US · PKG
Packaging Corporation of America
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
- Headquarters
- Lake Forest, IL 60045
- Website
- packagingcorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$218.06
Market cap 20.89B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $187.27 | -14.12% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $92.48 | -57.59% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $3.62 | -98.34% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $128.24 | -41.19% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $20.00 | $22.96 | $0.00 | $5.24 | $24.51 |
| 2012 | $29.71 | $28.55 | $3.78 | $0.00 | $27.18 |
| 2013 | $52.25 | $29.33 | $228.28 | $14.49 | $163.03 |
| 2014 | $56.49 | $40.83 | $2,040.45 | $5.94 | $263.65 |
| 2015 | $41.21 | $35.39 | $894.75 | $2.71 | $28.98 |
| 2016 | $70.87 | $48.20 | $328.06 | $0.30 | $41.84 |
| 2017 | $94.34 | $65.51 | $8.04 | $11.53 | $137.46 |
| 2018 | $78.79 | $84.63 | $6.06 | $15.20 | $130.41 |
| 2019 | $75.71 | $80.86 | $0.77 | $12.30 | $54.68 |
| 2020 | $118.21 | $87.60 | $4.10 | $2.06 | $19.21 |
| 2021 | $132.70 | $121.33 | $2.73 | $12.67 | $211.18 |
| 2022 | $121.63 | $136.89 | $3.18 | $17.22 | $193.16 |
| 2023 | $177.00 | $140.63 | $0.00 | $1.88 | $4.11 |
| 2024 | $201.56 | $162.22 | $0.10 | $8.70 | $137.42 |
| 2025 | $231.21 | $187.27 | $0.00 | $3.62 | $128.24 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Packaging Corporation of America's (PKG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $187.27
- Current price
- $218.06
- AI upside
- -14.12%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$92.48
-57.59% upside
Graham-Dodd
$3.62
-98.34% upside
Graham Formula
$128.24
-41.19% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation of … | $218.06 | 20.89B | -14% | -58% | -98% | -41% | 27.08 | 4.53 | 2.32 | 13.97 | — | 7.94 | 21.02% | 13.97% | 8.55% | 17.08% | 12.82% | 7.86% | 0.95 | 15.87 | 3.17 | 1.83 | 2.18 | -392.00% | 723.00% | 3971.00% | 3.50% | 1.53 | 9.88% | 2.16% | 58.50% | 2.89% | 19.58 | 33.74 | 2.73 | 4.43 |
| AMCR | Amcor plc | $48.43 | 22.38B | +5% | +1,063% | — | -41% | 25.13 | 1.11 | 0.87 | 15.38 | — | -1.87 | 18.88% | 6.72% | 3.40% | 6.64% | 4.40% | 1.93% | 1.28 | 2.55 | 1.21 | 0.61 | 8.02 | -3676.00% | 1004.00% | -229.00% | 6.22% | 0.20 | 4.45% | 6.49% | 163.10% | 7.43% | 26.96 | 33.58 | 1.81 | 0.87 |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | $67.13 | 17.99B | -53% | -55% | -87% | -5% | 19.91 | 3.36 | 1.38 | 11.49 | — | 303.61 | 14.86% | 10.56% | 6.93% | 16.22% | 9.92% | 4.93% | 1.29 | 4.43 | 1.11 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -7462.00% | 1155.00% | -31355.00% | 4.33% | 0.23 | 7.10% | 1.21% | 24.00% | 8.46% | 17.28 | 30.48 | 1.82 | 1.72 |
| BBY | Best Buy Co., Inc. | $61.97 | 13.02B | +15% | -63% | — | -73% | 13.48 | 4.45 | 0.30 | 6.77 | — | 6.91 | 22.60% | 4.14% | 2.23% | 31.63% | 22.59% | 6.23% | 1.44 | 33.75 | 1.03 | 0.33 | 1.12 | -2465.00% | -443.00% | 10622.00% | 11.14% | 0.26 | 25.61% | 6.46% | 87.10% | 10.94% | 8.70 | 10.76 | 0.36 | 4.07 |
