US · NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
- Headquarters
- Miami, FL 33126
- Website
- nclhltd.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$18.81
Market cap 11.29B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $47.26 | +151.25% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $152.69 | +711.75% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $13.42 | -28.66% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $38.61 | +105.24% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $9.17 | $1.85 | |||
| 2011 | $12.32 | $11.32 | |||
| 2012 | $30.30 | $53.06 | $5.45 | $15.87 | $9.98 |
| 2013 | $33.37 | $21.67 | $9.16 | $13.07 | $10.08 |
| 2014 | $50.71 | $22.90 | $60.77 | $18.30 | $46.64 |
| 2015 | $48.87 | $25.42 | $405.37 | $19.72 | $84.51 |
| 2016 | $51.10 | $29.37 | $356.12 | $27.73 | $55.04 |
| 2017 | $57.15 | $36.24 | $228.55 | $35.57 | $61.15 |
| 2018 | $55.01 | $49.62 | $145.59 | $41.92 | $84.78 |
| 2019 | $27.10 | $41.99 | $66.11 | $45.49 | $63.34 |
| 2020 | $30.73 | $22.94 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1,080.32 |
| 2021 | $17.49 | $11.88 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $482.43 |
| 2022 | $14.06 | $34.84 | $8.85 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $19.99 | $15.69 | $1,603.27 | $2.44 | $31.87 |
| 2024 | $20.06 | $47.26 | $2,661.29 | $13.42 | $38.60 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s (NCLH) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $47.26
- Current price
- $18.81
- AI upside
- +151.25%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$152.69
+711.75% upside
Graham-Dodd
$13.42
-28.66% upside
Graham Formula
$38.61
+105.24% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Hol… | $18.81 | 11.29B | +151% | +712% | -29% | +105% | 9.59 | 6.13 | 0.92 | 9.01 | 2.49 | 11.06 | 39.99% | 15.46% | 9.60% | 105.46% | 10.07% | 4.61% | 9.76 | 1.96 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 5.50 | 38462.00% | 1087.00% | -21265.00% | 9.61% | 0.35 | 5.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.29% | 15.32 | 26.77 | 2.37 | 0.29 |
| ALV | Autoliv, Inc. | $118.52 | 9B | -19% | -47% | -86% | -3% | 12.19 | 3.48 | 0.83 | 7.22 | 63.98 | 7.56 | 19.18% | 10.08% | 6.80% | 30.32% | 19.32% | 8.94% | 0.95 | 10.58 | 1.05 | 0.72 | 1.23 | 1905.00% | 409.00% | 4896.00% | 7.98% | 0.29 | 16.98% | 2.66% | 32.40% | 6.57% | 9.91 | 15.10 | 1.00 | 2.58 |
| CART | Instacart (Maplebear Inc.… | $37.51 | 9.85B | +113% | -10% | -54% | -16% | 22.12 | 3.64 | 2.64 | 13.89 | 1747.83 | 4.40 | 73.57% | 15.39% | 11.95% | 15.40% | 26.30% | 11.46% | 0.03 | — | 2.40 | 2.17 | -1.13 | 127.00% | 1078.00% | 4623.00% | 9.21% | 1.06 | 51.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.01% | 15.80 | 9.99 | 2.43 | 6.34 |
| CCK | Crown Holdings, Inc. | $114.60 | 13.22B | -49% | -50% | -94% | -29% | 18.23 | 4.46 | 1.08 | 9.22 | 22.86 | -12.00 | 18.34% | 13.23% | 5.94% | 25.51% | 15.17% | 5.22% | 1.99 | 4.11 | 1.03 | 0.59 | 2.58 | 7972.00% | 478.00% | 3916.00% | 8.21% | 0.35 | 13.42% | 0.90% | 16.30% | 6.21% | 11.36 | 16.92 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | $602.79 | 9.41B | +33% | -54% | — | -53% | 16.62 | 4.03 | 1.44 | 10.02 | — | 4.03 | 37.59% | 10.49% | 8.69% | 27.50% | 38.40% | 16.21% | 0.15 | — | 2.65 | 1.23 | -0.58 | -103.00% | -41.00% | 230.00% | 6.58% | 0.79 | 42.37% | 5.12% | 85.00% | 9.86% | 12.72 | 14.05 | 1.33 | 7.96 |
| GIL | Gildan Activewear Inc. | $68.09 | 10.42B | -39% | -8% | -75% | -22% | 25.65 | 2.89 | 2.79 | 16.75 | 332.07 | -31.40 | 30.18% | 19.84% | 11.03% | 15.99% | 10.94% | 5.66% | 1.37 | 5.98 | 2.11 | 0.55 | 5.17 | 772.00% | 1250.00% | 3595.00% | 4.64% | 0.26 | 8.56% | 1.34% | 34.30% | 3.45% | 20.37 | 31.16 | 4.04 | 1.92 |
| GME | GameStop Corp. | $24.03 | 10.77B | +107% | -32% | -41% | — | 79.24 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 269.64 | 5.66 | 2.11 | 29.14% | -0.69% | 3.43% | 4.19% | -3.83% | 3.06% | 0.08 | — | 8.05 | 7.27 | -194.03 | 140000.00% | -2750.00% | -15432.00% | 1.25% | 0.22 | 19.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.71% | -230.54 | 46.61 | 1.58 | 8.18 |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $157.52 | 10.37B | -15% | -60% | -2% | +11% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| SCI | Service Corporation Inter… | $84.18 | 11.8B | -39% | -55% | — | -50% | 22.34 | 7.40 | 2.81 | 12.95 | 292.10 | -22.85 | 26.46% | 22.60% | 12.59% | 32.74% | 11.22% | 3.01% | 3.14 | 3.81 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 3.73 | 765.00% | 293.00% | -28.00% | 4.57% | 1.26 | 8.58% | 1.51% | 33.80% | 5.31% | 17.48 | 30.72 | 3.95 | 0.85 |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $182.87 | 12.15B | -55% | -61% | -96% | -43% | 28.84 | 8.18 | 2.03 | 19.93 | — | 9.95 | 12.42% | 8.55% | 6.90% | 29.39% | 16.72% | 12.29% | 1.29 | — | 0.50 | 0.15 | 2.55 | -572.00% | 939.00% | 8284.00% | 6.11% | 0.80 | 28.19% | 1.51% | 43.50% | 2.77% | 27.26 | 18.77 | 2.33 | 5.44 |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | $17.42 | 8.72B | -15% | -26% | +20% | -33% | 8.46 | 1.49 | 0.58 | 4.08 | — | 2.08 | 23.12% | 7.68% | 6.84% | 17.89% | 38.87% | 9.42% | 0.16 | 92.89 | 1.28 | 0.96 | -1.73 | -139.00% | -231.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.79 | — | 0.37 | 2.89 |
About Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a cruise company in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. It offers itineraries ranging from three days to a 180-days calling on various locations, including destinations in Scandinavia, Russia, the Mediterranean, the Greek Isles, Alaska, Canada and New England, Hawaii, Asia, Tahiti and the South Pacific, Australia and New Zealand, Africa, India, South America, the Panama Canal, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 28 ships with approximately 59,150 berths. It distributes its products through retail/travel advisor and onboard cruise sales channels, as well as meetings, incentives, and charters. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is based in Miami, Florida.
- CEO
- John W. Chidsey
- Employees
- 41.7K
- Beta
- 2.03
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($152.69 ÷ $18.81) − 1 = +711.75% (DCF, example).