US · KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Trucking
- Headquarters
- Phoenix, AZ 85027
- Website
- knight-swift.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$64.00
Market cap 10.21B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $40.77 | -36.3% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $24.90 | -61.09% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $10.57 | -83.48% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $3.61 | -94.35% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $15.12 | $34.26 | $0.00 | $8.09 | $26.63 |
| 2012 | $14.31 | $22.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $17.64 |
| 2013 | $20.06 | $26.91 | $0.00 | $10.35 | $13.92 |
| 2014 | $29.71 | $38.85 | $0.11 | $14.59 | $37.65 |
| 2015 | $23.88 | $34.12 | $0.00 | $16.78 | $30.50 |
| 2016 | $30.30 | $32.38 | $0.00 | $11.38 | $3.46 |
| 2017 | $45.49 | $54.51 | $381.68 | $39.67 | $525.37 |
| 2018 | $30.32 | $53.49 | $759.08 | $22.58 | $292.02 |
| 2019 | $30.99 | $32.38 | $616.64 | $21.41 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $43.72 | $38.22 | $368.78 | $24.62 | $11.32 |
| 2021 | $49.13 | $49.87 | $126.79 | $34.86 | $158.20 |
| 2022 | $54.24 | $67.06 | $178.84 | $37.64 | $146.87 |
| 2023 | $54.89 | $42.32 | $0.00 | $18.35 | $6.06 |
| 2024 | $46.39 | $33.95 | $1.00 | $13.43 | $8.56 |
| 2025 | $62.25 | $40.77 | $0.00 | $10.57 | $3.61 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.'s (KNX) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $40.77
- Current price
- $64.00
- AI upside
- -36.3%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$24.90
-61.09% upside
Graham-Dodd
$10.57
-83.48% upside
Graham Formula
$3.61
-94.35% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| KNX | Knight-Swift Transportati… | $64.00 | 10.21B | -36% | -61% | -83% | -94% | 153.24 | 1.43 | 1.35 | 12.15 | — | 8.34 | 28.30% | 3.37% | 0.88% | 0.93% | 1.80% | 0.53% | 0.41 | 1.55 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 2.48 | -4384.00% | 80.00% | -389961.00% | 7.55% | 1.23 | 7.94% | 1.16% | 178.10% | 1.16% | 50.51 | 16.63 | 1.70 | 2.23 |
| AL | Air Lease Corporation | $64.84 | 7.26B | +25% | -46% | +63% | +172% | 6.64 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 9.64 | 3.71 | 0.85 | 59.43% | 50.53% | 36.09% | 13.60% | 4.40% | 3.34% | 2.33 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 7.01 | 17898.00% | 1032.00% | -4247.00% | -22.96% | 0.73 | -6.03% | 1.97% | 13.10% | 8.53% | 17.38 | -15.97 | 8.78 | 0.63 |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | $126.17 | 7.66B | -21% | -61% | -87% | -65% | 31.78 | 3.42 | 2.61 | 17.62 | — | -16.23 | 35.54% | 17.30% | 7.98% | 11.85% | 12.74% | 5.30% | 0.66 | 6.20 | 1.90 | 0.96 | 2.54 | -1369.00% | 371.00% | -2975.00% | 2.88% | 0.39 | 7.00% | 0.30% | 9.40% | 0.30% | 17.61 | 40.61 | 3.05 | 3.06 |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporatio… | $116.43 | 7.08B | -32% | +127% | -79% | -14% | 29.48 | 5.26 | 3.33 | 18.61 | 202.32 | 19.17 | 28.10% | 16.37% | 11.31% | 19.20% | 16.64% | 11.86% | 0.43 | 25.31 | 3.02 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1457.00% | 1714.00% | 1909.00% | 3.12% | 0.90 | 13.93% | 0.47% | 13.80% | 1.02% | 21.86 | 34.35 | 3.58 | 6.78 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $221.56 | 8.74B | +9% | -60% | -76% | -55% | 18.47 | 3.03 | 0.73 | 5.33 | 219.71 | 6.22 | 19.77% | 8.57% | 3.94% | 16.24% | 6.79% | 3.03% | 2.84 | 2.69 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 841.00% | 23.00% | -20981.00% | 4.96% | 0.93 | 3.93% | 1.57% | 28.90% | 9.86% | 16.33 | 38.64 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings plc | $67.49 | 35.43B | -29% | +1,067% | -73% | -40% | 16.44 | 3.76 | 1.90 | 8.23 | — | 3.84 | 19.00% | 11.17% | 11.55% | 22.00% | 23.44% | 9.29% | 0.38 | 23.43 | 0.74 | 0.50 | -0.39 | -1284.00% | 375.00% | 14324.00% | 7.03% | 0.42 | 31.04% | 1.65% | 27.20% | 7.43% | 16.18 | 13.53 | 1.81 | 2.91 |
| SAIA | Saia, Inc. | $405.39 | 10.8B | -35% | -60% | -64% | -79% | 42.75 | 4.23 | 3.37 | 18.76 | — | 4.23 | 23.66% | 10.89% | 7.89% | 10.43% | 9.52% | 7.67% | 0.16 | 21.42 | 1.64 | 1.33 | 0.66 | -2959.00% | 79.00% | -10594.00% | 0.25% | 2.24 | 0.98% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 32.09 | 413.47 | 3.49 | 9.47 |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $193.57 | 8.03B | -12% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | $119.72 | 9.87B | -22% | +602% | — | +65% | 22.78 | 2.69 | 0.90 | 9.06 | 470.70 | -38.60 | 12.22% | 6.94% | 3.94% | 13.68% | 8.30% | 4.97% | 1.38 | 3.38 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 2.95 | 484.00% | 3110.00% | 4824.00% | 9.96% | 0.85 | 13.95% | 2.14% | 48.70% | 5.57% | 19.18 | 14.89 | 1.33 | 2.55 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solution… | $50.98 | 8.53B | -7% | -45% | -90% | -63% | 43.41 | 5.36 | 5.07 | 23.75 | 199.68 | -321.90 | 41.64% | 17.01% | 11.68% | 12.41% | 11.33% | 7.43% | 0.36 | 10.09 | 3.13 | 1.92 | 0.75 | 2174.00% | 826.00% | 1653.00% | 3.68% | 1.34 | 16.56% | 0.74% | 32.30% | 3.46% | 30.76 | 28.03 | 5.23 | 5.44 |
About Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides truckload transportation services in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company operates through four segments: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload (LTL), and Intermodal. Its trucking services include irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, dry van, drayage, and cross-border transportation of various products, goods, and materials. The company also provides logistics and intermodal services, such as brokerage, intermodal, and certain logistics; freight management; and non-trucking services. In addition, it offers various support services, including repair and maintenance shop services, warranty, insurance, and equipment leasing; and trailer parts manufacturing and warehousing services, as well as engages in the driving academy activities. In addition, it offers regional direct services to customers national transportation needs by utilizing carriers for coverage areas outside networks. The company operates a total of 18,019 tractors, which comprises 16,166 company tractors and 1,853 independent contractor tractors, as well as 67,606 trailers; 2,735 tractors and 7,413 trailers; and 597 tractors and 10,847 intermodal containers. It serves retail, food and beverage, consumer products, paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
- CEO
- Adam W. Miller
- Employees
- 35.3K
- Beta
- 1.15
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($24.90 ÷ $64.00) − 1 = -61.09% (DCF, example).