US · UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Railroads
- Headquarters
- Omaha, NE 68179
- Website
- up.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$266.32
Market cap 157.24B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $225.43 | -15.35% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $144.03 | -45.92% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $9.48 | -96.44% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $109.47 | -58.89% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $39.63 | $39.17 | $22.87 | $23.14 | $76.83 |
| 2012 | $52.16 | $42.84 | $49.29 | $23.68 | $61.78 |
| 2013 | $71.93 | $54.14 | $50.14 | $25.00 | $61.15 |
| 2014 | $89.40 | $74.77 | $58.84 | $25.20 | $97.76 |
| 2015 | $65.06 | $63.45 | $34.41 | $10.85 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $87.17 | $67.28 | $25.92 | $15.51 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $115.13 | $95.11 | $26.86 | $60.98 | $193.79 |
| 2018 | $140.69 | $107.06 | $20.10 | $21.00 | $120.83 |
| 2019 | $136.73 | $117.19 | $13.23 | $12.44 | $28.17 |
| 2020 | $191.31 | $141.82 | $12.33 | $6.37 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $238.24 | $173.90 | $18.86 | $7.30 | $191.82 |
| 2022 | $183.01 | $175.38 | $32.16 | $0.00 | $241.87 |
| 2023 | $239.79 | $196.92 | $56.95 | $0.00 | $55.09 |
| 2024 | $243.57 | $199.47 | $58.68 | $4.00 | $96.66 |
| 2025 | $266.97 | $225.43 | $64.69 | $9.48 | $109.47 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Union Pacific Corporation's (UNP) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $225.43
- Current price
- $266.32
- AI upside
- -15.35%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$144.03
-45.92% upside
Graham-Dodd
$9.48
-96.44% upside
Graham Formula
$109.47
-58.89% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| UNP | Union Pacific Corporation | $266.32 | 157.24B | -15% | -46% | -96% | -59% | 22.16 | 8.57 | 6.45 | 14.56 | 279.27 | 8.93 | 59.38% | 40.14% | 29.12% | 40.38% | 15.79% | 10.39% | 1.72 | 7.52 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 2.36 | 794.00% | 107.00% | -670.00% | 3.48% | 1.85 | 11.33% | 2.05% | 45.30% | 4.31% | 19.16 | 34.27 | 7.69 | 4.06 |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing… | $214.36 | 86.7B | +1% | -23% | — | -31% | 29.19 | 19.25 | 5.79 | 19.28 | 301.88 | 90.81 | 50.84% | 26.32% | 19.84% | 76.00% | 67.27% | 7.57% | 1.46 | 11.87 | 1.05 | 0.28 | 0.92 | 967.00% | 707.00% | 3274.00% | 4.01% | 0.12 | 77.19% | 2.01% | 58.80% | 3.09% | 22.23 | 25.22 | 5.85 | 2.94 |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway… | $112.19 | 68.68B | -27% | -49% | -88% | -54% | 20.86 | 4.57 | 5.69 | 13.16 | 265.89 | 4.68 | 44.87% | 38.07% | 27.28% | 22.14% | 11.66% | 8.16% | 1.01 | 7.21 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 2.36 | 785.00% | 143.00% | 756.00% | 3.44% | 1.91 | 7.97% | 2.24% | 46.80% | 4.40% | 18.21 | 35.37 | 6.93 | 2.69 |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Kansas C… | $87.59 | 78.63B | -46% | -58% | -68% | -57% | 27.66 | 2.49 | 7.59 | 16.41 | 207.71 | 4.66 | 52.16% | 37.20% | 27.46% | 8.82% | 6.09% | 4.75% | 0.51 | 6.40 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 2.75 | 1332.00% | 366.00% | -985.00% | 1.90% | 0.89 | 3.12% | 0.70% | 19.20% | 4.14% | 24.50 | 63.36 | 9.11 | 2.43 |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | $42.69 | 79.38B | -13% | -48% | -84% | -81% | 27.85 | 6.11 | 5.71 | 16.82 | — | 6.11 | 33.25% | 32.08% | 20.50% | 22.52% | 11.21% | 6.68% | 1.43 | 5.36 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 3.10 | -1397.00% | -308.00% | -3705.00% | 2.13% | 1.47 | 5.53% | 1.21% | 33.60% | 2.94% | 21.82 | 57.67 | 7.00 | 2.18 |
