US · WM
Waste Management, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Waste Management
- Headquarters
- Houston, TX 77002
- Website
- wm.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$228.77
Market cap 97.14B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $167.82 | -26.64% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $106.27 | -53.55% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $146.01 | -36.18% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $25.16 | $26.42 | $13.84 | $0.00 | $29.94 |
| 2012 | $27.78 | $24.56 | $4.55 | $0.00 | $17.70 |
| 2013 | $32.27 | $25.56 | $3.61 | $0.00 | $2.19 |
| 2014 | $43.28 | $33.46 | $5.54 | $0.00 | $22.81 |
| 2015 | $48.84 | $34.06 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $1.75 |
| 2016 | $62.22 | $45.06 | $5.03 | $0.00 | $34.41 |
| 2017 | $76.02 | $53.83 | $2.59 | $0.00 | $63.30 |
| 2018 | $88.10 | $62.51 | $2.71 | $0.00 | $49.35 |
| 2019 | $106.23 | $79.16 | $12.97 | $0.00 | $45.52 |
| 2020 | $112.57 | $72.94 | $6.40 | $0.00 | $23.34 |
| 2021 | $142.28 | $92.97 | $5.84 | $0.00 | $108.67 |
| 2022 | $142.52 | $115.57 | $19.73 | $0.00 | $94.90 |
| 2023 | $201.81 | $147.49 | $43.74 | $0.00 | $65.86 |
| 2024 | $226.18 | $165.54 | $27.60 | $0.00 | $107.94 |
| 2025 | $243.07 | $167.82 | $48.72 | $0.00 | $146.01 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Waste Management, Inc.'s (WM) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $167.82
- Current price
- $228.77
- AI upside
- -26.64%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$106.27
-53.55% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$146.01
-36.18% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | $228.77 | 97.14B | -27% | -54% | — | -36% | 36.15 | 9.80 | 3.88 | 16.75 | — | -12.78 | 29.08% | 18.28% | 10.74% | 29.69% | 11.31% | 5.99% | 2.29 | 5.05 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 3.15 | -162.00% | 1424.00% | 3043.00% | 2.88% | 1.09 | 8.74% | 1.36% | 49.30% | 2.16% | 26.18 | 42.82 | 4.78 | 2.50 |
| CTAS | Cintas Corporation | $201.13 | 80.83B | -28% | -45% | -99% | -65% | 50.04 | 19.36 | 8.77 | 32.55 | 310.93 | 93.07 | 50.04% | 22.82% | 17.53% | 40.27% | 27.54% | 18.77% | 0.57 | 23.34 | 2.09 | 1.02 | 0.84 | 1609.00% | 775.00% | 519.00% | 1.94% | 1.32 | 25.62% | 0.67% | 33.70% | 1.71% | 39.45 | 52.98 | 9.00 | 14.33 |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | $150.75 | 84.77B | -29% | -61% | — | -70% | 34.53 | 3.82 | 4.31 | 18.47 | 193.65 | -10.53 | 52.84% | 12.42% | 12.73% | 10.72% | 5.80% | 5.21% | 0.68 | 5.78 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 2.51 | 1783.00% | 300.00% | -844.00% | 3.44% | 0.32 | 9.06% | 1.54% | 53.10% | 3.14% | 40.11 | 33.66 | 4.98 | 4.07 |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $290.63 | 83.76B | -23% | -55% | — | -67% | 27.76 | 26.39 | 5.30 | 20.05 | — | -34.54 | 44.10% | 26.28% | 19.11% | 93.75% | 29.92% | 19.64% | 2.78 | 14.44 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 1.75 | -1042.00% | 92.00% | -482.00% | 3.18% | 0.61 | 24.85% | 2.10% | 58.20% | 3.86% | 22.11 | 34.44 | 5.81 | 8.50 |
| JCI | Johnson Controls Internat… | $144.30 | 88.32B | -48% | -68% | — | -62% | 43.26 | 5.76 | 3.16 | 27.04 | 991.11 | -10.17 | 36.41% | 11.99% | 13.95% | 11.86% | 10.16% | 4.27% | 0.87 | 18.01 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 3.43 | 437.00% | 281.00% | -3984.00% | 1.30% | 0.13 | 3.96% | 1.31% | 56.70% | 9.36% | 30.15 | 88.36 | 3.61 | 2.63 |
