US · NRG
NRG Energy, Inc.
- Sector
- Utilities · Independent Power Producers
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX 77002
- Website
- nrg.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$153.37
Market cap 38.42B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $109.57 | -28.56% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $93.85 | -38.81% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $69.25 | -54.85% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $12.49 | $31.63 | $0.64 | $26.88 | $8.71 |
| 2012 | $18.81 | $31.47 | $0.00 | $38.94 | $1.58 |
| 2013 | $22.07 | $13.60 | $1.47 | $11.23 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $18.41 | $20.78 | $100.05 | $15.60 | $18.77 |
| 2015 | $11.20 | $13.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $257.91 |
| 2016 | $14.68 | $26.05 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $44.75 |
| 2017 | $24.59 | $18.34 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2018 | $34.38 | $37.65 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $10.88 |
| 2019 | $28.76 | $78.32 | $1.72 | $86.98 | $196.05 |
| 2020 | $36.02 | $43.98 | $1.95 | $0.00 | $2.19 |
| 2021 | $34.54 | $46.15 | $44,948.26 | $32.47 | $1,752.94 |
| 2022 | $29.49 | $12.65 | $43,472.99 | $14.00 | $125.20 |
| 2023 | $58.81 | $27.53 | $11,960.83 | $0.00 | $0.09 |
| 2024 | $87.01 | $116.58 | $188.89 | $0.00 | $31.86 |
| 2025 | $175.58 | $109.57 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $69.25 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates NRG Energy, Inc.'s (NRG) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $109.57
- Current price
- $153.37
- AI upside
- -28.56%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$93.85
-38.81% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$69.25
-54.85% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NRG | NRG Energy, Inc. | $153.37 | 38.42B | -29% | -39% | — | -55% | 42.93 | 22.06 | 1.21 | 12.33 | — | -6.57 | 21.85% | 6.02% | 2.81% | 41.55% | 12.34% | 3.25% | 9.97 | 2.40 | 1.64 | 1.37 | 3.16 | -1804.00% | 917.00% | -5823.00% | 2.07% | 0.24 | 6.38% | 1.11% | 47.60% | 4.89% | 25.37 | 61.27 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| AEE | Ameren Corporation | $113.28 | 31.31B | -19% | -59% | -71% | +9% | 20.97 | 2.28 | 3.47 | 13.63 | 99.69 | 2.35 | 29.58% | 23.03% | 16.55% | 11.41% | 5.79% | 3.13% | 1.48 | 2.61 | 0.66 | 0.31 | 5.36 | 2104.00% | 1543.00% | -5294.00% | -2.54% | 0.86 | -2.42% | 2.51% | 52.70% | 2.51% | 24.86 | -64.98 | 5.72 | 0.96 |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | $186.79 | 30.9B | -29% | -64% | -65% | -17% | 22.59 | 2.00 | 5.76 | 15.17 | 244.86 | 2.12 | 52.37% | 33.17% | 25.49% | 9.32% | 5.93% | 4.43% | 0.69 | 9.09 | 0.67 | 0.43 | 3.82 | 922.00% | 1291.00% | 2564.00% | -5.58% | 1.50 | -7.09% | 2.05% | 46.20% | 2.05% | 23.19 | -23.93 | 7.69 | 1.62 |
| DTE | DTE Energy Company | $148.24 | 30.8B | -13% | -39% | -85% | +62% | 20.95 | 2.48 | 1.93 | 14.36 | 489.03 | 3.02 | 84.94% | 15.01% | 9.24% | 12.16% | 6.09% | 2.84% | 2.16 | 2.25 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 6.64 | 428.00% | 2695.00% | 2160.00% | -3.28% | 0.63 | -2.73% | 2.85% | 59.70% | 2.85% | 23.94 | -56.73 | 3.59 | 1.00 |
| ED | Consolidated Edison, Inc. | $112.52 | 40.61B | -15% | -57% | -59% | -7% | 21.01 | 1.66 | 2.37 | 10.92 | 275.27 | 1.68 | 62.02% | 17.32% | 11.96% | 8.26% | 4.58% | 2.63% | 1.19 | 2.38 | 1.02 | 0.83 | 4.41 | 763.00% | 1089.00% | -10311.00% | 0.09% | 0.73 | 0.07% | 2.91% | 61.20% | 2.91% | 22.92 | 1865.95 | 3.97 | 1.11 |
