US · FDX
FedEx Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
- Headquarters
- Memphis, TN 38120
- Website
- fedex.com
Price · as of 2025-05-31
$393.67
Market cap 91.31B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $237.34 | -39.71% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $90.18 | -77.09% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $89.90 | -77.16% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $140.13 | -64.4% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $68.75 | $70.64 | $6.88 | $56.79 | $95.68 |
| 2012 | $73.76 | $72.95 | $3.19 | $63.62 | $105.51 |
| 2013 | $91.47 | $81.82 | $16.75 | $62.84 | $58.30 |
| 2014 | $125.59 | $102.06 | $8.79 | $65.69 | $73.83 |
| 2015 | $142.55 | $106.66 | $2.15 | $46.03 | $45.07 |
| 2016 | $140.14 | $106.23 | $17.39 | $43.41 | $92.72 |
| 2017 | $177.81 | $142.76 | $344.68 | $65.84 | $304.99 |
| 2018 | $211.76 | $152.52 | $532.28 | $102.17 | $280.08 |
| 2019 | $143.91 | $116.93 | $246.54 | $12.70 | $29.38 |
| 2020 | $165.87 | $131.34 | $0.00 | $31.30 | $37.23 |
| 2021 | $252.23 | $205.18 | $0.00 | $125.16 | $559.11 |
| 2022 | $217.55 | $194.02 | $1.79 | $97.45 | $279.69 |
| 2023 | $251.96 | $231.90 | $0.00 | $86.06 | $73.29 |
| 2024 | $268.35 | $252.09 | $0.00 | $96.49 | $95.22 |
| 2025 | $225.44 | $237.34 | $0.00 | $89.90 | $140.13 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates FedEx Corporation's (FDX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $237.34
- Current price
- $393.67
- AI upside
- -39.71%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$90.18
-77.09% upside
Graham-Dodd
$89.90
-77.16% upside
Graham Formula
$140.13
-64.4% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | $393.67 | 91.31B | -40% | -77% | -77% | -64% | 13.39 | 1.95 | 0.62 | 8.25 | — | 2.55 | 21.60% | 6.92% | 4.65% | 14.70% | 7.71% | 4.69% | 1.33 | 7.71 | 1.19 | 1.10 | 3.04 | -232.00% | 27.00% | -494.00% | 5.44% | 0.46 | 5.02% | 2.44% | 32.70% | 7.95% | 14.24 | 29.06 | 0.99 | 2.49 |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $583.87 | 80.67B | -31% | -60% | -89% | -75% | 28.15 | 6.48 | 2.38 | 15.70 | — | 10.06 | 25.29% | 11.87% | 8.44% | 25.14% | 18.37% | 8.68% | 0.66 | 12.14 | 1.76 | 0.98 | 0.98 | -2774.00% | -127.00% | 75520.00% | 2.98% | 0.38 | 14.70% | 1.32% | 37.10% | 2.14% | 21.16 | 35.43 | 2.51 | 4.90 |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway… | $112.19 | 68.68B | -27% | -49% | -88% | -54% | 20.86 | 4.57 | 5.69 | 13.16 | 265.89 | 4.68 | 44.87% | 38.07% | 27.28% | 22.14% | 11.66% | 8.16% | 1.01 | 7.21 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 785.00% | 143.00% | 756.00% | 3.44% | 1.91 | 7.97% | 2.24% | 46.80% | 4.40% | 18.21 | 35.37 | 6.93 | 2.69 |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Kansas C… | $87.59 | 78.63B | -46% | -58% | -68% | -57% | 27.66 | 2.49 | 7.59 | 16.41 | 207.71 | 4.66 | 52.16% | 37.20% | 27.46% | 8.82% | 6.09% | 4.75% | 0.51 | 6.40 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 2.75 | 1332.00% | 366.00% | -985.00% | 1.90% | 0.89 | 3.12% | 0.70% | 19.20% | 4.14% | 24.50 | 63.36 | 9.11 | 2.43 |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | $42.69 | 79.38B | -13% | -48% | -84% | -81% | 27.85 | 6.11 | 5.71 | 16.82 | — | 6.11 | 33.25% | 32.08% | 20.50% | 22.52% | 11.21% | 6.68% | 1.43 | 5.36 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 3.10 | -1397.00% | -308.00% | -3705.00% | 2.13% | 1.47 | 5.53% | 1.21% | 33.60% | 2.94% | 21.82 | 57.67 | 7.00 | 2.18 |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, In… | $364.54 | 68.19B | -25% | -58% | — | -75% | 