US · SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Construction
- Headquarters
- Pleasanton, CA 94588
- Website
- simpsonmfg.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$192.05
Market cap 8.03B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $170.55 | -11.2% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $78.46 | -59.15% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $76.63 | -60.1% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $103.65 | -46.03% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $26.09 | $41.35 | $2.09 | $11.50 | $17.00 |
| 2012 | $25.85 | $32.12 | $0.00 | $8.78 | $14.52 |
| 2013 | $30.58 | $38.69 | $0.00 | $14.32 | $15.98 |
| 2014 | $32.03 | $45.82 | $0.00 | $13.65 | $18.49 |
| 2015 | $32.48 | $39.95 | $0.00 | $12.77 | $18.70 |
| 2016 | $38.49 | $49.00 | $7.76 | $14.54 | $30.17 |
| 2017 | $53.85 | $51.30 | $43.22 | $13.81 | $41.23 |
| 2018 | $56.20 | $52.93 | $51.03 | $16.45 | $49.54 |
| 2019 | $78.48 | $66.35 | $10.50 | $18.49 | $39.82 |
| 2020 | $102.26 | $93.59 | $20.42 | $26.86 | $82.25 |
| 2021 | $111.93 | $126.37 | $145.71 | $40.58 | $191.18 |
| 2022 | $101.58 | $104.16 | $659.45 | $44.95 | $320.78 |
| 2023 | $208.79 | $187.35 | $382.34 | $53.27 | $104.13 |
| 2024 | $163.78 | $154.06 | $76.32 | $52.50 | $67.95 |
| 2025 | $192.96 | $170.55 | $1.87 | $76.62 | $103.65 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s (SSD) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $170.55
- Current price
- $192.05
- AI upside
- -11.2%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$78.46
-59.15% upside
Graham-Dodd
$76.63
-60.1% upside
Graham Formula
$103.65
-46.03% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $192.05 | 8.03B | -11% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| AAON | AAON, Inc. | $101.20 | 8.26B | -36% | +42% | -86% | -78% | 39.49 | 8.07 | 5.54 | 25.06 | — | 10.02 | 33.07% | 17.42% | 14.04% | 21.61% | 19.16% | 15.93% | 0.21 | 71.99 | 2.79 | 1.64 | 0.63 | -516.00% | 275.00% | -10573.00% | -0.05% | 1.10 | -0.35% | 0.39% | 15.50% | 1.89% | 32.65 | -2182.56 | 5.69 | 14.22 |
| AL | Air Lease Corporation | $64.84 | 7.26B | +25% | -46% | +63% | +172% | 6.64 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 9.64 | 3.71 | 0.85 | 59.43% | 50.53% | 36.09% | 13.60% | 4.40% | 3.34% | 2.33 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 7.01 | 17898.00% | 1032.00% | -4247.00% | -22.96% | 0.73 | -6.03% | 1.97% | 13.10% | 8.53% | 17.38 | -15.97 | 8.78 | 0.63 |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industrie… | $173.50 | 7.48B | -15% | -37% | -71% | -19% | 24.29 | 8.33 | 4.63 | 18.27 | 137.96 | 29.10 | 40.64% | 26.59% | 19.05% | 37.24% | 25.59% | 16.39% | 0.59 | 13.06 | 1.46 | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1761.00% | 1211.00% | 9321.00% | 4.74% | 1.33 | 27.37% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.35% | 18.38 | 22.27 | 4.89 | 7.37 |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | $126.17 | 7.66B | -21% | -61% | -87% | -65% | 31.78 | 3.42 | 2.61 | 17.62 | — | -16.23 | 35.54% | 17.30% | 7.98% | 11.85% | 12.74% | 5.30% | 0.66 | 6.20 | 1.90 | 0.96 | 2.54 | -1369.00% | 371.00% | -2975.00% | 2.88% | 0.39 | 7.00% | 0.30% | 9.40% | 0.30% | 17.61 | 40.61 | 3.05 | 3.06 |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovation… | $54.34 | 6.53B | -9% | -61% | -99% | -77% | 21.24 | 2.66 | 1.42 | 12.41 | — | -7.47 | 44.83% | 11.56% | 6.69% | 12.42% | 