US · AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Arlington, VA 22202
- Website
- avinc.com
Price · as of 2025-04-30
$184.97
Market cap 12.6B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $175.79 | -4.96% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $214.08 | +15.74% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $30.26 | -83.64% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $34.10 | -81.56% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $36.24 | $57.25 | $13.67 | $18.20 | $29.50 |
| 2012 | $25.36 | $72.91 | $5.52 | $20.73 | $26.34 |
| 2013 | $20.00 | $42.64 | $3.06 | $16.64 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $33.43 | $47.81 | $5.27 | $18.39 | $7.81 |
| 2015 | $27.16 | $47.24 | $5.93 | $15.89 | $1.39 |
| 2016 | $27.13 | $90.96 | $7.16 | $17.70 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $38.67 | $1,209.43 | $4.91 | $19.41 | $4.51 |
| 2018 | $72.07 | $531.30 | $6.44 | $21.28 | $17.25 |
| 2019 | $56.31 | $105.87 | $28.83 | $29.57 | $48.90 |
| 2020 | $76.42 | $75.58 | $115.58 | $29.78 | $41.75 |
| 2021 | $99.34 | $84.46 | $41.33 | $17.24 | $14.94 |
| 2022 | $82.81 | $98.75 | $1.80 | $10.24 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $96.20 | $234.91 | $2.51 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $168.90 | $102.94 | $277.48 | $31.08 | $86.23 |
| 2025 | $263.80 | $175.79 | $180.94 | $30.26 | $34.10 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates AeroVironment, Inc.'s (AVAV) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $175.79
- Current price
- $184.97
- AI upside
- -4.96%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$214.08
+15.74% upside
Graham-Dodd
$30.26
-83.64% upside
Graham Formula
$34.10
-81.56% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AVAV | AeroVironment, Inc. | $184.97 | 12.6B | -5% | +16% | -84% | -82% | 169.45 | 8.34 | 9.01 | 71.03 | — | 12.72 | 39.35% | 4.97% | 5.32% | 5.10% | 4.65% | 4.08% | 0.07 | 18.64 | 3.52 | 2.52 | 0.22 | -2890.00% | 1450.00% | 16258.00% | -0.33% | -0.01 | -2.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 181.76 | -307.24 | 9.04 | 20.61 |
| BWXT | BWX Technologies, Inc. | $205.98 | 18.84B | -42% | -12% | -95% | -55% | 60.09 | 16.08 | 6.20 | 38.68 | 354.76 | 49.27 | 22.87% | 10.11% | 10.31% | 28.51% | 11.14% | 9.24% | 1.64 | 7.31 | 2.32 | 2.15 | 2.74 | 1694.00% | 1830.00% | 1590.00% | 1.49% | 0.71 | 12.28% | 0.47% | 28.00% | 0.62% | 66.00 | 72.25 | 6.67 | 5.99 |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, … | $185.25 | 21.97B | -55% | -60% | — | -100% | 38.35 | 12.20 | 1.39 | 27.00 | 152.61 | 80.64 | 8.37% | 4.90% | 3.62% | 32.91% | 19.48% | 11.34% | 0.88 | 12.60 | 1.53 | 1.46 | 1.65 | 2513.00% | -842.00% | 8397.00% | 3.97% | 0.50 | 26.99% | 1.34% | 51.30% | 3.48% | 30.17 | 26.80 | 1.48 | 9.84 |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright Corporatio… | $700.33 | 25.82B | -41% | -45% | -90% | -64% | 56.14 | 10.73 | 7.77 | 44.08 | 255.27 | 88.05 | 37.20% | 18.24% | 13.84% | 19.43% | 14.72% | 9.49% | 0.52 | 14.79 | 1.44 | 0.93 | 1.48 | 2199.00% | 1208.00% | 1457.00% | 2.04% | 0.46 | 16.36% | 0.13% | 7.20% | 1.84% | 44.08 | 50.80 | 8.04 | 8.44 |
| ESLT | Elbit Systems Ltd. | $769.04 | 35.73B | -81% | -77% | -94% | -79% | 49.06 | 4.82 | 2.28 | 28.18 | 100.19 | 11.03 | 24.05% | 7.28% | 4.70% | 10.38% | 10.52% | 3.11% | 0.42 | 3.81 | 1.20 | 0.64 | 1.84 | 4896.00% | 1430.00% | -53579.00% | 2.02% | 0.10 | 7.46% | 0.56% | 27.60% | 1.60% | 33.46 | 52.87 | 2.44 | 2.48 |
