US · ARLO
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Security & Protection Services
- Headquarters
- Carlsbad, CA 92008
- Website
- arlo.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$14.61
Market cap 1.66B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $45.95 | +214.51% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $16.58 | +13.48% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $1.84 | -87.43% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1.66 | -88.65% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | $1.96 | $9.42 | |||
| 2018 | $4.36 | $49.80 | $147.72 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $3.21 | $37.39 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $14.35 |
| 2020 | $8.02 | $118.53 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $9.74 | $32.54 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $5.61 | $24.91 | $60.65 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $11.21 | $42.64 | $29.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $11.82 | $30.51 | $3.77 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2025 | $15.29 | $45.95 | $2.30 | $1.84 | $1.66 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s (ARLO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $45.95
- Current price
- $14.61
- AI upside
- +214.51%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$16.58
+13.48% upside
Graham-Dodd
$1.84
-87.43% upside
Graham Formula
$1.66
-88.65% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ARLO | Arlo Technologies, Inc. | $14.61 | 1.66B | +215% | +13% | -87% | -89% | 106.74 | 12.46 | 3.01 | 73.15 | — | 13.64 | 43.99% | 1.15% | 2.82% | 13.05% | -18.07% | 4.90% | 0.05 | — | 1.51 | 1.20 | -7.13 | -14516.00% | 360.00% | 3760.00% | 4.20% | 0.46 | -208.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.63% | 236.14 | 21.43 | 2.71 | 5.61 |
| AMRC | Ameresco, Inc. | $30.46 | 1.61B | +159% | -85% | -23% | +27% | 10.23 | 0.57 | 0.33 | 11.17 | — | 0.62 | 14.47% | 6.14% | 3.21% | 5.93% | 4.37% | 1.44% | 1.68 | 1.52 | 1.46 | 1.18 | 8.19 | -855.00% | 2876.00% | -4841.00% | -55.22% | 0.13 | -12.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 20.01 | -6.78 | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | $18.23 | 2.76B | +27% | +2,711% | — | +309% | 3.28 | 0.77 | 0.39 | 3.53 | — | 0.77 | 19.17% | 12.17% | 9.94% | 25.95% | 18.13% | 14.55% | 0.65 | 20.24 | 1.11 | 0.81 | 1.38 | -2521.00% | 2091.00% | -6297.00% | 10.55% | 1.23 | 6.61% | 27.90% | 91.40% | 27.91% | 5.26 | 15.54 | 0.64 | 2.37 |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises, Inc. | $138.47 | 2.17B | -3% | +146% | -79% | -20% | 25.28 | 4.50 | 1.11 | 9.25 | 93.57 | -28.93 | 31.54% | 8.77% | 4.40% | 19.25% | 21.38% | 5.84% | 0.17 | 2.92 | 3.34 | 2.57 | -1.00 | 2701.00% | 1189.00% | -3003.00% | 2.41% | 0.35 | 8.77% | 0.00% | 0.10% | 34.08% | 11.44 | 37.48 | 1.00 | 3.53 |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | $15.04 | 2.09B | +74% | -59% | +32% | +98% | 8.40 | 1.42 | 0.81 | 6.01 | 1.16 | 3.39 | 25.20% | 9.78% | 9.67% | 17.92% | 6.18% | 6.81% | 1.15 | 1.60 | 2.01 | 1.86 | 2.62 | 72727.00% | 858.00% | -17637.00% | -5.84% | 0.20 | -4.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.67% | 14.73 | -30.37 | 1.44 | 1.57 |
| NSSC | Napco Security Technologi… | $46.61 | 1.66B | -8% | -51% | -89% | -88% | 32.83 | 8.45 | 7.85 | 27.43 | — | 8.62 | 55.63% | 25.47% | 23.90% | 25.74% | 53.64% | 21.91% | 0.03 | — | 6.75 | 5.37 | -1.60 | -1119.00% | -381.00% | 1745.00% | 3.61% | 2.23 | 68.76% | 0.96% | 31.40% | 3.54% | 28.78 | 25.89 | 7.33 | 32.88 |
