US · YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Louisville, KY 40213
- Website
- yum.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$158.36
Market cap 46.69B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $140.74 | -11.13% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $81.03 | -48.83% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $92.80 | -41.4% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $37.09 | $41.96 | $5.54 | $1.11 | $53.53 |
| 2012 | $37.97 | $48.56 | $14.62 | $2.05 | $54.67 |
| 2013 | $44.13 | $40.47 | $5.22 | $0.00 | $10.39 |
| 2014 | $46.24 | $40.10 | $2.92 | $0.00 | $22.42 |
| 2015 | $46.65 | $39.80 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $54.62 | $60.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $29.92 |
| 2017 | $71.67 | $82.89 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $3.32 |
| 2018 | $84.98 | $87.33 | $1.72 | $0.00 | $24.28 |
| 2019 | $79.90 | $84.47 | $1.37 | $0.00 | $27.91 |
| 2020 | $95.50 | $87.83 | $1.15 | $0.00 | $27.20 |
| 2021 | $107.69 | $107.59 | $17.54 | $0.00 | $126.30 |
| 2022 | $117.62 | $114.88 | $26.37 | $0.00 | $55.39 |
| 2023 | $134.29 | $123.49 | $36.31 | $0.00 | $64.69 |
| 2024 | $159.46 | $135.48 | $31.78 | $0.00 | $76.11 |
| 2025 | $162.92 | $140.74 | $37.94 | $0.00 | $92.80 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Yum! Brands, Inc.'s (YUM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $140.74
- Current price
- $158.36
- AI upside
- -11.13%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$81.03
-48.83% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$92.80
-41.4% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| YUM | Yum! Brands, Inc. | $158.36 | 46.69B | -11% | -49% | — | -41% | 29.05 | -6.18 | 5.51 | 20.30 | 446.03 | -4.92 | 46.17% | 30.80% | 18.98% | -20.82% | 48.65% | 20.89% | -1.63 | 5.06 | 1.35 | 1.02 | 4.02 | 651.00% | 881.00% | 1446.00% | 3.62% | 1.33 | 41.99% | 1.74% | 50.60% | 4.00% | 22.33 | 34.47 | 6.88 | 2.65 |
| CCL | Carnival Corporation & pl… | $31.55 | 43.61B | +36% | +145% | -38% | -5% | 16.08 | 3.61 | 1.67 | 10.19 | 39.93 | 4.22 | 29.62% | 16.84% | 10.37% | 25.63% | 11.86% | 5.48% | 2.28 | 3.32 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 3.77 | 4028.00% | 640.00% | 10100.00% | 5.87% | 0.47 | 6.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.61% | 15.72 | 27.03 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, I… | $37.22 | 49.21B | +11% | -60% | -79% | -59% | 31.95 | 17.33 | 4.11 | 24.41 | 1182.13 | 17.47 | 22.35% | 16.84% | 12.88% | 47.36% | 16.68% | 16.88% | 3.48 | — | 1.23 | 1.09 | 4.01 | 270.00% | 541.00% | -423.00% | 2.95% | 1.78 | 15.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.94% | 28.81 | 39.97 | 4.85 | 6.97 |
| CPRT | Copart, Inc. | $38.09 | 36.87B | +38% | -39% | -55% | -27% | 27.36 | 4.61 | 9.12 | 17.84 | 201.57 | 4.92 | 45.18% | 36.51% | 33.41% | 18.53% | 31.78% | 16.72% | 0.01 | — | 8.25 | 8.13 | -1.27 | 1357.00% | 968.00% | 2799.00% | 2.91% | 2.63 | 28.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.03% | 22.20 | 30.61 | 8.11 | 31.50 |
