US · ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Trucking
- Headquarters
- Thomasville, NC 27360
- Website
- odfl.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$205.81
Market cap 42.46B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $107.03 | -48% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $88.33 | -57.08% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $28.09 | -86.35% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $14.46 | -92.97% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $10.08 | $28.96 | $8.76 | $5.97 | $19.25 |
| 2012 | $11.67 | $28.76 | $41.72 | $7.17 | $12.98 |
| 2013 | $18.08 | $31.23 | $26.41 | $8.68 | $13.80 |
| 2014 | $25.06 | $35.78 | $37.19 | $10.88 | $27.42 |
| 2015 | $22.05 | $33.86 | $24.19 | $12.45 | $17.18 |
| 2016 | $28.70 | $36.25 | $1.16 | $13.28 | $10.32 |
| 2017 | $47.49 | $42.31 | $3.82 | $16.52 | $37.16 |
| 2018 | $46.08 | $47.36 | $57.60 | $20.53 | $68.04 |
| 2019 | $64.36 | $52.66 | $16.67 | $22.06 | $24.65 |
| 2020 | $114.25 | $71.08 | $7.06 | $23.75 | $17.11 |
| 2021 | $150.16 | $106.50 | $68.59 | $32.28 | $168.96 |
| 2022 | $165.59 | $123.05 | $159.92 | $37.68 | $160.19 |
| 2023 | $211.51 | $136.51 | $85.05 | $35.77 | $12.46 |
| 2024 | $178.27 | $117.23 | $16.04 | $31.68 | $40.57 |
| 2025 | $207.75 | $107.03 | $9.19 | $28.09 | $14.46 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.'s (ODFL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $107.03
- Current price
- $205.81
- AI upside
- -48%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$88.33
-57.08% upside
Graham-Dodd
$28.09
-86.35% upside
Graham Formula
$14.46
-92.97% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line… | $205.81 | 42.46B | -48% | -57% | -86% | -93% | 42.60 | 10.11 | 7.93 | 25.21 | — | 10.11 | 32.15% | 24.76% | 18.63% | 23.93% | 23.98% | 18.68% | 0.01 | 4598.12 | 1.44 | 0.25 | -0.05 | -1186.00% | -548.00% | 756.00% | 2.19% | 2.83 | 22.38% | 0.54% | 23.00% | 2.54% | 31.98 | 45.57 | 7.92 | 24.44 |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | $155.67 | 36.82B | -37% | -3% | -99% | — | -448.65 | 51.62 | 19.60 | 2005.67 | -243.02 | 51.62 | 29.02% | 3.60% | -4.37% | -13.29% | 5.61% | -2.51% | 3.89 | 1.35 | 5.98 | 4.82 | 26.83 | 18462.00% | 3733.00% | 7254.00% | 0.14% | 0.18 | 4.41% | 0.00% | -1.10% | 0.48% | 552.37 | 703.16 | 19.87 | 6.70 |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | $225.50 | 30.93B | +15% | -57% | -62% | -56% | 28.40 | 4.20 | 3.84 | 17.80 | — | 144.14 | 39.77% | 16.97% | 13.52% | 15.24% | 12.34% | 8.44% | 0.51 | 12.51 | 1.79 | 1.21 | 1.13 | -5928.00% | 448.00% | 9243.00% | 3.60% | 0.53 | 12.58% | 0.91% | 25.90% | 2.65% | 24.15 | 29.68 | 4.10 | 5.70 |
| EFX | Equifax Inc. | $208.96 | 25.58B | -19% | -57% | — | -62% | 38.58 | 5.57 | 4.22 | 16.72 | 389.02 | -11.46 | 44.60% | 18.03% | 10.87% | 14.13% | 8.49% | 5.62% | 1.11 | 5.16 | 0.60 | 0.51 | 2.69 | 992.00% | 692.00% | 3952.00% | 4.43% | 0.69 | 11.84% | 0.91% | 35.00% | 4.53% | 27.89 | 26.93 | 5.03 | 3.64 |
| EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | $724.62 | 32.44B | -42% | +277% | -76% | -7% | 26.04 | 9.02 | 1.95 | 16.53 | 84.02 | 28.76 | 19.58% | 9.84% | 7.47% | 38.50% | 43.61% | 14.97% | 0.23 | — | 1.22 | 1.10 | -0.13 | 3099.00% | 1664.00% | -1078.00% | 3.59% | 0.27 | 44.38% | 0.14% | 3.50% | 1.90% | 19.68 | 27.65 | 1.94 | 7.01 |
| FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | $1,429.37 | 50.42B | -53% | +827% | -89% | -26% | 49.72 | 20.76 | 5.59 | 35.06 | 50.83 | 54.20 | 24.13% | 14.42% | 11.23% | 49.24% | 55.85% | 18.34% | 0.32 | 145.70 | 1.21 | 1.15 | -0.14 | 9781.00% | 2952.00% | 3977.00% | 2.03% | 0.35 | 55.51% | 0.14% | 6.70% | 0.56% | 38.58 | 49.10 | 5.56 | 10.42 |
| HUBB | Hubbell Incorporated | $511.63 | 27.2B | -27% | -52% | -97% | -62% | 31.02 | 7.15 | 4.71 | 22.04 | 205.42 | -45.32 | 35.46% | 20.83% | 15.18% | 24.93% | 18.30% | 11.90% | 0.68 | 18.99 | 1.72 | 0.90 | 1.58 | 1510.00% | 384.00% | 788.00% | 3.18% | 0.68 | 16.50% | 1.04% | 32.30% | 1.86% | 24.34 | 33.87 | 5.07 | 5.84 |
| IR | Ingersoll Rand Inc. | $94.14 | 37.2B | -25% | -59% | -89% | -79% | 64.34 | 3.71 | 4.89 | 21.28 | — | -14.20 | 38.54% | 18.53% | 7.60% | 5.74% | 7.58% | 3.20% | 0.47 | 5.58 | 2.06 | 1.34 | 1.84 | -2961.00% | 575.00% | -220.00% | 3.26% | 0.66 | 8.96% | 0.09% | 5.50% | 2.81% | 28.88 | 33.56 | 5.35 | 3.81 |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings,… | $106.30 | 34.41B | -13% | -21% | -21% | +12% | — | 2.21 | 0.57 | 7.69 | — | 4.17 | 64.12% | 7.98% | 5.68% | 0.00% | 10.29% | 0.00% | 2.39 | 3.86 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 4.05 | 815.00% | 352.00% | -3324.00% | 7.58% | 0.32 | 7.17% | 0.00% | — | 1.89% | 12.30 | 22.67 | 0.98 | 1.16 |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | $97.43 | 24.19B | -12% | -49% | -86% | -46% | 25.68 | 7.77 | 4.39 | 18.40 | 204.22 | -94.30 | 59.95% | 23.21% | 17.08% | 36.55% | 27.46% | 13.33% | 0.86 | 13.30 | 1.67 | 1.42 | 0.48 | 1257.00% | 597.00% | 2366.00% | 4.20% | 0.52 | 27.21% | 0.45% | 11.60% | 4.69% | 19.41 | 24.44 | 4.50 | 4.64 |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Te… | $263.95 | 45.12B | -32% | -54% | -91% | -60% | 38.52 | 4.03 | 4.03 | 20.97 | 294.53 | -15.44 | 31.48% | 16.74% | 10.48% | 10.99% | 9.49% | 5.72% | 0.50 | 8.31 | 1.11 | 0.52 | 2.01 | 1308.00% | 751.00% | -787.00% | 3.33% | 0.34 | 10.25% | 0.38% | 14.80% | 0.88% | 26.60 | 33.16 | 4.45 | 3.54 |
About Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier in the United States and North America. It provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, including expedited transportation. The company also offers various value-added services, such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. As of December 31, 2021, it owned and operated 10,403 tractors, 27,917 linehaul trailers, and 13,303 pickup and delivery trailers; 3 fleet maintenance centers; and 251 service centers. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.
- CEO
- Kevin Freeman
- Employees
- 21.82K
- Beta
- 1.27
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($88.33 ÷ $205.81) − 1 = -57.08% (DCF, example).