US · CSX
CSX Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Railroads
- Headquarters
- Jacksonville, FL 32202
- Website
- csx.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$45.09
Market cap 79.38B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $37.24 | -17.41% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $22.01 | -51.19% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $6.99 | -84.5% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $8.15 | -81.92% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $5.49 | $23.25 | $4.30 | $3.18 | $10.14 |
| 2012 | $6.20 | $21.41 | $5.54 | $3.17 | $4.97 |
| 2013 | $7.96 | $21.71 | $4.10 | $3.52 | $6.24 |
| 2014 | $9.60 | $21.91 | $5.03 | $3.77 | $8.53 |
| 2015 | $7.53 | $20.66 | $4.54 | $3.78 | $1.08 |
| 2016 | $14.10 | $22.71 | $3.79 | $3.52 | $1.33 |
| 2017 | $17.38 | $23.99 | $3.94 | $11.48 | $22.02 |
| 2018 | $21.78 | $26.53 | $3.99 | $6.95 | $19.57 |
| 2019 | $20.99 | $25.90 | $2.72 | $7.15 | $7.87 |
| 2020 | $29.24 | $29.11 | $5.05 | $6.49 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $32.79 | $30.72 | $6.36 | $8.69 | $43.24 |
| 2022 | $28.24 | $28.71 | $8.44 | $9.41 | $49.93 |
| 2023 | $37.08 | $30.10 | $15.61 | $8.35 | $12.41 |
| 2024 | $30.79 | $26.04 | $12.08 | $8.09 | $13.20 |
| 2025 | $43.17 | $37.24 | $8.03 | $6.99 | $8.15 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates CSX Corporation's (CSX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $37.24
- Current price
- $45.09
- AI upside
- -17.41%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$22.01
-51.19% upside
Graham-Dodd
$6.99
-84.5% upside
Graham Formula
$8.15
-81.92% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | $45.09 | 79.38B | -17% | -51% | -85% | -82% | 27.85 | 6.11 | 5.71 | 16.82 | — | 6.11 | 33.25% | 32.08% | 20.50% | 22.52% | 11.21% | 6.68% | 1.43 | 5.36 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 3.10 | -1397.00% | -308.00% | -3705.00% | 2.13% | 1.47 | 5.53% | 1.21% | 33.60% | 2.94% | 21.82 | 57.67 | 7.00 | 2.18 |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $583.87 | 80.67B | -31% | -60% | -89% | -75% | 28.15 | 6.48 | 2.38 | 15.70 | — | 10.06 | 25.29% | 11.87% | 8.44% | 25.14% | 18.37% | 8.68% | 0.66 | 12.14 | 1.76 | 0.98 | 0.98 | -2774.00% | -127.00% | 75520.00% | 2.98% | 0.38 | 14.70% | 1.32% | 37.10% | 2.14% | 21.16 | 35.43 | 2.51 | 4.90 |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway… | $112.19 | 68.68B | -27% | -49% | -88% | -54% | 20.86 | 4.57 | 5.69 | 13.16 | 265.89 | 4.68 | 44.87% | 38.07% | 27.28% | 22.14% | 11.66% | 8.16% | 1.01 | 7.21 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 785.00% | 143.00% | 756.00% | 3.44% | 1.91 | 7.97% | 2.24% | 46.80% | 4.40% | 18.21 | 35.37 | 6.93 | 2.69 |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Kansas C… | $87.59 | 78.63B | -46% | -58% | -68% | -57% | 27.66 | 2.49 | 7.59 | 16.41 | 207.71 | 4.66 | 52.16% | 37.20% | 27.46% | 8.82% | 6.09% | 4.75% | 0.51 | 6.40 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 2.75 | 1332.00% | 366.00% | -985.00% | 1.90% | 0.89 | 3.12% | 0.70% | 19.20% | 4.14% | 24.50 | 63.36 | 9.11 | 2.43 |
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | $387.00 | 91.31B | -39% | -77% | -77% | -64% | 13.39 | 1.95 | 0.62 | 8.25 | — | 2.55 | 21.60% | 6.92% | 4.65% | 14.70% | 7.71% | 4.69% | 1.33 | 7.71 | 1.19 | 1.10 | 3.04 | -232.00% | 27.00% | -494.00% | 5.44% | 0.46 | 5.02% | 2.44% | 32.70% | 7.95% | 14.24 | 29.06 | 0.99 | 2.49 |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $290.63 | 83.76B | -23% | -55% | — | -67% | 27.76 | 26.39 | 5.30 | 20.05 | — | -34.54 | 44.10% | 26.28% | 19.11% | 93.75% | 29.92% | 19.64% | 2.78 | 14.44 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 