| PCT | PureCycle Technologies, I… | $6.31 | 1.14B | — | — | — | — | -6.34 | 25.21 | 138.44 | -12.52 | — | 25.21 | -1611.30% | -1991.21% | -2185.10% | -161.32% | -66.49% | -21.22% | 1.28 | -2.58 | 2.26 | 1.97 | 1.17 | -3125.00% | — | -839.00% | -15.87% | -1.63 | -73.37% | 0.98% | -6.20% | 42.78% | -6.28 | -5.69 | 125.09 | -0.47 |
| PSIX | Power Solutions Internati… | $83.50 | 1.92B | -52% | -84% | -80% | -58% | 9.11 | 9.67 | 1.33 | 8.31 | 5.63 | 19.14 | 29.53% | 17.15% | 14.56% | 225.91% | 53.08% | 22.62% | 2.24 | 7.13 | 1.12 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 16174.00% | 370.00% | -1168.00% | 9.17% | 0.27 | 38.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.61% | 8.84 | 12.48 | 1.52 | 3.42 |
| UPWK | Upwork Inc. | $13.42 | 1.75B | +265% | -39% | -40% | -31% | 14.85 | 2.72 | 2.18 | 8.68 | — | 3.86 | 77.82% | 16.41% | 14.65% | 19.15% | 29.65% | 9.19% | 0.60 | 184.72 | 1.46 | 1.16 | 0.51 | -4539.00% | 240.00% | 7429.00% | 14.15% | 0.38 | 73.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.93% | 10.97 | 5.85 | 1.80 | 2.79 |
| VVX | V2X, Inc. | $69.75 | 2.17B | -13% | +50% | — | -59% | 28.76 | 2.06 | 0.50 | 10.19 | 22.67 | -2.69 | 8.33% | 4.34% | 1.74% | 7.38% | 7.90% | 2.35% | 1.08 | 2.29 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 2.68 | 12685.00% | 365.00% | -2985.00% | 7.59% | 0.18 | 8.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.06% | 15.65 | 17.88 | 0.68 | 2.31 |
About Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Arlo Technologies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides a cloud-based platform in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific regions. It combines an intelligent cloud infrastructure and mobile app with various smart connected devices. The company offers Arlo essential indoor camera; Arlo Go 2 LTE/Wi-Fi security camera; Arlo Q and Arlo Q Plus, an indoor wired solution that allows users to monitor their surroundings; and Arlo Go, an LTE-enabled wire-free camera that provides untethered mobile security. It also provides Arlo Baby, a baby monitor with air quality and temperature sensors, motion and audio detection, and advanced night vision; Arlo Chime that pairs with the Arlo Video Doorbell to play a variety of ringtones or act as a siren; Arlo Ultra, an integrated spotlight and crystal-clear two-way audio with advanced noise cancellations camera; Arlo Pro 3, an integrated spotlight with color night vision camera; Arlo Video Doorbell delivers direct-to-mobile video calls and personalized alerts; Arlo Floodlight Camera, a wire-free variant LED camera, as well as Arlo Essential Spotlight; Arlo Ultra 2; Arlo Essential XL Spotlight; Arlo Essential Wire-Free Video Doorbell; and Arlo Pro 4 Wire-Free Spotlight. In addition, it provides Arlo accessories, such as charging accessories, device mounts, and device skins. Further, it offers Arlo app for iOS and Android devices that allow users to connect various devices; and Arlo Secure, with coverage for unlimited cameras and an enhanced emergency response solutions. The company offers its products through retailers, wholesale distributors, broadcast channels, wireless carriers, and security solution providers, as well as through its website. Arlo Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.
- CEO
- Matthew Blake McRae
- Employees
- 360
- Beta
- 1.66
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($16.58 ÷ $14.61) − 1 = +13.48% (DCF, example).