US · TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
- Headquarters
- Louisville, KY 40205
- Website
- texasroadhouse.com
Price · as of 2025-12-30
$158.29
Market cap 12.15B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $81.74 | -48.36% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $72.08 | -54.46% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $8.18 | -94.83% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $104.70 | -33.86% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $13.08 | $27.37 | $2.21 | $6.29 | $16.33 |
| 2012 | $15.65 | $27.80 | $8.21 | $5.71 | $21.68 |
| 2013 | $21.28 | $26.75 | $33.84 | $2.43 | $23.16 |
| 2014 | $30.96 | $30.67 | $45.90 | $6.55 | $23.52 |
| 2015 | $35.94 | $31.37 | $76.61 | $4.92 | $30.04 |
| 2016 | $35.69 | $30.92 | $50.38 | $6.12 | $29.37 |
| 2017 | $51.24 | $36.56 | $89.07 | $7.09 | $35.27 |
| 2018 | $53.35 | $37.62 | $80.21 | $8.19 | $40.87 |
| 2019 | $49.11 | $29.21 | $90.92 | $1.82 | $48.99 |
| 2020 | $89.76 | $44.49 | $0.00 | $8.38 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $73.29 | $35.74 | $312.41 | $12.95 | $178.05 |
| 2022 | $96.63 | $53.17 | $371.81 | $5.19 | $93.48 |
| 2023 | $143.98 | $80.35 | $922.12 | $4.32 | $104.19 |
| 2024 | $176.29 | $103.39 | $593.48 | $13.69 | $152.22 |
| 2025 | $180.19 | $81.74 | $314.70 | $8.18 | $104.69 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s (TXRH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $81.74
- Current price
- $158.29
- AI upside
- -48.36%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$72.08
-54.46% upside
Graham-Dodd
$8.18
-94.83% upside
Graham Formula
$104.70
-33.86% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $158.29 | 12.15B | -48% | -54% | -95% | -34% | 28.84 | 8.18 | 2.03 | 19.93 | — | 9.95 | 12.42% | 8.55% | 6.90% | 29.39% | 16.72% | 12.29% | 1.29 | — | 0.50 | 0.15 | 2.55 | -572.00% | 939.00% | 8284.00% | 6.11% | 0.80 | 28.19% | 1.51% | 43.50% | 2.77% | 27.26 | 18.77 | 2.33 | 5.44 |
| BROS | Dutch Bros Inc. | $53.61 | 6.81B | -22% | +121% | -84% | -59% | 56.90 | 9.80 | 4.07 | 27.11 | 55.12 | 10.15 | 25.88% | 9.84% | 4.87% | 19.25% | 10.37% | 4.26% | 1.60 | 5.69 | 1.49 | 1.20 | 2.97 | 10323.00% | 2788.00% | 12034.00% | 0.82% | 1.23 | 4.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 46.48 | 137.70 | 4.57 | 2.71 |
| CART | Instacart (Maplebear Inc.… | $37.51 | 9.85B | +113% | -10% | -54% | -16% | 22.12 | 3.64 | 2.64 | 13.89 | 1747.83 | 4.40 | 73.57% | 15.39% | 11.95% | 15.40% | 26.30% | 11.46% | 0.03 | — | 2.40 | 2.17 | -1.13 | 127.00% | 1078.00% | 4623.00% | 9.21% | 1.06 | 51.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.01% | 15.80 | 9.99 | 2.43 | 6.34 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $114.60 | 13.22B | -49% | -50% | -94% | -29% | 18.23 | 4.46 | 1.08 | 9.22 | 22.86 | -12.00 | 18.34% | 13.23% | 5.94% | 25.51% | 15.17% | 5.22% | 1.99 | 4.11 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 2.58 | 7972.00% | 478.00% | 3916.00% | 8.21% | 0.35 | 13.42% | 0.90% | 16.30% | 6.21% | 11.36 | 16.92 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza, Inc. | $402.51 | 13.54B | +14% | -58% | — | -43% | 22.68 | -3.50 | 2.76 | 17.40 | 469.38 | -3.35 | 39.95% | 19.31% | 12.18% | -15.30% | 76.59% | 34.01% | -1.34 | 4.87 | 1.65 | 1.42 | 4.53 | 483.00% | 496.00% | 3115.00% | 4.92% | 1.46 | 69.02% | 1.74% | 39.40% | 5.92% | 19.34 | 27.47 | 3.73 | 3.13 |
| GME | GameStop Corp. | $24.03 | 10.77B | +107% | -32% | -41% | — | 79.24 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 269.64 | 5.66 | 2.11 | 29.14% | -0.69% | 3.43% | 4.19% | -3.83% | 3.06% | 0.08 | — | 8.05 | 7.27 | -194.03 | 140000.00% | -2750.00% | -15432.00% | 1.25% | 0.22 | 19.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.71% | -230.54 | 46.61 | 1.58 | 8.18 |
| HAS | Hasbro, Inc. | $99.59 | 13.98B | -24% | +70% | — | — | -43.07 | 24.56 | 2.95 | 69.92 | — | -12.10 | 70.26% | 22.50% | -6.86% | -37.42% | 31.02% | -5.42% | 5.77 | 6.47 | 1.38 | 1.04 | 10.69 | -18364.00% | 1368.00% | 917.00% | 5.98% | 0.48 | 24.33% | 2.83% | -121.70% | 4.47% | 15.38 | 19.60 | 3.46 | 3.30 |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Hol… | $24.79 | 11.29B | +91% | +516% | -46% | +56% | 9.59 | 6.13 | 0.92 | 9.01 | 2.49 | 11.06 | 39.99% | 15.46% | 9.60% | 105.46% | 10.07% | 4.61% | 9.76 | 1.96 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 5.50 | 38462.00% | 1087.00% | -21265.00% | 9.61% | 0.35 | 5.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.29% | 15.32 | 26.77 | 2.37 | 0.29 |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $157.52 | 10.37B | -15% | -60% | -2% | +11% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| SCI | Service Corporation Inter… | $84.18 | 11.8B | -39% | -55% | — | -50% | 22.34 | 7.40 | 2.81 | 12.95 | 292.10 | -22.85 | 26.46% | 22.60% | 12.59% | 32.74% | 11.22% | 3.01% | 3.14 | 3.81 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 3.73 | 765.00% | 293.00% | -28.00% | 4.57% | 1.26 | 8.58% | 1.51% | 33.80% | 5.31% | 17.48 | 30.72 | 3.95 | 0.85 |
| SN | SharkNinja, Inc. | $122.87 | 17.34B | +26% | +137% | -69% | -6% | 24.24 | 6.35 | 2.66 | 16.25 | 41.19 | 12.23 | 49.01% | 14.39% | 10.96% | 30.41% | 26.44% | 14.40% | 0.38 | 18.95 | 2.04 | 1.38 | 0.23 | 5884.00% | 1575.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.36 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.97% | 18.72 | — | 2.69 | 6.41 |
About Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Texas Roadhouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates and franchises restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33, and Jaggers names. As of December 28, 2021, it operated 566 domestic restaurants and 101 franchise restaurants. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. was founded in 1993 and is based in Louisville, Kentucky.
- CEO
- Gerald L. Morgan
- Employees
- 95K
- Beta
- 0.87
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($72.08 ÷ $158.29) − 1 = -54.46% (DCF, example).