US · DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
- Headquarters
- Goleta, CA 93117
- Website
- deckers.com
Price · as of 2025-03-31
$100.88
Market cap 17.09B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $175.64 | +74.11% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $166.09 | +64.64% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $48.22 | -52.2% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $150.17 | +48.86% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $7.39 | $37.89 | |||
| 2012 | $5.67 | $6.18 | |||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | $12.40 | $65.00 | $7.83 | $27.64 | |
| 2016 | $9.11 | $36.90 | $0.00 | $7.43 | $7.00 |
| 2017 | $11.67 | $36.51 | $0.00 | $5.05 | $0.11 |
| 2018 | $20.27 | $42.95 | $0.91 | $7.87 | $8.56 |
| 2019 | $26.72 | $52.98 | $2.74 | $13.23 | $20.90 |
| 2020 | $34.18 | $57.33 | $2.82 | $14.72 | $21.87 |
| 2021 | $55.74 | $77.49 | $21.37 | $19.86 | $60.65 |
| 2022 | $44.99 | $79.31 | $208.16 | $22.93 | $84.60 |
| 2023 | $81.39 | $90.65 | $336.85 | $27.27 | $73.67 |
| 2024 | $174.05 | $169.77 | $418.61 | $37.95 | $124.97 |
| 2025 | $109.22 | $175.64 | $480.24 | $48.22 | $150.17 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Deckers Outdoor Corporation's (DECK) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $175.64
- Current price
- $100.88
- AI upside
- +74.11%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$166.09
+64.64% upside
Graham-Dodd
$48.22
-52.2% upside
Graham Formula
$150.17
+48.86% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor Corporati… | $100.88 | 17.09B | +74% | +65% | -52% | +49% | 17.18 | 6.61 | 3.33 | 11.40 | 56.81 | 6.68 | 57.88% | 23.65% | 19.38% | 41.82% | 103.34% | 28.55% | 0.11 | 335.26 | 3.72 | 2.96 | -1.23 | 3025.00% | 1628.00% | 154.00% | 5.77% | 1.36 | 108.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.69% | 12.71 | 15.64 | 3.01 | 12.91 |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | $67.13 | 17.99B | -53% | -55% | -87% | -5% | 19.91 | 3.36 | 1.38 | 11.49 | — | 303.61 | 14.86% | 10.56% | 6.93% | 16.22% | 9.92% | 4.93% | 1.29 | 4.43 | 1.11 | 0.70 | 2.77 | -7462.00% | 1155.00% | -31355.00% | 4.33% | 0.23 | 7.10% | 1.21% | 24.00% | 8.46% | 17.28 | 30.48 | 1.82 | 1.72 |
| BIRK | Birkenstock Holding plc | $41.65 | 7.66B | +31% | -45% | -56% | +24% | 20.18 | 2.58 | 3.35 | 12.13 | 24.21 | -19.16 | 59.11% | 26.20% | 16.61% | 13.03% | 11.16% | 7.09% | 0.48 | 7.27 | 2.81 | 1.17 | 1.49 | 8333.00% | 1622.00% | -1875.00% | 4.10% | 0.82 | 7.90% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.97% | 14.55 | 27.74 | 3.81 | 3.11 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $114.60 | 13.22B | -49% | -50% | -94% | -29% | 18.23 | 4.46 | 1.08 | 9.22 | 22.86 | -12.00 | 18.34% | 13.23% | 5.94% | 25.51% | 15.17% | 5.22% | 1.99 | 4.11 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 2.58 | 7972.00% | 478.00% | 3916.00% | 8.21% | 0.35 | 13.42% | 0.90% | 16.30% | 6.21% | 11.36 | 16.92 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| HTHT | H World Group Limited | $54.80 | 16.86B | -25% | -52% | — | -58% | 25.47 | 6.49 | 3.31 | 16.01 | — | 39.39 | 41.27% | 21.77% | 12.76% | 25.52% | 8.98% | 4.92% | 2.91 | 16.35 | 0.99 | 0.92 | 4.33 | -2320.00% | 918.00% | -65.00% | 8.52% | 0.57 | 17.84% | 4.47% | 113.80% | 7.17% | 19.88 | 15.36 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | $63.05 | 17.77B | -23% | -60% | -67% | -62% | 21.10 | 1.43 | 0.42 | 6.39 | — | 1.88 | 10.31% | 5.02% | 1.97% | 7.03% | 7.94% | 2.70% | 0.67 | 10.10 | 1.25 | 0.84 | 1.75 | -1506.00% | -21.00% | 2481.00% | 10.21% | 0.33 | 9.95% | 3.11% | 65.60% | 3.92% | 11.42 | 13.49 | 0.57 | 2.71 |
