US · FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Pollution & Treatment Controls
- Headquarters
- Oak Brook, IL 60523
- Website
- federalsignal.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$121.61
Market cap 7.08B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $79.39 | -34.72% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $263.73 | +116.87% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $24.40 | -79.93% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $99.71 | -18.01% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $3.89 | $28.69 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $6.74 | $24.07 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2013 | $12.93 | $41.84 | $0.00 | $14.01 | $35.45 |
| 2014 | $13.31 | $34.22 | $0.00 | $5.42 | $15.84 |
| 2015 | $11.37 | $31.78 | $0.22 | $4.14 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $12.91 | $32.35 | $0.00 | $2.04 | $0.49 |
| 2017 | $21.32 | $32.78 | $0.00 | $2.28 | $35.04 |
| 2018 | $22.64 | $36.02 | $75.63 | $5.75 | $44.58 |
| 2019 | $30.69 | $38.52 | $161.49 | $8.40 | $35.34 |
| 2020 | $38.25 | $40.68 | $0.00 | $8.26 | $1.68 |
| 2021 | $32.73 | $36.76 | $0.00 | $8.63 | $24.85 |
| 2022 | $52.26 | $44.67 | $0.00 | $11.28 | $50.83 |
| 2023 | $79.58 | $56.83 | $112.86 | $15.80 | $70.69 |
| 2024 | $80.13 | $60.21 | $112.16 | $22.17 | $56.05 |
| 2025 | $119.57 | $79.39 | $151.94 | $24.40 | $99.70 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Federal Signal Corporation's (FSS) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $79.39
- Current price
- $121.61
- AI upside
- -34.72%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$263.73
+116.87% upside
Graham-Dodd
$24.40
-79.93% upside
Graham Formula
$99.71
-18.01% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporatio… | $121.61 | 7.08B | -35% | +117% | -80% | -18% | 29.48 | 5.26 | 3.33 | 18.61 | 202.32 | 19.17 | 28.10% | 16.37% | 11.31% | 19.20% | 16.64% | 11.86% | 0.43 | 25.31 | 3.02 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1457.00% | 1714.00% | 1909.00% | 3.12% | 0.90 | 13.93% | 0.47% | 13.80% | 1.02% | 21.86 | 34.35 | 3.58 | 6.78 |
| ADT | ADT Inc. | $8.02 | 6.14B | +396% | -51% | — | -9% | 13.65 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5.15 | 163.83 | -1.15 | 50.71% | 25.15% | 10.23% | 13.20% | 8.14% | 3.13% | 2.05 | 2.79 | 0.80 | 0.49 | 2.71 | 833.00% | 528.00% | 10228.00% | 25.16% | 1.49 | 14.95% | 2.66% | 36.40% | 9.34% | 11.72 | 8.39 | 2.95 | 0.58 |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | $126.17 | 7.66B | -21% | -61% | -87% | -65% | 31.78 | 3.42 | 2.61 | 17.62 | — | -16.23 | 35.54% | 17.30% | 7.98% | 11.85% | 12.74% | 5.30% | 0.66 | 6.20 | 1.90 | 0.96 | 2.54 | -1369.00% | 371.00% | -2975.00% | 2.88% | 0.39 | 7.00% | 0.30% | 9.40% | 0.30% | 17.61 | 40.61 | 3.05 | 3.06 |
| IESC | IES Holdings, Inc. | $495.35 | 9.87B | -46% | +100% | -77% | -25% | 27.38 | 9.66 | 2.53 | 19.14 | 52.78 | 11.62 | 25.49% | 11.38% | 9.08% | 41.72% | 43.44% | 21.96% | 0.18 | 211.43 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 0.07 | 5187.00% | 1689.00% | 1564.00% | 2.56% | 0.45 | 32.48% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.49% | 22.07 | 38.67 | 2.51 | 11.19 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $221.56 | 8.74B | +9% | -60% | -76% | -55% | 18.47 | 3.03 | 0.73 | 5.33 | 219.71 | 6.22 | 19.77% | 8.57% | 3.94% | 16.24% | 6.79% | 3.03% | 2.84 | 2.69 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 841.00% | 23.00% | -20981.00% | 4.96% | 0.93 | 3.93% | 1.57% | 28.90% | 9.86% | 16.33 | 38.64 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings plc | $67.49 | 35.43B | -29% | +1,067% | -73% | -40% | 16.44 | 3.76 | 1.90 | 8.23 | — | 3.84 | 19.00% | 11.17% | 11.55% | 22.00% | 23.44% | 9.29% | 0.38 | 23.43 | 0.74 | 0.50 | -0.39 | -1284.00% | 375.00% | 14324.00% | 7.03% | 0.42 | 31.04% | 1.65% | 27.20% | 7.43% | 16.18 | 13.53 | 1.81 | 2.91 |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $193.57 | 8.03B | -12% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solution… | $50.98 | 8.53B | -7% | -45% | -90% | -63% | 43.41 | 5.36 | 5.07 | 23.75 | 199.68 | -321.90 | 41.64% | 17.01% | 11.68% | 12.41% | 11.33% | 7.43% | 0.36 | 10.09 | 3.13 | 1.92 | 0.75 | 2174.00% | 826.00% | 1653.00% | 3.68% | 1.34 | 16.56% | 0.74% | 32.30% | 3.46% | 30.76 | 28.03 | 5.23 | 5.44 |
About Federal Signal Corporation
Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Environmental Solutions Group, and Safety and Security Systems Group. The Environmental Solutions Group segment offers a range of street sweepers, safe-digging trucks ,sewer cleaners, industrial vacuum loaders, vacuum, and hydro-excavation trucks; road-marking, line-removal and waterblasting equipment, dump truck bodies, trailers, and metal extraction support equipment under the Elgin, Vactor, Guzzler, TRUVAC, Westech, Jetstream, Mark Rite Lines, Ox Bodies, Crysteel, J-Craft, Duraclass, Rugby, Travis, OSW, NTE, WTB, Ground Force, Bucks, and Switch-N-Go brand names. It also offers refuse and recycling collection vehicles, camera systems, ice resurfacing equipment, and snow-removal equipment, as well as safety, and security systems. In addition, this segment engages in the sale of parts, service and repair, equipment rental, and training activities. The Safety and Security Systems Group segment provides systems and products for community alerting, emergency vehicles, first responder interoperable communications, and industrial communications. Its products include vehicle lightbars and sirens, industrial signaling equipment, public warning systems, general alarm systems, and public address systems. This segment sells its products under the Federal Signal, Federal Signal VAMA, and Victor brand names. The company sells its products through wholesaler, distributor, independent manufacturer representative, original equipment manufacturer, and direct sales force, as well as independent foreign distributor. Federal Signal Corporation was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois.
- CEO
- Jennifer L. Sherman
- Employees
- 4.7K
- Beta
- 1.33
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($263.73 ÷ $121.61) − 1 = +116.87% (DCF, example).