US · WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
- Sector
- Communication Services · Entertainment
- Headquarters
- New York City, NY 10019
- Website
- wmg.com
Price · as of 2025-09-30
$27.98
Market cap 14.94B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $33.22 | +18.73% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $11.83 | -57.72% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $8.68 | -68.99% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2012 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2013 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2016 | $0.00 | $0.85 | |||
| 2017 | $0.00 | $5.09 | |||
| 2018 | $0.00 | $11.99 | |||
| 2019 | $0.00 | $9.75 | |||
| 2020 | $29.73 | $31.57 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $37.12 | $40.59 | $9.74 | $0.00 | $15.46 |
| 2022 | $30.93 | $37.51 | $8.95 | $0.00 | $20.38 |
| 2023 | $32.20 | $36.00 | $6.04 | $0.00 | $8.37 |
| 2024 | $31.43 | $36.10 | $0.97 | $0.00 | $11.98 |
| 2025 | $28.42 | $33.22 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $8.68 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Warner Music Group Corp.'s (WMG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $33.22
- Current price
- $27.98
- AI upside
- +18.73%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$11.83
-57.72% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$8.68
-68.99% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| WMG | Warner Music Group Corp. | $27.98 | 14.94B | +19% | -58% | — | -69% | 39.87 | 22.80 | 2.20 | 16.90 | — | -3.56 | 45.85% | 10.35% | 5.44% | 63.52% | 11.86% | 3.90% | 7.12 | 4.36 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 3.66 | -1667.00% | 437.00% | -1552.00% | 3.65% | 0.16 | 12.20% | 2.60% | 103.50% | 2.70% | 27.13 | 34.93 | 2.81 | 1.53 |
| NWSA | News Corporation | $24.29 | 13.72B | +73% | -47% | -45% | -11% | 34.70 | 1.90 | 1.97 | 12.15 | 9.91 | 6.74 | 100.00% | 11.31% | 13.96% | 5.68% | 6.88% | 2.98% | 0.34 | 95.60 | 1.84 | 1.52 | 0.38 | 35000.00% | 242.00% | 2076.00% | 4.36% | 0.43 | 7.45% | 1.11% | 38.50% | 11.35% | 17.98 | 23.65 | 2.03 | 2.49 |
| OMC | Omnicom Group Inc. | $85.29 | 26.83B | +32% | +426% | — | — | 394.28 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 28.00 | — | -1.47 | 17.28% | 14.97% | -0.32% | 0.54% | 8.39% | 0.10% | 1.06 | 9.82 | 0.93 | 0.84 | 7.14 | -10362.00% | 1009.00% | 7505.00% | 16.18% | 0.10 | 22.61% | 3.19% | 1257.70% | 7.30% | 8.94 | 8.30 | 1.34 | 0.96 |
| PSKY | Paramount Skydance Corpor… | $13.51 | 14.48B | -13% | -60% | — | — | -1.44 | 0.76 | 0.30 | -4.05 | — | 2.30 | 33.46% | -18.04% | -21.19% | -43.90% | -20.15% | -13.74% | 1.23 | -6.13 | 1.26 | 0.93 | -2.25 | -21.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.52% | 0.07 | 1.87% | 0.33% | -0.50% | 23.71% | -3.79 | 40.82 | 0.68 | 0.47 |
| ROKU | Roku, Inc. | $98.41 | 14.51B | -7% | -27% | -81% | -86% | 163.36 | 5.43 | 3.05 | 38.78 | — | 6.28 | 43.79% | -0.12% | 1.87% | 3.43% | -0.50% | 2.02% | 0.33 | -2.95 | 2.75 | 2.58 | -2.14 | -16629.00% | 1518.00% | 12464.00% | 3.31% | 0.39 | 44.78% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.04% | -2309.54 | 27.15 | 2.74 | 6.06 |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc. | $21.96 | 7.39B | +171% | -44% | — | -28% | 9.21 | 0.64 | 0.87 | 8.09 | — | -3.25 | 47.04% | 17.19% | 9.41% | 7.11% | 5.28% | 2.94% | 0.84 | 3.20 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 4.57 | -14564.00% | -162.00% | 2290.00% | 16.79% | 0.52 | 5.86% | 4.92% | 45.30% | 14.86% | 11.58 | 13.68 | 1.99 | 1.26 |
