US · VST
Vistra Corp.
- Sector
- Utilities · Independent Power Producers
- Headquarters
- Irving, TX 75039
- Website
- vistracorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$155.28
Market cap 58.92B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $125.89 | -18.93% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $66.40 | -57.24% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $7.15 | -95.39% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $0.27 | -99.83% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | |||||
| 2012 | |||||
| 2013 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2014 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||
| 2015 | $0.00 | $17.79 | |||
| 2016 | $13.42 | $15.94 | $1.90 | $241.49 | $329.92 |
| 2017 | $17.70 | $26.54 | $1.09 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $21.50 | $19.95 | $1,318.67 | $10.94 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $17.92 | $20.98 | $450.04 | $12.95 | $41.14 |
| 2020 | $16.55 | $21.22 | $127.84 | $10.19 | $5.85 |
| 2021 | $20.83 | $10.63 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2022 | $23.48 | $15.58 | $232.84 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $59.56 | $38.94 | $36.71 | $8.77 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $113.70 | $95.56 | $211.48 | $25.78 | $244.17 |
| 2025 | $165.99 | $125.89 | $0.00 | $7.15 | $0.27 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Vistra Corp.'s (VST) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $125.89
- Current price
- $155.28
- AI upside
- -18.93%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$66.40
-57.24% upside
Graham-Dodd
$7.15
-95.39% upside
Graham Formula
$0.27
-99.83% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| VST | Vistra Corp. | $155.28 | 58.92B | -19% | -57% | -95% | -100% | 59.75 | 11.04 | 3.18 | 10.31 | — | -417.80 | 21.69% | 12.03% | 5.32% | 17.68% | 14.59% | 4.53% | 0.35 | 1.81 | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.43 | -6843.00% | -846.00% | -9481.00% | 0.23% | 0.34 | 1.05% | 0.54% | 32.40% | 35.07% | 25.37 | 419.64 | 3.05 | 4.77 |
| AEP | American Electric Power C… | $133.82 | 72.38B | -5% | -51% | -73% | -12% | 19.32 | 2.22 | 3.18 | 13.53 | 99.82 | 2.23 | 31.81% | 24.33% | 16.43% | 12.33% | 6.69% | 3.25% | 1.61 | 2.61 | 0.45 | 0.25 | 5.69 | 1935.00% | 937.00% | 224.00% | 9.85% | 0.52 | 8.90% | 2.90% | 56.10% | 2.90% | 22.44 | 17.45 | 5.46 | 0.93 |
| D | Dominion Energy, Inc. | $63.14 | 53.92B | +3% | -49% | -89% | +21% | 17.57 | 1.85 | 3.26 | 12.79 | 42.45 | 2.32 | 49.02% | 26.74% | 18.16% | 10.88% | 5.14% | 2.81% | 1.68 | 2.18 | 0.77 | 0.35 | 6.07 | 4139.00% | 1416.00% | -174.00% | -13.52% | 0.51 | -9.94% | 4.23% | 74.30% | 4.23% | 23.23 | -14.09 | 6.21 | 0.66 |
| DUK | Duke Energy Corporation | $130.85 | 101.76B | -12% | -60% | -43% | -31% | 20.17 | 1.97 | 3.17 | 12.31 | 191.94 | 3.12 | 31.56% | 26.61% | 15.41% | 9.95% | 5.49% | 2.65% | 1.75 | 2.36 | 0.55 | 0.21 | 5.78 | 1051.00% | 619.00% | 2558750.00% | 12.06% | 0.59 | 8.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.49 | 15.64 | 5.98 | 0.72 |
| ETR | Entergy Corporation | $107.11 | 48.52B | -26% | -54% | -80% | -37% | 26.81 | 2.75 | 3.64 | 12.39 | 44.98 | 2.81 | 29.91% | 23.59% | 13.70% | 10.84% | 5.30% | 2.57% | 1.80 | 2.28 | 0.73 | 0.44 | 5.03 | 5959.00% | 898.00% | 8841.00% | -5.92% | 0.66 | -6.21% | 2.32% | 62.10% | 2.32% | 24.93 | -27.28 | 5.88 | 1.05 |
| EXC | Exelon Corporation | $49.47 | 50.6B | -23% | -53% | -77% | -26% | 17.96 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 11.28 | 151.72 | 2.24 | 27.92% | 21.21% | 11.41% | 9.94% | 5.71% | 2.47% | 1.76 | 2.42 | 0.92 | 0.60 | 5.62 | 1184.00% | 534.00% | 4889.00% | -4.58% | 0.61 | -3.01% | 3.25% | 58.40% | 3.25% | 19.27 | -43.57 | 4.09 | 0.78 |
| NGG | National Grid plc | $93.77 | 93.23B | -43% | -60% | -69% | -95% | 17.58 | 1.30 | 2.67 | 11.73 | 262.75 | 1.98 | 77.42% | 26.85% | 15.79% | 8.24% | 5.06% | 2.72% | 1.26 | 3.59 | 1.35 | 1.01 | 6.07 | 669.00% | -742.00% | 16678.00% | -6.91% | 0.50 | -4.48% | 3.08% | 54.10% | 3.41% | 18.16 | -26.46 | 4.87 | 1.32 |
| NRG | NRG Energy, Inc. | $178.96 | 38.42B | -39% | -48% | — | -61% | 42.93 | 22.06 | 1.21 | 12.33 | — | -6.57 | 21.85% | 6.02% | 2.81% | 41.55% | 12.34% | 3.25% | 9.97 | 2.40 | 1.64 | 1.37 | 3.16 | -1804.00% | 917.00% | -5823.00% | 2.07% | 0.24 | 6.38% | 1.11% | 47.60% | 4.89% | 25.37 | 61.27 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise… | $86.07 | 42.96B | +2% | -42% | -80% | +26% | 19.97 | 2.48 | 3.47 | 14.27 | 105.54 | 2.48 | 69.00% | 24.49% | 17.35% | 12.76% | 6.64% | 7.71% | 1.42 | 2.97 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 5.17 | 1893.00% | 1825.00% | -12606.00% | 0.77% | 0.41 | 0.81% | 2.98% | 59.60% | 2.98% | 22.19 | 203.49 | 5.44 | 319.87 |
| SRE | Sempra | $96.27 | 62.83B | -30% | -56% | -60% | -55% | 30.14 | 1.61 | 4.56 | 706.25 | — | 1.61 | 52.10% | 23.74% | 15.12% | 5.92% | 3.49% | 2.86% | 0.90 | 2.12 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 253.76 | -2828.00% | 575.00% | -23800.00% | 7.31% | 0.21 | 6.55% | 2.57% | 77.40% | 2.66% | 29.96 | 21.35 | 7.11 | 0.78 |
| XEL | Xcel Energy Inc. | $83.36 | 49.31B | 0% | -60% | -31% | -30% | 209.32 | 2.08 | 3.35 | 14.01 | — | 2.08 | 24.30% | 19.63% | 13.76% | 1.09% | 5.28% | 0.31% | 1.53 | 2.14 | 0.71 | 0.43 | 5.90 | -58.00% | 914.00% | -29291.00% | 10.68% | 0.58 | 9.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.52 | 16.18 | 5.79 | 0.90 |
About Vistra Corp.
Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. The company operates through six segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across 20 states in the United States and the District of Columbia. The company is also involved in the electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel production, and fuel logistics management activities. It serves approximately 4.3 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 38,700 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.
- CEO
- James A. Burke
- Employees
- 6.85K
- Beta
- 1.44
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($66.40 ÷ $155.28) − 1 = -57.24% (DCF, example).