US · VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
- Sector
- Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- Headquarters
- Mexico City, DF 01210
- Website
- volaris.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$7.29
Market cap 991M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $49.63 | +580.8% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $3.15 | -56.79% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $2.06 | $10.24 | |||
| 2013 | $9.50 | $32.57 | $6.93 | $4.71 | $4.13 |
| 2014 | $10.99 | $28.09 | $2.52 | $5.03 | $1.51 |
| 2015 | $19.78 | $37.36 | $10.17 | $10.96 | $25.49 |
| 2016 | $12.45 | $40.90 | $12.84 | $13.54 | $26.17 |
| 2017 | $8.06 | $29.17 | $6.61 | $3.62 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $8.78 | $25.66 | $5.42 | $2.89 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $8.75 | $38.26 | $126.29 | $9.62 | $50.15 |
| 2020 | $15.62 | $31.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $58.58 |
| 2021 | $14.83 | $26.11 | $404.87 | $7.27 | $98.77 |
| 2022 | $11.25 | $24.37 | $519.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $7.40 | $26.84 | $534.08 | $2.44 | $1.49 |
| 2024 | $6.08 | $41.81 | $35.46 | $8.64 | $5.13 |
| 2025 | $7.88 | $49.63 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (VLRS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $49.63
- Current price
- $7.29
- AI upside
- +580.8%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$3.15
-56.79% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VLRS | Controladora Vuela Compañ… | $7.29 | 991M | +581% | -57% | — | — | -8.71 | 3.44 | 0.30 | 5.03 | — | 4.02 | 27.35% | 4.44% | -3.42% | -33.13% | 4.07% | -1.83% | 14.66 | 0.43 | 0.73 | 0.54 | 3.92 | -18182.00% | -331.00% | 4803.00% | 82.83% | 0.39 | 22.60% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.54 | 5.32 | 1.31 | 0.58 |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | $39.82 | 856.57M | +35% | -60% | -60% | -58% | 10.21 | 1.78 | 0.64 | 6.35 | — | 7.02 | 26.75% | 8.68% | 6.25% | 17.74% | 13.41% | 8.26% | 0.72 | 19.18 | 1.55 | 1.06 | 1.68 | -1375.00% | -395.00% | -4436.00% | 10.32% | 0.44 | 13.46% | 2.50% | 25.60% | 7.73% | 9.94 | 13.10 | 0.86 | 2.84 |
| GLDD | Great Lakes Dredge & Dock… | $16.95 | 1.15B | +57% | +205% | -29% | +54% | 15.39 | 2.19 | 1.27 | 10.16 | 53.87 | 2.57 | 22.91% | 14.13% | 8.27% | 15.21% | 9.16% | 5.58% | 0.99 | 7.49 | 1.01 | 0.76 | 3.12 | 2857.00% | 1647.00% | -28056.00% | 8.80% | 1.14 | 9.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.53% | 13.00 | 16.40 | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| MATW | Matthews International Co… | $26.43 | 822.66M | +155% | -64% | — | -77% | -30.41 | 1.55 | 0.50 | 10.03 | — | -6.61 | 32.55% | 1.36% | -1.63% | -5.33% | 0.66% | -1.39% | 1.59 | 0.34 | 1.48 | 0.47 | 4.97 | -5907.00% | -1660.00% | -27428.00% | -7.98% | -0.07 | -4.85% | 4.40% | -133.90% | 15.00% | 72.66 | -24.86 | 0.99 | 1.88 |
| NPK | National Presto Industrie… | $131.94 | 943.63M | +232% | -31% | -92% | -6% | 15.14 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 12.23 | 76.63 | 1.82 | 20.24% | 11.65% | 10.68% | 11.45% | 12.17% | 9.28% | 0.03 | — | 4.93 | 1.15 | -0.15 | 1975.00% | 1388.00% | -23997.00% | -9.71% | -0.72 | -20.06% | 5.10% | 77.30% | 5.10% | 13.60 | -10.09 | 1.58 | 7.44 |
| SERV | Serve Robotics Inc. | $9.99 | 555.01M | +945% | -54% | — | — | -6.95 | 2.07 | 150.28 | -3.99 | -11.64 | 2.07 | -4.15% | -2112.51% | -2162.29% | -61.41% | -690.46% | -55.04% | 0.02 | -56.26 | 18.40 | 18.15 | 3.18 | 5970.00% | 77330.00% | 9902.00% | -11.67% | -3.16 | -573.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46.00% | -3.96 | -4.76 | 83.56 | 19.68 |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group Corpora… | $8.78 | 668.56M | +188% | -53% | — | — | -4.91 | 2.53 | 17.86 | -10.83 | -6.17 | 2.61 | 38.22% | -138.30% | -306.42% | -61.97% | -6.56% | -11.20% | 3.10 | -28.55 | 5.63 | 2.26 | -5.58 | 7959.00% | 9486.00% | 3721.00% | -33.25% | -0.40 | -28.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -26.65 | -6.21 | 36.86 | 0.37 |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines Hold… | $19.68 | 1.05B | +41% | -44% | -36% | -36% | 19.12 | 1.62 | 0.90 | 6.79 | — | 3.06 | 66.93% | 8.93% | 4.69% | 8.83% | 7.62% | 3.19% | 0.95 | 2.73 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 2.22 | 0.00% | 474.00% | -2853.00% | 8.32% | 0.35 | 8.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 10.77% | 13.59 | 16.28 | 1.21 | 1.55 |
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings, … | $4.44 | 1.02B | +244% | -64% | — | — | -6.75 | 1.88 | 0.25 | -168.73 | — | 1.99 | 35.50% | -4.00% | -3.68% | -25.02% | -2.18% | -2.05% | 19.42 | -13.55 | 0.46 | 0.36 | -152.79 | -25789.00% | -135.00% | 29494.00% | -67.51% | -0.25 | -9.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -65.68 | -15.68 | 2.63 | 0.35 |
| UP | Wheels Up Experience Inc. | $0.60 | 429.85M | +3,995% | -61% | — | — | -1.38 | -1.04 | 0.55 | -3.08 | — | -0.60 | 2.25% | -34.25% | -39.95% | 100.02% | 163.36% | -27.67% | -0.40 | -2.79 | 0.27 | 0.18 | -0.17 | -1429.00% | -702.00% | 1916.00% | -64.03% | -0.18 | 168.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 57.88% | -1.70 | -1.65 | 0.58 | -4.20 |
About Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V., through its subsidiaries, Concesionaria Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.P.I. de C.V., provides air transportation services for passengers, cargo, and mail in Mexico and internationally. The company operates approximately 410 daily flights on routes connecting 43 cities in Mexico, 22 cities in the United States, and 3 cities in Central America. As of December 31, 2020, it operated through a fleet of 86 aircraft. The company also offers merchandising, recruitment and payroll, travel agency, and loyalty program services. Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
- CEO
- Enrique Javier Beltranena Mejicano
- Employees
- 6.9K
- Beta
- 1.22
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($3.15 ÷ $7.29) − 1 = -56.79% (DCF, example).