44.16 | 3.61 | 3.24 | 21.40 | 526.62 | -10.30 | 25.73% | 10.04% | 7.35% | 8.20% | 5.99% | 3.86% | 0.53 | 3.68 | 1.19 | 0.84 | 2.50 | 839.00% | 253.00% | 2469.00% | 3.78% | 0.43 | 8.81% | 1.27% | 56.20% | 7.12% | 36.58 | 29.94 | 3.67 | 2.86 |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporat… | $314.74 | 70.68B | -22% | -52% | -83% | -65% | 24.84 | 4.59 | 5.86 | 14.86 | 243.56 | 4.59 | 42.43% | 32.91% | 23.59% | 19.25% | 10.26% | 6.46% | 1.10 | 5.06 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 2.66 | 1020.00% | 47.00% | 2908.00% | 3.02% | 1.16 | 7.04% | 1.70% | 42.30% | 2.84% | 21.69 | 40.30 | 7.14 | 2.40 |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | $126.09 | 66.31B | -32% | -50% | — | — | 27.55 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 13.39 | — | 3.40 | 16.23% | 10.41% | 8.35% | 12.92% | 13.86% | 5.41% | 0.00 | 8.55 | 1.70 | 1.42 | -2.20 | -4291.00% | -1550.00% | 462.00% | 4.63% | 0.56 | 18.05% | 3.46% | 95.40% | 31.16% | 18.97 | 18.55 | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | $229.00 | 70.89B | -27% | -55% | — | -66% | 33.59 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 13.74 | 605.58 | -13.30 | 30.34% | 20.02% | 12.89% | 18.30% | 15.00% | 6.41% | 0.05 | 5.79 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.10 | 555.00% | 349.00% | 1576.00% | 3.35% | 1.09 | 13.19% | 1.03% | 34.50% | 19.44% | 21.71 | 29.93 | 4.35 | 3.13 |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, In… | $115.96 | 98.46B | -13% | -59% | — | -67% | 17.43 | 5.99 | 1.10 | 10.11 | — | 15.25 | 18.53% | 9.56% | 6.29% | 33.83% | 16.75% | 7.78% | 1.99 | 8.38 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 2.16 | -296.00% | -249.00% | -2331.00% | 4.91% | 0.54 | 12.11% | 5.56% | 96.90% | 6.59% | 14.58 | 25.93 | 1.39 | 3.06 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | $840.00 | 53.45B | -26% | -52% | -86% | -40% | 21.19 | 5.89 | 3.28 | 9.62 | — | 38.52 | 35.44% | 24.68% | 15.49% | 28.36% | 12.39% | 8.60% | 1.84 | 5.55 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 2.24 | -21.00% | 491.00% | 5800.00% | 1.25% | 1.36 | 2.76% | 0.88% | 18.60% | 4.60% | 17.33 | 104.02 | 4.28 | 3.23 |
About FedEx Corporation
FedEx Corporation provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. The company's FedEx Express segment offers express transportation, small-package ground delivery, and freight transportation services; time-critical transportation services; and cross-border enablement, technology, and e-commerce transportation solutions. Its FedEx Ground segment provides day-certain delivery services to businesses and residences. The company's FedEx Freight segment offers less-than-truckload freight transportation services. As of May 31, 2022, this segment had approximately 30,000 vehicles and 400 service centers. Its FedEx Services segment provides sales, marketing, information technology, communications, customer service, technical support, billing and collection, and back-office support services. The company's Corporate, Other and Eliminations segment offers integrated supply chain management solutions, specialty transportation, customs brokerage, and global ocean and air freight forwarding services; and document and business services, as well as retail access to its customers for its package transportation businesses. FedEx Corporation was founded in 1971 and is based in Memphis, Tennessee.
- CEO
- Rajesh Subramaniam
- Employees
- 306K
- Beta
- 1.34
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($90.18 ÷ $393.67) − 1 = -77.09% (DCF, example).