US · CART
Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
- Headquarters
- San Francisco, CA 94105
- Website
- instacart.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$42.19
Market cap 9.85B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $79.94 | +89.48% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $33.68 | -20.17% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $17.43 | -58.68% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $31.57 | -25.16% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | |||||
| 2021 | $5.86 | $0.00 | |||
| 2022 | $16.56 | $70.29 | |||
| 2023 | $34.38 | $31.44 | $13.56 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $39.90 | $90.33 | $77.79 | $19.12 | $32.21 |
| 2025 | $37.84 | $79.94 | $21.49 | $17.43 | $31.57 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)'s (CART) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $79.94
- Current price
- $42.19
- AI upside
- +89.48%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$33.68
-20.17% upside
Graham-Dodd
$17.43
-58.68% upside
Graham Formula
$31.57
-25.16% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CART | Instacart (Maplebear Inc.… | $42.19 | 9.85B | +89% | -20% | -59% | -25% | 22.12 | 3.64 | 2.64 | 13.89 | 1747.83 | 4.40 | 73.57% | 15.39% | 11.95% | 15.40% | 26.30% | 11.46% | 0.03 | — | 2.40 | 2.17 | -1.13 | 127.00% | 1078.00% | 4623.00% | 9.21% | 1.06 | 51.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.01% | 15.80 | 9.99 | 2.43 | 6.34 |
| DDS | Dillard's, Inc. | $602.79 | 9.41B | +33% | -54% | — | -53% | 16.62 | 4.03 | 1.44 | 10.02 | — | 4.03 | 37.59% | 10.49% | 8.69% | 27.50% | 38.40% | 16.21% | 0.15 | — | 2.65 | 1.23 | -0.58 | -103.00% | -41.00% | 230.00% | 6.58% | 0.79 | 42.37% | 5.12% | 85.00% | 9.86% | 12.72 | 14.05 | 1.33 | 7.96 |
| GAP | The Gap, Inc. | $28.04 | 10.43B | +45% | -74% | -63% | -24% | 8.04 | 2.08 | 0.45 | 5.61 | 12.53 | 2.26 | 41.28% | 7.37% | 5.59% | 28.81% | 13.41% | 7.36% | 1.68 | 12.78 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 1.82 | 6418.00% | 132.00% | -656.00% | 15.31% | 0.46 | 16.88% | 3.32% | 26.70% | 10.73% | 8.70 | 9.31 | 0.64 | 2.60 |
| GME | GameStop Corp. | $24.03 | 10.77B | +107% | -32% | -41% | — | 79.24 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 269.64 | 5.66 | 2.11 | 29.14% | -0.69% | 3.43% | 4.19% | -3.83% | 3.06% | 0.08 | — | 8.05 | 7.27 | -194.03 | 140000.00% | -2750.00% | -15432.00% | 1.25% | 0.22 | 19.82% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 38.71% | -230.54 | 46.61 | 1.58 | 8.18 |
| MNSO | MINISO Group Holding Limi… | $18.02 | 5.61B | +65% | -26% | -88% | +4,259% | 16.43 | 4.20 | 2.55 | 12.31 | 2.53 | 5.01 | 44.94% | 19.51% | 15.40% | 27.05% | 49.62% | 16.17% | 0.30 | 256.83 | 2.04 | 1.50 | -1.00 | 65000.00% | 68876.00% | -1560.00% | 3.25% | 0.38 | 26.72% | 2.87% | 47.20% | 3.60% | 11.98 | 28.26 | 2.34 | 5.61 |
| MUSA | Murphy USA Inc. | $390.74 | 7.24B | -12% | -59% | -73% | -74% | 16.53 | 12.48 | 0.40 | 11.00 | — | 49.81 | 5.01% | 3.81% | 2.43% | 64.31% | 16.30% | 10.16% | 5.22 | 6.67 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 3.22 | -4.00% | -425.00% | -390.00% | 4.81% | 0.88 | 10.68% | 0.53% | 8.80% | 8.89% | 14.89 | 29.40 | 0.57 | 6.95 |
| NCLH | Norwegian Cruise Line Hol… | $24.79 | 11.29B | +91% | +516% | -46% | +56% | 9.59 | 6.13 | 0.92 | 9.01 | 2.49 | 11.06 | 39.99% | 15.46% | 9.60% | 105.46% | 10.07% | 4.61% | 9.76 | 1.96 | 0.17 | 0.07 | 5.50 | 38462.00% | 1087.00% | -21265.00% | 9.61% | 0.35 | 5.76% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.29% | 15.32 | 26.77 | 2.37 | 0.29 |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group, … | $157.52 | 10.37B | -15% | -60% | -2% | +11% | 11.09 | 1.86 | 0.33 | 13.15 | 390.83 | 5.24 | 16.40% | 4.03% | 2.94% | 17.34% | 6.88% | 5.45% | 1.56 | 13.98 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 5.98 | 284.00% | 444.00% | -1980.00% | 6.27% | 0.16 | 4.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.86 | 29.26 | 0.60 | 2.56 |
| QS | QuantumScape Corporation | $6.92 | 4.16B | — | — | — | — | -9.12 | 3.39 | — | -8.57 | — | 3.39 | 0.00% | — | — | -37.39% | -155.01% | -33.08% | 0.06 | -231.78 | 15.95 | 15.77 | 0.45 | -1915.00% | — | -1721.00% | -7.02% | -3.94 | -91.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.83% | -6.49 | -11.01 | — | 16.76 |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse, Inc. | $182.87 | 12.15B | -55% | -61% | -96% | -43% | 28.84 | 8.18 | 2.03 | 19.93 | — | 9.95 | 12.42% | 8.55% | 6.90% | 29.39% | 16.72% | 12.29% | 1.29 | — | 0.50 | 0.15 | 2.55 | -572.00% | 939.00% | 8284.00% | 6.11% | 0.80 | 28.19% | 1.51% | 43.50% | 2.77% | 27.26 | 18.77 | 2.33 | 5.44 |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | $17.42 | 8.72B | -15% | -26% | +20% | -33% | 8.46 | 1.49 | 0.58 | 4.08 | — | 2.08 | 23.12% | 7.68% | 6.84% | 17.89% | 38.87% | 9.42% | 0.16 | 92.89 | 1.28 | 0.96 | -1.73 | -139.00% | -231.00% | -10000.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.79 | — | 0.37 | 2.89 |
About Instacart (Maplebear Inc.)
Maplebear Inc., doing business as Instacart, provides online grocery shopping services to households in North America. The company connects the consumer with a personal shopper to shop and deliver a range of products, such as food, alcohol, consumer health, pet care, ready-made meals, and others. The company offers its services through a mobile application or website. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in San Francisco, California.
- CEO
- Chris Rogers
- Employees
- 3.27K
- Beta
- 1.00
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($33.68 ÷ $42.19) − 1 = -20.17% (DCF, example).