| DE | Deere & Company | $629.71 | 170.7B | -40% | -68% | -88% | — | 26.30 | 5.10 | 2.96 | 16.00 | — | 6.48 | 36.48% | 18.84% | 11.25% | 20.61% | 8.40% | 4.71% | 2.46 | 2.65 | 2.31 | 2.06 | 4.78 | -2779.00% | -1159.00% | -2705.00% | 2.44% | 0.23 | 4.04% | 1.30% | 34.20% | 4.04% | 22.16 | 57.71 | 4.17 | 2.94 |
| ETN | Eaton Corporation plc | $375.92 | 146.01B | -37% | -46% | — | -49% | 35.82 | 7.54 | 5.34 | 26.38 | 354.48 | -104.80 | 37.59% | 19.05% | 14.90% | 21.58% | 15.49% | 10.27% | 0.57 | 19.81 | 1.32 | 0.66 | 1.77 | 1011.00% | 1033.00% | 2708.00% | 3.05% | 0.48 | 15.97% | 1.11% | 39.80% | 2.38% | 30.00 | 35.08 | 5.72 | 5.21 |
| HON | Honeywell International I… | $243.59 | 154.65B | -25% | -55% | — | -82% | 32.78 | 10.27 | 4.23 | 20.76 | — | -12.81 | 36.93% | 17.66% | 13.73% | 28.39% | 14.09% | 6.48% | 2.24 | 4.92 | 1.32 | 0.88 | 2.55 | -827.00% | -274.00% | 932.00% | 3.40% | 0.27 | 14.01% | 1.88% | 61.60% | 4.28% | 27.25 | 33.40 | 4.81 | 2.54 |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin Corporati… | $658.08 | 152.28B | -20% | -56% | — | -55% | 31.14 | 23.25 | 2.08 | 22.42 | — | -24.11 | 10.15% | 10.30% | 6.68% | 76.87% | 27.05% | 8.69% | 3.23 | 6.92 | 1.09 | 0.90 | 2.27 | -368.00% | 565.00% | 3066.00% | 4.42% | 0.37 | 28.53% | 2.00% | 62.40% | 4.06% | 22.48 | 25.16 | 2.32 | 3.81 |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern Corporat… | $314.74 | 70.68B | -22% | -52% | -83% | -65% | 24.84 | 4.59 | 5.86 | 14.86 | 243.56 | 4.59 | 42.43% | 32.91% | 23.59% | 19.25% | 10.26% | 6.46% | 1.10 | 5.06 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 2.66 | 1020.00% | 47.00% | 2908.00% | 3.02% | 1.16 | 7.04% | 1.70% | 42.30% | 2.84% | 21.69 | 40.30 | 7.14 | 2.40 |
| PH | Parker-Hannifin Corporati… | $1,009.18 | 127.38B | -47% | -68% | -94% | -79% | 27.38 | 7.07 | 4.87 | 19.52 | 113.25 | -22.05 | 36.85% | 20.45% | 17.79% | 27.43% | 15.35% | 12.02% | 0.70 | 9.93 | 1.19 | 0.66 | 1.69 | 2418.00% | -40.00% | 1196.00% | 3.45% | 0.65 | 14.69% | 0.89% | 24.40% | 4.14% | 26.08 | 31.69 | 5.33 | 5.88 |
About Union Pacific Corporation
Union Pacific Corporation, through its subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, operates in the railroad business in the United States. The company offers transportation services for grain and grain products, fertilizers, food and refrigerated products, and coal and renewables to grain processors, animal feeders, ethanol producers, and other agricultural users; petroleum, and liquid petroleum gases; and construction products, industrial chemicals, plastics, forest products, specialized products, metals and ores, soda ash, and sand, as well as finished automobiles, automotive parts, and merchandise in intermodal containers. As of December 31, 2021, its rail network included 32,452 route miles connecting Pacific Coast and Gulf Coast ports with the Midwest and Eastern United States gateways. The company was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.
- CEO
- Vincenzo James Vena
- Employees
- 30.15K
- Beta
- 0.99
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($144.03 ÷ $266.32) − 1 = -45.92% (DCF, example).