| MMM | 3M Company | $165.32 | 87.07B | -34% | -59% | -96% | -64% | 26.42 | 18.35 | 3.46 | 15.94 | — | -30.59 | 39.55% | 18.29% | 13.03% | 76.43% | 32.37% | 8.41% | 2.75 | 6.34 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 1.32 | -2053.00% | 152.00% | 11881.00% | 1.62% | 0.24 | 13.00% | 1.36% | 36.00% | 7.36% | 20.44 | 66.81 | 3.74 | 4.26 |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corporat… | $724.38 | 102.81B | -21% | -53% | -99% | -59% | 26.35 | 6.61 | 2.63 | 17.43 | 1009.27 | -113.50 | 19.81% | 10.20% | 9.97% | 26.17% | 11.19% | 8.30% | 1.18 | 6.44 | 1.09 | 0.95 | 2.13 | 261.00% | 224.00% | 2617.00% | 3.00% | 0.34 | 10.47% | 1.17% | 30.90% | 3.10% | 29.33 | 37.96 | 2.99 | 3.48 |
| RSG | Republic Services, Inc. | $229.00 | 70.89B | -27% | -55% | — | -66% | 33.59 | 6.00 | 4.33 | 13.74 | 605.58 | -13.30 | 30.34% | 20.02% | 12.89% | 18.30% | 15.00% | 6.41% | 0.05 | 5.79 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.10 | 555.00% | 349.00% | 1576.00% | 3.35% | 1.09 | 13.19% | 1.03% | 34.50% | 19.44% | 21.71 | 29.93 | 4.35 | 3.13 |
| TDG | TransDigm Group Incorpora… | $1,302.79 | 73.57B | +92% | -45% | — | -48% | 37.80 | -8.09 | 8.88 | 23.12 | 149.89 | -3.30 | 60.14% | 47.16% | 23.49% | -25.96% | 21.99% | 8.55% | -3.10 | 2.65 | 3.21 | 2.03 | 5.96 | 2521.00% | 1122.00% | -340.00% | 2.32% | 0.93 | 12.15% | 12.28% | 464.30% | 12.92% | 25.36 | 58.15 | 11.96 | 2.03 |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, In… | $115.96 | 98.46B | -13% | -59% | — | -67% | 17.43 | 5.99 | 1.10 | 10.11 | — | 15.25 | 18.53% | 9.56% | 6.29% | 33.83% | 16.75% | 7.78% | 1.99 | 8.38 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 2.16 | -296.00% | -249.00% | -2331.00% | 4.91% | 0.54 | 12.11% | 5.56% | 96.90% | 6.59% | 14.58 | 25.93 | 1.39 | 3.06 |
| WCN | Waste Connections, Inc. | $172.13 | 44B | -37% | -59% | -100% | -65% | 40.44 | 5.38 | 4.66 | 17.83 | 53.99 | -20.61 | 38.96% | 18.13% | 11.37% | 13.62% | 7.75% | 5.34% | 1.14 | 5.19 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 3.11 | 7490.00% | 655.00% | 581.00% | 2.80% | 1.16 | 7.35% | 0.77% | 31.00% | 1.93% | 31.14 | 43.23 | 5.64 | 3.06 |
About Waste Management, Inc.
Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides waste management environmental services to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in North America. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, material recovery facility (MRF), or disposal site; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the United States, as well as owns and operates transfer stations. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned or operated 255 solid waste landfills; 5 secure hazardous waste landfills; 96 MRFs; and 340 transfer stations. It also provides materials processing and commodities recycling services; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company offers construction and remediation services; services related with the disposal of fly ash, and residue generated from the combustion of coal and other fuel stocks; in-plant services comprising full-service waste management solutions and consulting services; and specialized disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- CEO
- James C. Fish Jr.
- Employees
- 61.7K
- Beta
- 0.59
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($106.27 ÷ $228.77) − 1 = -53.55% (DCF, example).