| FTAI | FTAI Aviation Ltd. | $305.80 | 31.37B | -42% | +177% | -91% | -21% | 61.03 | 91.50 | 12.20 | 28.03 | — | 138.98 | 31.08% | 30.70% | 19.98% | 241.16% | 36.96% | 11.91% | 0.00 | 3.11 | 5.28 | 1.28 | -0.28 | -153750.00% | 4324.00% | -7689.00% | -1.02% | -0.78 | -18.06% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.86% | 39.33 | -97.44 | 12.08 | 6.26 |
| KTOS | Kratos Defense & Security… | $86.18 | 14.68B | -25% | -41% | -90% | -96% | 710.30 | 7.83 | 11.60 | 146.87 | 3906.63 | 11.60 | 22.15% | 2.06% | 1.63% | 1.31% | 1.23% | 1.00% | 0.09 | 2.64 | 4.06 | 3.27 | -3.67 | 1818.00% | 1853.00% | 151647.00% | -0.88% | -0.14 | -9.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.14% | 550.38 | -110.96 | 11.32 | 20.59 |
| NVT | nVent Electric plc | $118.36 | 19.14B | -27% | +160% | -86% | +35% | 27.50 | 5.24 | 5.02 | 25.04 | 23.15 | -23.70 | 37.74% | 15.84% | 18.24% | 20.39% | 9.22% | 10.45% | 0.42 | 8.22 | 1.63 | 0.93 | 1.59 | 11878.00% | 2951.00% | -3465.00% | 1.90% | 0.46 | 7.13% | 0.67% | 18.40% | 6.13% | 33.81 | 56.07 | 5.36 | 4.73 |
| SNA | Snap-on Incorporated | $385.22 | 20.03B | — | -54% | -85% | -54% | 19.96 | 3.42 | 3.94 | 13.47 | — | 4.46 | 51.73% | 25.75% | 19.72% | — | — | — | 0.22 | 25.43 | 4.79 | 2.73 | -0.20 | — | — | — | 4.95% | 1.18 | — | 2.28% | 45.50% | 3.90% | 15.06 | 19.89 | 3.88 | 7.94 |
| TXT | Textron Inc. | $98.65 | 17.18B | — | -59% | -44% | -18% | 11.31 | 2.30 | 1.23 | 11.99 | — | 3.27 | 16.91% | 8.44% | 6.22% | — | — | — | 0.45 | 12.88 | 5.94 | 2.33 | 0.97 | — | — | — | 4.87% | 1.07 | — | 0.10% | 1.20% | 6.04% | 15.81 | 22.33 | 1.33 | 2.94 |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | $386.76 | 23.2B | -54% | +15% | -87% | -71% | 40.85 | 7.04 | 5.06 | 27.12 | 208.05 | 13.83 | 26.81% | 14.33% | 12.39% | 18.64% | 15.07% | 9.83% | 0.28 | 11.19 | 2.08 | 1.28 | 0.58 | 1963.00% | 730.00% | -71.00% | 1.88% | 0.52 | 11.84% | 0.36% | 14.70% | 2.52% | 36.10 | 54.22 | 5.17 | 7.73 |
About AeroVironment, Inc.
AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, delivers, and supports a portfolio of robotic systems and related services for government agencies and businesses in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile System (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS). The company supplies UAS, TMS, unmanned ground vehicle, and related services primarily to organizations within the U.S. Department of Defense and to international allied governments. It also designs, engineers, tools, and manufactures unmanned aerial and aircraft systems, including airborne platforms, payloads and payload integration, ground control systems, and ground support equipment and other items and services related to unmanned aircraft systems. In addition, the company offers small UAS products, including spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support, as well as multiple aircraft, hand-held ground control system, and spare parts and accessories. Further, it develops high-altitude pseudo-satellite UAS systems. The company was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Arlington, Virginia.
- CEO
- Wahid Nawabi
- Employees
- 1.4K
- Beta
- 1.24
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($214.08 ÷ $184.97) − 1 = +15.74% (DCF, example).