US · YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
- Sector
- Technology · Software - Application
- Headquarters
- Guiyang 550009
- Website
- fulltruckalliance.com
Price · as of 2024-12-31
$8.61
Market cap 9.77B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $1.50 | -82.58% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $6.57 | -23.69% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $4.60 | -46.57% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $16.50 | +91.64% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | |||||
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | |||||
| 2014 | |||||
| 2015 | |||||
| 2016 | |||||
| 2017 | |||||
| 2018 | |||||
| 2019 | |||||
| 2020 | $0.40 | $0.00 | |||
| 2021 | $5.04 | $6.39 | $49.28 | $1.30 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $7.07 | $7.76 | $8.79 | $4.20 | $2.70 |
| 2023 | $6.34 | $37.15 | $2.01 | $5.80 | $9.50 |
| 2024 | $13.06 | $10.67 | $2.01 | $4.60 | $16.50 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (YMM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $1.50
- Current price
- $8.61
- AI upside
- -82.58%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$6.57
-23.69% upside
Graham-Dodd
$4.60
-46.57% upside
Graham Formula
$16.50
+91.64% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance Co. L… | $8.61 | 9.77B | +24% | -24% | -47% | +92% | 31.04 | 2.57 | 8.63 | 29.89 | 66.04 | 2.84 | 86.62% | 22.02% | 27.32% | 8.52% | 13.39% | 7.75% | 0.00 | — | 9.03 | 8.92 | -2.25 | 4700.00% | 3322.00% | 3346.00% | 2.99% | 0.98 | 16.87% | 1.10% | 34.10% | 1.69% | 30.79 | 26.32 | 6.78 | 19.24 |
| APPS | Digital Turbine, Inc. | $4.06 | 486.79M | +546% | -45% | — | -69% | -6.32 | 3.78 | 1.19 | 33.30 | — | -1.79 | 44.99% | -11.02% | -18.78% | -50.07% | -9.81% | -10.97% | 2.72 | -1.55 | 1.09 | 1.03 | 13.11 | -7861.00% | -991.00% | 0.00% | -2.68% | 0.05 | -2.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -17.76 | -61.56 | 1.96 | -0.24 |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | $3.04 | 323.42M | +3,432% | -33% | — | — | -0.80 | 0.74 | 0.57 | -1.64 | -0.01 | -0.47 | 70.25% | -65.36% | -51.98% | -62.48% | -44.27% | -24.99% | 0.76 | -17.54 | 2.47 | 2.19 | -0.67 | 1467564.00% | 188.00% | -4216.00% | 15.75% | 0.89 | 6.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 34.91% | -1.48 | 10.75 | 0.97 | -0.47 |
| CINT | CI&T Inc | $4.96 | 659.51M | +75% | -10% | -96% | — | 172.41 | 18.15 | 11.58 | 68.72 | 712.14 | -174.39 | 34.23% | 12.66% | 6.72% | 3.49% | 3.20% | 1.82% | 0.53 | 0.61 | 1.53 | 1.44 | 1.22 | 2421.00% | -8035.00% | 728.00% | 1.15% | 0.55 | 4.99% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.50% | 93.12 | 88.63 | 11.79 | 13.98 |
| DCBO | Docebo Inc. | $17.38 | 500.42M | +171% | +110% | -50% | +63% | 13.26 | 6.84 | 2.05 | 15.52 | 25.92 | 8.67 | 78.97% | 10.09% | 15.46% | 57.96% | -173.08% | 19.23% | 0.06 | 38.49 | 1.15 | 1.05 | -2.47 | 5116.00% | 1383.00% | 392.00% | 5.75% | 0.24 | -202.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.46% | 17.54 | 15.01 | 1.77 | 2.75 |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | $509.51 | 701.96M | +27,579% | -30% | +36% | +418% | 5.66 | 1.62 | 7.24 | 0.95 | 13.01 | 1.62 | 36.66% | 10.86% | 127.86% | 33.48% | -11.63% | 23.56% | 0.06 | 6.90 | 13.89 | 13.78 | 0.02 | 4350.00% | 2541.00% | -975580.00% | 2.10% | 0.34 | -16.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.09% | 15.13 | 10.82 | 1.64 | 4.73 |
| IBTA | Ibotta, Inc. | $24.97 | 663.77M | +241% | -47% | -48% | -96% | 197.89 | 2.46 | 2.07 | 39.70 | — | 2.46 | 79.25% | -0.25% | 4.71% | 0.96% | -0.72% | 0.59% | 0.09 | — | 1.96 | 1.90 | -11.71 | -9531.00% | -677.00% | -2907.00% | 10.60% | 0.46 | 63.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 32.93% | -649.65 | 7.29 | 1.60 | 2.52 |
| LYTS | LSI Industries Inc. | $21.62 | 673.1M | +85% | -57% | -69% | +10% | 28.36 | 3.00 | 1.21 | 15.48 | — | 7.87 | 24.73% | 6.24% | 4.25% | 11.21% | 9.33% | 6.54% | 0.29 | 11.43 | 1.99 | 1.11 | 1.30 | -482.00% | 2209.00% | -882.00% | 5.01% | 0.39 | 12.24% | 0.86% | 24.50% | 1.55% | 21.10 | 21.78 | 1.32 | 4.78 |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | $43.31 | 605.12M | +15% | -36% | -91% | -63% | 71.18 | 5.75 | 6.63 | 26.54 | — | 10.98 | 81.38% | 10.53% | 9.31% | 8.11% | 10.94% | 7.31% | 0.02 | — | 4.48 | 4.32 | -1.97 | -4792.00% | 2489.00% | 30154.00% | 4.77% | 2.32 | 43.74% | 0.84% | 59.70% | 3.02% | 58.58 | 19.50 | 6.17 | 26.59 |
| RSKD | Riskified Ltd. | $4.45 | 730.05M | +483% | -36% | -73% | — | -22.61 | 2.07 | 2.41 | -10.26 | — | 2.07 | 52.19% | -14.61% | -10.66% | -7.99% | -116.72% | -6.36% | 0.07 | — | 6.15 | 6.01 | 7.99 | -3939.00% | 1005.00% | 55933.00% | 4.95% | 0.56 | 95.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 17.87% | -9.22 | 11.29 | 1.35 | 4.13 |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | $6.45 | 381.77M | +363% | +255% | — | — | -8.81 | 1.88 | 0.83 | -6.93 | — | -111.17 | 77.56% | -9.50% | -9.47% | -23.42% | -35.83% | -9.11% | 0.07 | -17.37 | 0.93 | 0.77 | 1.85 | -3211.00% | 1272.00% | 6825.00% | 10.30% | 0.17 | 32.42% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 9.80% | -6.93 | 7.66 | 0.66 | 0.21 |
About Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People's Republic of China. The company offers freight listing, matching, and brokerage services; and online transaction services, as well as various value-added services, such as credit solutions, insurance brokerage, electronic toll collection, and energy services. It also provides technology development and other services. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Guiyang, China.
- CEO
- Hui Zhang
- Employees
- 7.19K
- Beta
- 0.22
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($6.57 ÷ $8.61) − 1 = -23.69% (DCF, example).