 | 0.30 | 5.03 | — | 4.02 | 27.35% | 4.44% | -3.42% | -33.13% | 4.07% | -1.83% | 14.66 | 0.43 | 0.73 | 0.54 | 3.92 | -18182.00% | -331.00% | 4803.00% | 82.83% | 0.39 | 22.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.54 | 5.32 | 1.31 | 0.58 |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance Corp… | $203.71 | 1.39B | +51% | -54% | -34% | +247% | 10.92 | 2.16 | 2.08 | 9.76 | 7.47 | 2.30 | 75.44% | 25.37% | 19.08% | 21.98% | 4.08% | 3.65% | 4.12 | 1.38 | 3.85 | 2.03 | 6.40 | 14623.00% | 3600.00% | -99583.00% | -46.03% | 2.50 | -21.67% | 1.20% | 13.10% | 1.89% | 23.84 | -6.30 | 6.05 | 0.90 |
About Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc., a low-fare airline company, provides air transportation for passengers. The company operates an airline that serves approximately 120 airports throughout the United States and international destinations in the Americas. It offers its services through direct distribution channels, including its website, mobile app, and call center. As of December 31, 2021, the company had a fleet of 110 Airbus single-aisle aircraft comprising, 16 A320ceos, 73 A320neos, and 21 A321ceos. Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
- CEO
- James G. Dempsey
- Employees
- 7.91K
- Beta
- 2.56
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.62 ÷ $4.00) − 1 = -59.5% (DCF, example).