US · ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Construction
- Headquarters
- Northborough, MA 01532
- Website
- aerogel.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$4.27
Market cap 257.86M
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $855.89 | +19,944.26% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $1.31 | -69.32% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $142.89 | +3,246.46% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2013 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $7.26 | $87.38 | $38.33 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $4.01 | $29.29 | $16.41 | $3.94 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $4.07 | $63.45 | $0.00 | $2.40 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $4.59 | $59.20 | $0.00 | $0.18 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $3.15 | $13.97 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $7.93 | $54.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $22.30 | $62.80 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $15.42 |
| 2021 | $31.10 | $29.68 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $7.80 | $39.01 | $5.10 | $0.86 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $17.02 | $31.61 | $27.43 | $3.73 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $7.95 | $64.63 | $141.93 | $8.79 | $16.19 |
| 2025 | $3.28 | $855.89 | $5.75 | $0.00 | $142.89 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Aspen Aerogels, Inc.'s (ASPN) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $855.89
- Current price
- $4.27
- AI upside
- +19,944.26%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$1.31
-69.32% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$142.89
+3,246.46% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels, Inc. | $4.27 | 257.86M | +19,944% | -69% | — | +3,246% | — | 1.15 | 1.00 | -30.88 | — | 1.15 | 16.97% | -18.96% | -143.69% | 0.00% | -13.74% | 0.00% | 0.33 | -0.01 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 12.61 | -288824.00% | -4011.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | — | 20.32% | -3.75 | — | 0.71 | 1.73 |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | $11.80 | 709.45M | +186% | -49% | — | — | -6.70 | -15.34 | 5.97 | -8.74 | -9.71 | -10.37 | 17.66% | -7.83% | -89.04% | 2210.73% | 64.42% | -72.66% | -0.39 | -0.53 | 1.86 | 0.83 | 0.08 | 6903.00% | 245.00% | -4216.00% | -2.69% | -0.26 | 132.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -75.56 | -36.78 | 5.91 | 1.25 |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | $39.82 | 856.57M | +35% | -60% | -60% | -58% | 10.21 | 1.78 | 0.64 | 6.35 | — | 7.02 | 26.75% | 8.68% | 6.25% | 17.74% | 13.41% | 8.26% | 0.72 | 19.18 | 1.55 | 1.06 | 1.68 | -1375.00% | -395.00% | -4436.00% | 10.32% | 0.44 | 13.46% | 2.50% | 25.60% | 7.73% | 9.94 | 13.10 | 0.86 | 2.84 |
| BXC | BlueLinx Holdings Inc. | $65.92 | 518.46M | — | -61% | +6% | -100% | 2336.84 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 11.05 | — | 1.10 | 15.29% | 1.10% | 0.01% | — | — | — | 1.09 | 1.00 | 4.66 | 2.86 | 3.98 | — | — | — | 6.42% | 0.28 | — | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.95% | 24.63 | 24.35 | 0.27 | 3.38 |
| EH | EHang Holdings Limited | $12.27 | 443.75M | +117% | +2,494% | — | — | -23.64 | 5.68 | 11.74 | -22.15 | -62.36 | 5.70 | 59.20% | -62.25% | -50.37% | -39.30% | -406.23% | -21.05% | 0.24 | -85.32 | 2.89 | 2.56 | 1.84 | 3790.00% | 29402.00% | -22205.00% | 2.19% | 0.34 | 167.86% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.94% | -15.77 | 38.16 | 9.81 | 3.80 |
| FIP | FTAI Infrastructure Inc. | $5.81 | 675.09M | +4% | +447% | — | — | -2.81 | -5.00 | 1.46 | 2.00 | — | -1.32 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -51.82% | -119.01% | 0.00% | -6.41% | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.22 | -1.01 | -1691.00% | 5159.00% | 2029.00% | -16.13% | -0.06 | -12.97% | 1.89% | -5.30% | 258.03% | — | -4.12 | 0.97 | -0.25 |
| HY | Hyster-Yale Materials Han… | $36.83 | 653.08M | +67% | -54% | +20% | +178% | 5.17 | 1.57 | 0.17 | 3.96 | 46.80 | 1.93 | 20.79% | 5.68% | 3.30% | 33.34% | 17.88% | 7.02% | 1.14 | 7.24 | 1.35 | 0.55 | 1.48 | 1105.00% | 461.00% | 659.00% | 16.48% | 0.16 | 13.63% | 3.22% | 16.60% | 11.52% | 4.87 | 9.69 | 0.28 | 3.29 |
| KRNT | Kornit Digital Ltd. | $15.29 | 702.92M | +132% | -35% | -11% | — | -52.37 | 0.99 | 3.40 | -11.85 | — | 1.05 | 44.32% | -16.61% | -6.49% | -1.88% | -12.46% | -1.74% | 0.03 | — | 14.18 | 12.35 | 0.74 | -1429.00% | 215.00% | -9055.00% | 0.45% | 0.58 | 1.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.98% | -7.77 | 84.62 | 1.29 | 8.32 |
| LTBR | Lightbridge Corporation | $12.93 | 335.06M | — | — | — | — | -16.23 | 1.57 | — | -5.92 | — | 1.57 | 0.00% | — | — | -16.08% | -2794.43% | -16.00% | 0.00 | — | 239.04 | 238.20 | 10.31 | -123.00% | — | 5043.00% | -4.49% | -16.85 | -1718.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 50.94% | -4.99 | -8.11 | — | 224.52 |
| NX | Quanex Building Products … | $20.53 | 943.12M | -2% | -66% | — | — | -3.23 | 1.11 | 0.44 | -19.04 | — | -8.58 | 27.17% | -10.55% | -13.65% | -28.88% | -11.72% | -11.70% | 1.18 | -3.48 | 2.04 | 1.00 | -9.33 | -70333.00% | 4381.00% | 9769.00% | 12.63% | 0.59 | 6.18% | 1.84% | -5.90% | 8.00% | -8.18 | 15.52 | 0.86 | 1.29 |
About Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells aerogel insulation products primarily for use in the energy infrastructure and building materials markets in the United States, Asia, Canada, Europe, and Latin America. The company offers PyroThin thermal barriers for use in lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles and energy storage industries; Pyrogel XTE that reduces the risk of corrosion under insulation in energy infrastructure operating systems; Pyrogel HPS for applications within the power generation market; Pyrogel XTF to provide protection against fire; Cryogel Z for sub-ambient and cryogenic applications in the energy infrastructure market; and Spaceloft Subsea for use in pipe-in-pipe applications in offshore oil production. It also offers Spaceloft Grey and Spaceloft A2 for use in the building materials market; and Cryogel X201, which is used in designing cold systems, such as refrigerated appliances, cold storage equipment, and aerospace systems. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Northborough, Massachusetts.
- CEO
- Donald R. Young
- Employees
- 554
- Beta
- 2.98
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($1.31 ÷ $4.27) − 1 = -69.32% (DCF, example).