| ONON | On Holding AG | $46.48 | 15.35B | +35% | +384% | -79% | -30% | 52.14 | 9.08 | 5.45 | 30.03 | 28.34 | 9.47 | 60.63% | 9.13% | 10.45% | 19.65% | 23.46% | 12.21% | 0.25 | 8.89 | 2.66 | 1.84 | -1.44 | 18400.00% | 2936.00% | 14100.00% | 3.53% | 0.77 | 57.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.46% | 56.78 | 26.96 | 5.18 | 9.66 |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $157.52 | 10.37B | -15% | -60% | -2% | +11% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| SCI | Service Corporation Inter… | $84.18 | 11.8B | -39% | -55% | — | -50% | 22.34 | 7.40 | 2.81 | 12.95 | 292.10 | -22.85 | 26.46% | 22.60% | 12.59% | 32.74% | 11.22% | 3.01% | 3.14 | 3.81 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 3.73 | 765.00% | 293.00% | -28.00% | 4.57% | 1.26 | 8.58% | 1.51% | 33.80% | 5.31% | 17.48 | 30.72 | 3.95 | 0.85 |
| SN | SharkNinja, Inc. | $122.87 | 17.34B | +26% | +137% | -69% | -6% | 24.24 | 6.35 | 2.66 | 16.25 | 41.19 | 12.23 | 49.01% | 14.39% | 10.96% | 30.41% | 26.44% | 14.40% | 0.38 | 18.95 | 2.04 | 1.38 | 0.23 | 5884.00% | 1575.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.36 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.97% | 18.72 | — | 2.69 | 6.41 |
| TOL | Toll Brothers, Inc. | $157.24 | 14.94B | -1% | -63% | -13% | -20% | 10.67 | 1.74 | 1.31 | 8.58 | — | 1.74 | 25.96% | 15.69% | 12.28% | 16.89% | 13.43% | 9.66% | 0.35 | — | 4.17 | 0.46 | 0.89 | -1013.00% | 111.00% | 958.00% | 7.14% | 0.36 | 10.66% | 0.68% | 7.20% | 5.22% | 9.31 | 15.61 | 1.46 | 4.17 |
About Deckers Outdoor Corporation
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities. The company offers premium footwear, apparel, and accessories under the UGG brand name; sandals, shoes, and boots under the Teva brand name; and relaxed casual shoes and sandals under the Sanuk brand name. It also provides footwear and apparel for ultra-runners and athletes under the Hoka brand name; and fashion casual footwear using other plush materials under the Koolaburra brand. The company sells its products through department stores, domestic independent action sports and outdoor specialty footwear retailers, and larger national retail chains, as well as online retailers. It also sells its products directly to consumers through its retail stores and e-commerce websites, as well as distributes its products through distributors and retailers in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. As of March 31, 2022, it had 149 retail stores, including 75 concept stores and 74 outlet stores worldwide. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.
- CEO
- Stefano Caroti
- Employees
- 4.8K
- Beta
- 1.15
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($166.09 ÷ $100.88) − 1 = +64.64% (DCF, example).