| BURL | Burlington Stores, Inc. | $306.87 | 19.31B | -35% | -69% | -80% | -56% | 30.46 | 11.19 | 1.44 | 18.81 | 61.98 | 14.13 | 43.30% | 9.78% | 4.74% | 42.55% | 14.60% | 6.11% | 3.92 | 14.95 | 1.16 | 0.48 | 4.18 | 4914.00% | 934.00% | -10814.00% | -0.19% | 0.38 | -0.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.67% | 18.98 | -689.20 | 1.86 | 3.13 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $114.60 | 13.22B | -49% | -50% | -94% | -29% | 18.23 | 4.46 | 1.08 | 9.22 | 22.86 | -12.00 | 18.34% | 13.23% | 5.94% | 25.51% | 15.17% | 5.22% | 1.99 | 4.11 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 2.58 | 7972.00% | 478.00% | 3916.00% | 8.21% | 0.35 | 13.42% | 0.90% | 16.30% | 6.21% | 11.36 | 16.92 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, In… | $203.63 | 16.49B | -5% | +406% | -80% | -18% | 12.62 | 4.60 | 1.09 | 8.87 | 82.18 | 5.08 | 35.90% | 10.96% | 8.67% | 40.08% | 20.42% | 11.79% | 1.40 | 27.82 | 1.76 | 0.62 | 1.42 | 1535.00% | 353.00% | -4582.00% | 3.46% | 0.43 | 9.20% | 2.46% | 31.00% | 4.25% | 11.87 | 34.36 | 1.30 | 4.09 |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Company | $119.26 | 16.59B | -8% | -60% | — | -95% | 249.78 | 3.72 | 0.68 | 32.20 | — | -26.50 | 34.58% | 5.00% | 0.27% | 1.51% | 11.13% | 0.33% | 1.87 | 7.43 | 1.08 | 0.29 | 10.35 | -9274.00% | 346.00% | -3845.00% | 2.56% | 0.09 | 3.86% | 3.42% | 855.00% | 3.42% | 19.98 | 57.66 | 1.00 | 2.32 |
| IP | International Paper Compa… | $43.55 | 23B | -56% | +143% | — | — | -6.44 | 1.53 | 0.91 | -234.09 | — | 4.15 | 29.53% | -11.33% | -14.12% | -30.57% | -12.71% | -11.57% | 0.73 | -7.58 | 1.28 | 0.71 | -69.99 | -52739.00% | 3371.00% | -12100.00% | -0.70% | 0.21 | -0.85% | 4.31% | -27.80% | 4.60% | -11.46 | -203.17 | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| SW | Smurfit Westrock Plc | $47.01 | 24.55B | -33% | +50% | -88% | +24% | 34.33 | 1.11 | 0.72 | 7.99 | 61.64 | 2.03 | 19.42% | 5.67% | 2.33% | 3.33% | 3.99% | 1.34% | 0.64 | 2.27 | 1.48 | 0.64 | 2.77 | 5570.00% | 3875.00% | 590776.00% | 5.00% | 0.41 | 3.45% | 3.75% | 128.80% | 13.10% | 19.50 | 30.60 | 1.11 | 1.36 |
| YUMC | Yum China Holdings, Inc. | $54.91 | 19.4B | -37% | -60% | -86% | -42% | 19.13 | 3.57 | 1.63 | 11.93 | 279.78 | 5.88 | 17.28% | 12.36% | 7.87% | 18.08% | 15.21% | 9.17% | 0.69 | — | 1.05 | 0.66 | 1.78 | 684.00% | 437.00% | 1765.00% | 4.37% | 0.65 | 11.99% | 1.84% | 35.20% | 7.79% | 14.78 | 25.65 | 1.83 | 4.24 |
About Packaging Corporation of America
Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United States. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various containerboard and corrugated packaging products, such as conventional shipping containers used to protect and transport manufactured goods; multi-color boxes and displays that help to merchandise the packaged product in retail locations; and honeycomb protective packaging products, as well as packaging for meat, fresh fruit and vegetables, processed food, beverages, and other industrial and consumer products. This segment sells its corrugated products through a direct sales and marketing organization, independent brokers, and distribution partners. The Paper segment manufactures and sells commodity and specialty papers, as well as communication papers, including cut-size office papers, and printing and converting papers. This segment sells white papers through its sales and marketing organization. Packaging Corporation of America was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois.
- CEO
- Mark W. Kowlzan
- Employees
- 15.4K
- Beta
- 0.90
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($92.48 ÷ $218.06) − 1 = -57.59% (DCF, example).