US · NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Railroads
- Headquarters
- Atlanta, GA 30308-1925
- Website
- norfolksouthern.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$315.90
Market cap 70.68B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $244.98 | -22.45% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $151.37 | -52.08% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $51.99 | -83.54% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $108.80 | -65.56% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $48.41 | $54.10 | $26.53 | $31.41 | $137.39 |
| 2012 | $56.00 | $52.32 | $38.14 | $28.50 | $38.06 |
| 2013 | $72.43 | $59.86 | $29.08 | $36.18 | $60.33 |
| 2014 | $85.32 | $69.14 | $28.08 | $39.12 | $73.58 |
| 2015 | $64.25 | $55.95 | $21.47 | $30.71 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $99.77 | $72.68 | $25.19 | $35.13 | $13.57 |
| 2017 | $123.80 | $88.62 | $38.80 | $114.05 | $274.70 |
| 2018 | $153.38 | $117.81 | $47.14 | $59.80 | $162.65 |
| 2019 | $154.37 | $127.71 | $45.39 | $55.29 | $70.21 |
| 2020 | $235.53 | $154.38 | $31.69 | $40.99 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $244.73 | $181.60 | $75.74 | $53.65 | $259.61 |
| 2022 | $196.66 | $183.38 | $100.44 | $49.31 | $305.06 |
| 2023 | $248.78 | $195.67 | $5.21 | $15.61 | $30.04 |
| 2024 | $237.38 | $201.54 | $32.13 | $40.25 | $92.07 |
| 2025 | $317.47 | $244.98 | $41.02 | $51.99 | $108.80 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Norfolk Southern Corporation's (NSC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $244.98
- Current price
- $315.90
- AI upside
- -22.45%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$151.37
-52.08% upside
Graham-Dodd
$51.99
-83.54% upside
Graham Formula
$108.80
-65.56% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporat… | $315.90 | 70.68B | -22% | -52% | -84% | -66% | 24.84 | 4.59 | 5.86 | 14.86 | 243.56 | 4.59 | 42.43% | 32.91% | 23.59% | 19.25% | 10.26% | 6.46% | 1.10 | 5.06 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 2.66 | 1020.00% | 47.00% | 2908.00% | 3.02% | 1.16 | 7.04% | 1.70% | 42.30% | 2.84% | 21.69 | 40.30 | 7.14 | 2.40 |
| CMI | Cummins Inc. | $583.87 | 80.67B | -31% | -60% | -89% | -75% | 28.15 | 6.48 | 2.38 | 15.70 | — | 10.06 | 25.29% | 11.87% | 8.44% | 25.14% | 18.37% | 8.68% | 0.66 | 12.14 | 1.76 | 0.98 | 0.98 | -2774.00% | -127.00% | 75520.00% | 2.98% | 0.38 | 14.70% | 1.32% | 37.10% | 2.14% | 21.16 | 35.43 | 2.51 | 4.90 |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway… | $112.19 | 68.68B | -27% | -49% | -88% | -54% | 20.86 | 4.57 | 5.69 | 13.16 | 265.89 | 4.68 | 44.87% | 38.07% | 27.28% | 22.14% | 11.66% | 8.16% | 1.01 | 7.21 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 785.00% | 143.00% | 756.00% | 3.44% | 1.91 | 7.97% | 2.24% | 46.80% | 4.40% | 18.21 | 35.37 | 6.93 | 2.69 |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Kansas C… | $87.59 | 78.63B | -46% | -58% | -68% | -57% | 27.66 | 2.49 | 7.59 | 16.41 | 207.71 | 4.66 | 52.16% | 37.20% | 27.46% | 8.82% | 6.09% | 4.75% | 0.51 | 6.40 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 2.75 | 1332.00% | 366.00% | -985.00% | 1.90% | 0.89 | 3.12% | 0.70% | 19.20% | 4.14% | 24.50 | 63.36 | 9.11 | 2.43 |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | $42.69 | 79.38B | -13% | -48% | -84% | -81% | 27.85 | 6.11 | 5.71 | 16.82 | — | 6.11 | 33.25% | 32.08% | 20.50% | 22.52% | 11.21% | 6.68% | 1.43 | 5.36 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 3.10 | -1397.00% | -308.00% | -3705.00% | 2.13% | 1.47 | 5.53% | 1.21% | 33.60% | 2.94% | 21.82 | 57.67 | 7.00 | 2.18 |