| TKO | TKO Group Holdings, Inc. | $223.87 | 18.39B | +48% | +4,774% | — | -20% | 33.29 | 4.86 | 3.84 | 16.37 | 0.83 | -2.26 | 49.57% | 20.30% | 4.13% | 13.95% | 12.48% | 3.87% | 1.09 | 4.74 | 1.26 | 0.75 | 2.47 | 403163.00% | 6885.00% | 12789.00% | 6.37% | 0.70 | 17.08% | 3.52% | 117.30% | 8.29% | 22.28 | 18.48 | 4.52 | 2.22 |
| TLK | Perusahaan Perseroan (Per… | $21.27 | 21.07B | +49% | -53% | — | -42% | 9.89 | 1.65 | 1.56 | 3.58 | — | 1.88 | 67.94% | 28.68% | 15.74% | 17.02% | 18.89% | 8.07% | 0.54 | 8.26 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 0.56 | -371.00% | 50.00% | 1839.00% | 13.65% | 0.80 | 17.88% | 7.56% | 74.80% | 7.56% | 6.41 | 8.63 | 1.84 | 2.50 |
| VIV | Telefônica Brasil S.A. | $16.91 | 27.02B | +10% | -60% | -73% | -48% | 23.29 | 2.05 | 2.41 | 6.78 | 196.77 | 6.79 | 40.43% | 15.23% | 10.35% | 8.74% | 8.58% | 4.78% | 0.45 | 3.62 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.98 | 1183.00% | 462.00% | 461.00% | 7.84% | 0.80 | 12.54% | 1.52% | 35.50% | 4.18% | 18.49 | 14.90 | 2.81 | 2.16 |
| Z | Zillow Group, Inc. Class … | $44.62 | 10.81B | +32% | -56% | -80% | -95% | 457.98 | 2.16 | 4.08 | 37.45 | — | 5.91 | 74.14% | -1.24% | 0.89% | 0.47% | -0.75% | 0.40% | 0.11 | -1.78 | 3.13 | 2.17 | -0.91 | -11885.00% | 1552.00% | -1754.00% | 2.23% | 0.54 | 5.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.36% | -305.46 | 41.59 | 3.78 | 8.17 |
About Warner Music Group Corp.
Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through Recorded Music and Music Publishing segments. The Recorded Music segment is involved in the discovery and development of recording artists, as well as related marketing, promotion, distribution, sale, and licensing of music created by such recording artists; markets its music catalog through compilations and reissuances of previously released music and video titles, as well as previously unreleased materials; and conducts its operation primarily through a collection of record labels, such as Warner Records and Atlantic Records, as well as Asylum, Big Beat, Canvasback, East West, Erato, FFRR, Fueled by Ramen, Nonesuch, Parlophone, Reprise, Roadrunner, Sire, Spinnin' Records, Warner Classics, and Warner Music Nashville. This segment markets, distributes, and sells music and video products to retailers and wholesale distributors; independent labels to retail and wholesale distributors; and various distribution centers and ventures, as well as retail outlets, online physical retailers, streaming services, and download services. The Music Publishing segment owns and acquires rights to approximately one million musical compositions comprising pop hits, American standards, folk songs, and motion picture and theatrical compositions. Its catalog includes approximately 100,000 songwriters and composers; and various genres, including pop, rock, jazz, classical, country, R&B, hip-hop, rap, reggae, Latin, folk, blues, symphonic, soul, Broadway, electronic, alternative, and gospel. This segment also administers the music and soundtracks of various third-party television and film producers and studios. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- CEO
- Robert Kyncl
- Employees
- 5.8K
- Beta
- 1.24
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($11.83 ÷ $27.98) − 1 = -57.72% (DCF, example).