7.99% | 4.57% | 1.07 | 4.48 | 1.84 | 0.73 | 3.28 | -3413.00% | -316.00% | -2270.00% | 5.78% | 0.45 | 7.69% | 1.90% | 40.40% | 8.39% | 16.72 | 23.52 | 1.93 | 2.03 |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporatio… | $116.43 | 7.08B | -32% | +127% | -79% | -14% | 29.48 | 5.26 | 3.33 | 18.61 | 202.32 | 19.17 | 28.10% | 16.37% | 11.31% | 19.20% | 16.64% | 11.86% | 0.43 | 25.31 | 3.02 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1457.00% | 1714.00% | 1909.00% | 3.12% | 0.90 | 13.93% | 0.47% | 13.80% | 1.02% | 21.86 | 34.35 | 3.58 | 6.78 |
| IESC | IES Holdings, Inc. | $495.35 | 9.87B | -46% | +100% | -77% | -25% | 27.38 | 9.66 | 2.53 | 19.14 | 52.78 | 11.62 | 25.49% | 11.38% | 9.08% | 41.72% | 43.44% | 21.96% | 0.18 | 211.43 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 0.07 | 5187.00% | 1689.00% | 1564.00% | 2.56% | 0.45 | 32.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 22.07 | 38.67 | 2.51 | 11.19 |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corpora… | $150.72 | 8.15B | -44% | +128% | -76% | -11% | 29.67 | 4.85 | 1.08 | 17.62 | 57.44 | 12.87 | 10.73% | 5.46% | 3.63% | 17.79% | 13.00% | 6.39% | 0.76 | 14.42 | 1.26 | 1.16 | 1.46 | 5166.00% | 1897.00% | -1081.00% | 4.17% | 0.25 | 14.93% | 0.21% | 6.30% | 0.36% | 21.48 | 26.12 | 1.17 | 4.40 |
| TFII | TFI International Inc. | $119.72 | 9.87B | -22% | +602% | — | +65% | 22.78 | 2.69 | 0.90 | 9.06 | 470.70 | -38.60 | 12.22% | 6.94% | 3.94% | 13.68% | 8.30% | 4.97% | 1.38 | 3.38 | 1.03 | 0.95 | 2.95 | 484.00% | 3110.00% | 4824.00% | 9.96% | 0.85 | 13.95% | 2.14% | 48.70% | 5.57% | 19.18 | 14.89 | 1.33 | 2.55 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
About Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells wood and concrete construction products. The company offers wood construction products, including connectors, truss plates, fastening systems, fasteners and shearwalls, and pre-fabricated lateral systems for use in light-frame construction; and concrete construction products comprising adhesives, specialty chemicals, mechanical anchors, carbide drill bits, powder actuated tools, fiber-reinforced materials, and other repair products for use in concrete, masonry, and steel construction, as well as grouts, coatings, sealers, mortars, fiberglass and fiber-reinforced polymer systems, and asphalt products for use in concrete construction repair, and strengthening and protection products. It also provides connectors and lateral products for wood framing, timber and offsite construction, structural steel construction, and cold-formed steel applications; and mechanical and adhesive anchors for concrete and masonry construction applications. In addition, the company offers engineering and design services, as well as software solutions that facilitate the specification, selection, and use of its products. It markets its products to the residential construction, light industrial and commercial construction, remodeling, and do-it-yourself markets in the United States, Canada, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Denmark, Switzerland, Portugal, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Sweden, Norway, Australia, New Zealand, China, Taiwan, and Vietnam. The company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
- CEO
- Michael L. Olosky
- Employees
- 5.87K
- Beta
- 1.37
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($78.46 ÷ $192.05) − 1 = -59.15% (DCF, example).