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | $387.00 | 91.31B | -39% | -77% | -77% | -64% | 13.39 | 1.95 | 0.62 | 8.25 | — | 2.55 | 21.60% | 6.92% | 4.65% | 14.70% | 7.71% | 4.69% | 1.33 | 7.71 | 1.19 | 1.10 | 3.04 | -232.00% | 27.00% | -494.00% | 5.44% | 0.46 | 5.02% | 2.44% | 32.70% | 7.95% | 14.24 | 29.06 | 0.99 | 2.49 |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $290.63 | 83.76B | -23% | -55% | — | -67% | 27.76 | 26.39 | 5.30 | 20.05 | — | -34.54 | 44.10% | 26.28% | 19.11% | 93.75% | 29.92% | 19.64% | 2.78 | 14.44 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 1.75 | -1042.00% | 92.00% | -482.00% | 3.18% | 0.61 | 24.85% | 2.10% | 58.20% | 3.86% | 22.11 | 34.44 | 5.81 | 8.50 |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | $126.09 | 66.31B | -32% | -50% | — | — | 27.55 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 13.39 | — | 3.40 | 16.23% | 10.41% | 8.35% | 12.92% | 13.86% | 5.41% | 0.00 | 8.55 | 1.70 | 1.42 | -2.20 | -4291.00% | -1550.00% | 462.00% | 4.63% | 0.56 | 18.05% | 3.46% | 95.40% | 31.16% | 18.97 | 18.55 | 1.98 | 2.58 |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | $563.08 | 83.96B | -53% | +166% | -93% | -67% | 84.47 | 9.72 | 3.06 | 34.81 | 661.46 | -67.59 | 13.03% | 5.77% | 3.63% | 12.65% | 11.65% | 4.72% | 0.13 | 6.26 | 1.14 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 1277.00% | 1976.00% | 973.00% | 1.87% | 0.26 | 15.63% | 0.07% | 5.90% | 3.67% | 53.51 | 54.05 | 3.09 | 5.06 |
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | $229.00 | 70.89B | -27% | -55% | — | -66% | 33.59 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 13.74 | 605.58 | -13.30 | 30.34% | 20.02% | 12.89% | 18.30% | 15.00% | 6.41% | 0.05 | 5.79 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.10 | 555.00% | 349.00% | 1576.00% | 3.35% | 1.09 | 13.19% | 1.03% | 34.50% | 19.44% | 21.71 | 29.93 | 4.35 | 3.13 |
| URI | United Rentals, Inc. | $840.00 | 53.45B | -26% | -52% | -86% | -40% | 21.19 | 5.89 | 3.28 | 9.62 | — | 38.52 | 35.44% | 24.68% | 15.49% | 28.36% | 12.39% | 8.60% | 1.84 | 5.55 | 0.94 | 0.78 | 2.24 | -21.00% | 491.00% | 5800.00% | 1.25% | 1.36 | 2.76% | 0.88% | 18.60% | 4.60% | 17.33 | 104.02 | 4.28 | 3.23 |
About Norfolk Southern Corporation
Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, scrap paper, beverages, canned goods, and consumer products; chemicals consist of sulfur and related chemicals, petroleum products, chlorine and bleaching compounds, plastics, rubber, industrial chemicals, chemical wastes, and sand; metals and construction materials, such as steel, aluminum products, machinery, scrap metals, cement, aggregates, minerals, clay, transportation equipment, and military-related products; and automotive, including finished motor vehicles and automotive parts, as well as coal. It also transports overseas freight through various Atlantic and Gulf Coast ports; and provides commuter rail passenger transportation services and operates an intermodal network. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated approximately 19,300 route miles in 22 states and the District of Columbia. Norfolk Southern Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is based in Atlanta, Georgia.
- CEO
- Mark R. George
- Employees
- 19.6K
- Beta
- 1.32
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($151.37 ÷ $315.90) − 1 = -52.08% (DCF, example).