| CUK | Carnival Corporation & pl… | $31.47 | 41.31B | +36% | +146% | -38% | -5% | 15.94 | 3.58 | 1.65 | 10.14 | 39.58 | 4.18 | 29.62% | 16.84% | 10.37% | 25.63% | 11.86% | 5.48% | 2.28 | 3.32 | 0.32 | 0.20 | 3.77 | 4028.00% | 640.00% | 10100.00% | 5.93% | 0.47 | 6.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.64% | 15.63 | 26.87 | 2.63 | 1.40 |
| DHI | D.R. Horton, Inc. | $160.39 | 46.69B | 0% | -59% | -30% | -90% | 13.61 | 2.02 | 1.42 | 10.71 | — | 2.03 | 23.70% | 12.92% | 10.47% | 14.48% | 12.52% | 10.02% | 0.25 | — | 17.39 | 1.75 | 0.63 | -1932.00% | -693.00% | 6219.00% | 6.73% | 1.74 | 12.16% | 1.01% | 13.80% | 9.79% | 11.72 | 15.79 | 1.51 | 6.42 |
| EBAY | eBay Inc. | $90.86 | 41.07B | -11% | -21% | -94% | -22% | 20.06 | 8.68 | 3.61 | 15.61 | 197.59 | 270.54 | 71.45% | 20.51% | 18.30% | 40.85% | 24.82% | 10.80% | 1.60 | 9.26 | 1.10 | 0.91 | 1.93 | 1015.00% | 795.00% | -1508.00% | 4.15% | 0.47 | 20.92% | 1.33% | 26.60% | 7.57% | 19.54 | 26.79 | 4.01 | 2.94 |
| FLUT | Flutter Entertainment plc | $106.14 | 18.6B | +18% | +643% | — | — | -46.65 | 2.10 | 1.16 | 11.79 | — | -1.38 | 45.19% | 6.25% | -1.89% | -4.44% | 6.18% | -1.51% | 1.42 | 1.72 | 0.95 | 0.41 | 4.32 | -82083.00% | 1662.00% | 1467.00% | 5.68% | 0.23 | 6.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.26 | 27.77 | 1.83 | 1.64 |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands Corp. | $56.72 | 38.35B | -26% | +724% | — | -6% | 20.87 | 24.49 | 2.99 | 11.39 | 104.89 | 38.29 | 28.18% | 23.73% | 12.50% | 83.42% | 19.38% | 8.76% | 10.15 | 4.14 | 1.14 | 1.09 | 2.73 | 1990.00% | 1522.00% | 185.00% | 4.25% | 0.67 | 12.31% | 2.14% | 44.60% | 7.83% | 16.59 | 30.98 | 3.94 | 2.54 |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands Interna… | $71.71 | 23.59B | +81% | -52% | — | -36% | 22.35 | 6.61 | 2.55 | 16.69 | — | -1.73 | 41.09% | 23.72% | 8.23% | 31.88% | 8.45% | 4.28% | 4.84 | 4.34 | 0.98 | 0.68 | 6.77 | -2610.00% | 1223.00% | 1129.00% | 6.03% | 0.59 | 7.67% | 4.61% | 103.10% | 4.61% | 18.07 | 27.91 | 4.29 | 1.46 |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $54.91 | 19.4B | -37% | -60% | -86% | -42% | 19.13 | 3.57 | 1.63 | 11.93 | 279.78 | 5.88 | 17.28% | 12.36% | 7.87% | 18.08% | 15.21% | 9.17% | 0.69 | — | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.78 | 684.00% | 437.00% | 1765.00% | 4.37% | 0.65 | 11.99% | 1.84% | 35.20% | 7.79% | 14.78 | 25.65 | 1.83 | 4.24 |
About Yum! Brands, Inc.
YUM! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide. It operates through four segments: the KFC Division, the Taco Bell Division, the Pizza Hut Division, and the Habit Burger Grill Division. The company operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, pizza, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, Mexican-style food categories, and other food products. As of December 31, 2021, it had 26,934 KFC units; 18,381 Pizza Hut units; 7,791 Taco Bell units; and 318 The Habit Burger Grill units in approximately 157 countries and territories. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to YUM! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. YUM! Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
- CEO
- Christopher Lee Turner
- Employees
- 40K
- Beta
- 0.66
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($81.03 ÷ $158.36) − 1 = -48.83% (DCF, example).