1.75 | -1042.00% | 92.00% | -482.00% | 3.18% | 0.61 | 24.85% | 2.10% | 58.20% | 3.86% | 22.11 | 34.44 | 5.81 | 8.50 |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporat… | $314.74 | 70.68B | -22% | -52% | -83% | -65% | 24.84 | 4.59 | 5.86 | 14.86 | 243.56 | 4.59 | 42.43% | 32.91% | 23.59% | 19.25% | 10.26% | 6.46% | 1.10 | 5.06 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 2.66 | 1020.00% | 47.00% | 2908.00% | 3.02% | 1.16 | 7.04% | 1.70% | 42.30% | 2.84% | 21.69 | 40.30 | 7.14 | 2.40 |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | $563.08 | 83.96B | -53% | +166% | -93% | -67% | 84.47 | 9.72 | 3.06 | 34.81 | 661.46 | -67.59 | 13.03% | 5.77% | 3.63% | 12.65% | 11.65% | 4.72% | 0.13 | 6.26 | 1.14 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 1277.00% | 1976.00% | 973.00% | 1.87% | 0.26 | 15.63% | 0.07% | 5.90% | 3.67% | 53.51 | 54.05 | 3.09 | 5.06 |
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | $229.00 | 70.89B | -27% | -55% | — | -66% | 33.59 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 13.74 | 605.58 | -13.30 | 30.34% | 20.02% | 12.89% | 18.30% | 15.00% | 6.41% | 0.05 | 5.79 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.10 | 555.00% | 349.00% | 1576.00% | 3.35% | 1.09 | 13.19% | 1.03% | 34.50% | 19.44% | 21.71 | 29.93 | 4.35 | 3.13 |
| TRI | Thomson Reuters Corporati… | $96.41 | 42.9B | -20% | -52% | — | -55% | 29.60 | 3.75 | 5.87 | 15.09 | — | -59.88 | 26.32% | 26.32% | 20.09% | 12.62% | 11.70% | 8.30% | 0.18 | 13.76 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.53 | -3272.00% | 481.00% | 1653.00% | 4.59% | 0.78 | 15.42% | 2.37% | 70.10% | 4.64% | 23.06 | 22.50 | 6.07 | 5.88 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | $840.00 | 53.45B | -26% | -52% | -86% | -40% | 21.19 | 5.89 | 3.28 | 9.62 | — | 38.52 | 35.44% | 24.68% | 15.49% | 28.36% | 12.39% | 8.60% | 1.84 | 5.55 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 2.24 | -21.00% | 491.00% | 5800.00% | 1.25% | 1.36 | 2.76% | 0.88% | 18.60% | 4.60% | 17.33 | 104.02 | 4.28 | 3.23 |
About CSX Corporation
CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides rail-based freight transportation services. The company offers rail services; and transportation of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services, such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. It transports chemicals, agricultural and food products, automotive, minerals, forest products, fertilizers, and metals and equipment; and coal, coke, and iron ore to electricity-generating power plants, steel manufacturers, and industrial plants, as well as exports coal to deep-water port facilities. The company also offers intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 30 terminals transporting manufactured consumer goods in containers; and drayage services, including the pickup and delivery of intermodal shipments. It serves the automotive industry with distribution centers and storage locations, as well as connects non-rail served customers through transferring products, such as plastics and ethanol from rail to trucks. The company operates approximately 19,500 route mile rail network, which serves various population centers in 23 states east of the Mississippi River, the District of Columbia, and the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec, as well as owns and leases approximately 3,500 locomotives. It also serves production and distribution facilities through track connections. CSX Corporation was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
- CEO
- Stephen F. Angel
- Employees
- 23.4K
- Beta
- 1.29
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($22.01 ÷ $45.09) − 1 = -51.19% (DCF, example).