Price · as of 2025-12-31
$441.26
Market cap 10.8B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $261.83 | -40.66% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $163.12 | -63.03% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $144.10 | -67.34% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $84.85 | -80.77% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $10.90 | $15.19 | $0.00 | $11.66 | $10.43 |
| 2012 | $21.49 | $29.93 | $44.96 | $17.19 | $19.43 |
| 2013 | $39.94 | $53.22 | $0.28 | $21.43 | $20.91 |
| 2014 | $44.97 | $49.37 | $0.00 | $25.37 | $40.79 |
| 2015 | $27.37 | $32.12 | $0.00 | $27.73 | $9.50 |
| 2016 | $45.75 | $47.74 | $0.00 | $28.40 | $20.00 |
| 2017 | $76.10 | $70.44 | $0.40 | $40.22 | $71.41 |
| 2018 | $61.01 | $62.61 | $139.85 | $46.92 | $102.51 |
| 2019 | $79.26 | $69.35 | $137.13 | $52.86 | $69.16 |
| 2020 | $218.75 | $125.40 | $0.00 | $62.77 | $53.15 |
| 2021 | $261.35 | $154.72 | $251.01 | $94.00 | $313.80 |
| 2022 | $276.31 | $166.90 | $728.56 | $126.48 | $393.19 |
| 2023 | $583.67 | $288.70 | $536.88 | $139.07 | $149.12 |
| 2024 | $375.92 | $227.34 | $268.84 | $153.94 | $258.17 |
| 2025 | $407.79 | $261.83 | $0.00 | $144.10 | $84.85 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Saia, Inc.'s (SAIA) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $261.83
- Current price
- $441.26
- AI upside
- -40.66%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$163.12
-63.03% upside
Graham-Dodd
$144.10
-67.34% upside
Graham Formula
$84.85
-80.77% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SAIA | Saia, Inc. | $441.26 | 10.8B | -41% | -63% | -67% | -81% | 42.75 | 4.23 | 3.37 | 18.76 | — | 4.23 | 23.66% | 10.89% | 7.89% | 10.43% | 9.52% | 7.67% | 0.16 | 21.42 | 1.64 | 1.33 | 0.66 | -2959.00% | 79.00% | -10594.00% | 0.25% | 2.24 | 0.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 32.09 | 413.47 | 3.49 | 9.47 |
| AGCO | AGCO Corporation | $136.50 | 10.19B | -36% | -60% | -54% | — | 14.03 | 2.39 | 1.01 | 12.07 | — | 5.99 | 24.75% | 6.93% | 7.21% | 18.13% | 11.64% | 6.29% | 0.63 | 10.52 | 1.39 | 0.52 | 1.83 | -27135.00% | -1355.00% | 14956.00% | 7.26% | 0.26 | 12.33% | 0.85% | 11.90% | 6.64% | 17.20 | 16.24 | 1.19 | 2.73 |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | $126.17 | 7.66B | -21% | -61% | -87% | -65% | 31.78 | 3.42 | 2.61 | 17.62 | — | -16.23 | 35.54% | 17.30% | 7.98% | 11.85% | 12.74% | 5.30% | 0.66 | 6.20 | 1.90 | 0.96 | 2.54 | -1369.00% | 371.00% | -2975.00% | 2.88% | 0.39 | 7.00% | 0.30% | 9.40% | 0.30% | 17.61 | 40.61 | 3.05 | 3.06 |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporatio… | $116.43 | 7.08B | -32% | +127% | -79% | -14% | 29.48 | 5.26 | 3.33 | 18.61 | 202.32 | 19.17 | 28.10% | 16.37% | 11.31% | 19.20% | 16.64% | 11.86% | 0.43 | 25.31 | 3.02 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1457.00% | 1714.00% | 1909.00% | 3.12% | 0.90 | 13.93% | 0.47% | 13.80% | 1.02% | 21.86 | 34.35 | 3.58 | 6.78 |
| IESC | IES Holdings, Inc. | $495.35 | 9.87B | -46% | +100% | -77% | -25% | 27.38 | 9.66 | 2.53 | 19.14 | 52.78 | 11.62 | 25.49% | 11.38% | 9.08% | 41.72% | 43.44% | 21.96% | 0.18 | 211.43 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 0.07 | 5187.00% | 1689.00% | 1564.00% | 2.56% | 0.45 | 32.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 22.07 | 38.67 | 2.51 | 11.19 |
| KNX | Knight-Swift Transportati… | $62.92 | 10.21B | -35% | -60% | -83% | -94% | 153.24 | 1.43 | 1.35 | 12.15 | — | 8.34 | 28.30% | 3.37% | 0.88% | 0.93% | 1.80% | 0.53% | 0.41 | 1.55 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 2.48 | -4384.00% | 80.00% | -389961.00% | 7.55% | 1.23 | 7.94% | 1.16% | 178.10% | 1.16% | 50.51 | 16.63 | 1.70 | 2.23 |
| OSK | Oshkosh Corporation | $170.02 | 10.75B | +48% | -59% | -60% | -68% | 17.08 | 2.44 | 1.06 | 10.23 | — | 4.71 | 16.92% | 9.07% | 6.21% | 14.90% | 13.89% | 6.64% | 0.34 | 8.04 | 1.94 | 1.01 | 0.90 | -347.00% | -287.00% | 12965.00% | 5.59% | 0.29 | 11.77% | 1.18% | 20.20% | 3.70% | 12.81 | 19.60 | 1.16 | 3.52 |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corpora… | $150.72 | 8.15B | -44% | +128% | -76% | -11% | 29.67 | 4.85 | 1.08 | 17.62 | 57.44 | 12.87 | 10.73% | 5.46% | 3.63% | 17.79% | 13.00% | 6.39% | 0.76 | 14.42 | 1.26 | 1.16 | 1.46 | 5166.00% | 1897.00% | -1081.00% | 4.17% | 0.25 | 14.93% | 0.21% | 6.30% | 0.36% | 21.48 | 26.12 | 1.17 | 4.40 |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $193.57 | 8.03B | -12% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | $119.72 | 9.87B | -22% | +602% | — | +65% | 22.78 | 2.69 | 0.90 | 9.06 | 470.70 | -38.60 | 12.22% | 6.94% | 3.94% | 13.68% | 8.30% | 4.97% | 1.38 | 3.38 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 2.95 | 484.00% | 3110.00% | 4824.00% | 9.96% | 0.85 | 13.95% | 2.14% | 48.70% | 5.57% | 19.18 | 14.89 | 1.33 | 2.55 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
About Saia, Inc.
Saia, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a transportation company in North America. The company provides less-than-truckload services for shipments between 400 and 10,000 pounds; and other value-added services, including non-asset truckload, expedited, and logistics services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 176 owned and leased facilities; and owned approximately 5,600 tractors and 19,300 trailers. The company was formerly known as SCS Transportation, Inc. and changed its name to Saia, Inc. in July 2006. Saia, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Johns Creek, Georgia.
- CEO
- Frederick J. Holzgrefe
- Employees
- 15.3K
- Beta
- 2.08
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($163.12 ÷ $441.26) − 1 = -63.03% (DCF, example).