| ES | Eversource Energy | $76.21 | 28.62B | -2% | -52% | -86% | +28% | 16.31 | 1.70 | 2.04 | 10.71 | 16.17 | 2.31 | 30.13% | 22.06% | 12.49% | 10.84% | 6.10% | 2.74% | 1.87 | 2.40 | 0.65 | 0.29 | 5.59 | 10088.00% | 1383.00% | -9806.00% | -0.16% | 0.53 | -0.10% | 3.99% | 65.00% | 3.99% | 19.32 | -1280.46 | 4.26 | 0.76 |
| PCG | Pacific Gas & Electric Co… | $19.00 | 41.76B | -35% | -54% | -1% | -34% | 15.53 | 1.29 | 1.68 | 10.40 | 595.42 | 1.29 | 19.59% | 19.59% | 10.84% | 8.62% | 5.41% | 1.96% | 1.88 | 1.61 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 6.14 | 261.00% | 211.00% | 3158.00% | -7.31% | 0.53 | -3.40% | 0.76% | 11.70% | 0.76% | 21.01 | -33.41 | 4.11 | 0.51 |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise… | $86.07 | 42.96B | +2% | -42% | -80% | +26% | 19.97 | 2.48 | 3.47 | 14.27 | 105.54 | 2.48 | 69.00% | 24.49% | 17.35% | 12.76% | 6.64% | 7.71% | 1.42 | 2.97 | 0.02 | 0.48 | 5.17 | 1893.00% | 1825.00% | -12606.00% | 0.77% | 0.41 | 0.81% | 2.98% | 59.60% | 2.98% | 22.19 | 203.49 | 5.44 | 319.87 |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | $38.98 | 29.29B | -47% | -55% | -77% | -40% | 24.31 | 1.93 | 3.17 | 12.74 | 72.94 | 2.33 | 39.05% | 23.57% | 13.06% | 8.14% | 5.37% | 2.73% | 1.30 | 2.64 | 0.86 | 0.63 | 4.96 | 3333.00% | 685.00% | 20129.00% | -4.89% | 0.58 | -4.40% | 2.77% | 67.30% | 2.77% | 22.02 | -33.50 | 5.19 | 1.00 |
| TLN | Talen Energy Corporation | $370.97 | 16.95B | -43% | -62% | — | — | -73.70 | 14.77 | 6.25 | 53.49 | — | 14.77 | 48.62% | -2.75% | -8.49% | -17.66% | -1.27% | -2.57% | 6.23 | -0.24 | 1.28 | 0.90 | 14.60 | -12711.00% | 2451.00% | 120370.00% | 4.36% | 0.67 | 12.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -312.67 | 31.53 | 8.60 | 1.16 |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group, Inc. | $116.96 | 38.07B | -10% | -54% | -97% | -12% | 24.40 | 2.78 | 3.87 | 14.88 | — | 3.79 | 50.55% | 24.23% | 15.90% | 11.93% | 6.43% | 3.15% | 1.64 | 2.65 | 0.47 | 0.34 | 5.51 | 0.00% | 1396.00% | -33652.00% | -2.68% | 0.55 | -2.97% | 3.02% | 73.80% | 3.03% | 25.36 | -59.13 | 6.15 | 1.10 |
About NRG Energy, Inc.
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated power company in the United States. It operates through Texas, East, and West. The company is involved in the producing, selling, and delivering electricity and related products and services to approximately 6 million residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale customers. It generates electricity using natural gas, coal, oil, solar, nuclear, and battery storage. The company also provides system power, distributed generation, renewable products, backup generation, storage and distributed solar, demand response, and energy efficiency, and advisory services, as well as carbon management and specialty services; and on-site energy solutions. In addition, it trades in electric power, natural gas, and related commodities; environmental products; weather products; and financial products, including forwards, futures, options, and swaps. Further, the company procures fuels; provides transportation services; and directly sells energy, services, and products and services to retail customers under the NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, Stream, and XOOM Energy. As of December 31, 2021, it owns and leases power generation portfolio with approximately 18,000 megawatts of capacity at 25 plants. NRG Energy, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- CEO
- Lawrence Stephen Coben
- Employees
- 15.64K
- Beta
- 1.28
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($93.85 ÷ $153.37) − 1 = -38.81% (DCF, example).