US · NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Falls Church, VA 22042
- Website
- northropgrumman.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$568.14
Market cap 102.81B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $570.41 | +0.4% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $337.06 | -40.67% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $5.24 | -99.08% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $298.27 | -47.5% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $46.49 | $68.18 | $21.93 | $1.47 | $16.83 |
| 2012 | $52.73 | $122.21 | $16.65 | $0.00 | $29.68 |
| 2013 | $101.87 | $134.27 | $27.64 | $0.00 | $51.23 |
| 2014 | $131.79 | $152.83 | $28.81 | $0.00 | $54.03 |
| 2015 | $161.79 | $170.14 | $22.13 | $0.00 | $67.33 |
| 2016 | $210.82 | $211.82 | $23.10 | $0.00 | $149.39 |
| 2017 | $306.90 | $248.12 | $30.92 | $0.00 | $151.41 |
| 2018 | $246.26 | $262.12 | $150.51 | $0.00 | $446.31 |
| 2019 | $298.06 | $266.10 | $470.52 | $0.00 | $265.45 |
| 2020 | $278.37 | $275.27 | $729.51 | $0.00 | $315.81 |
| 2021 | $409.29 | $403.08 | $14.76 | $97.89 | $229.90 |
| 2022 | $437.48 | $371.04 | $18.06 | $41.94 | $335.59 |
| 2023 | $444.59 | $360.57 | $6.79 | $0.00 | $206.40 |
| 2024 | $476.69 | $419.05 | $45.28 | $5.84 | $350.36 |
| 2025 | $768.02 | $570.41 | $52.07 | $5.24 | $298.27 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Northrop Grumman Corporation's (NOC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $570.41
- Current price
- $568.14
- AI upside
- +0.4%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$337.06
-40.67% upside
Graham-Dodd
$5.24
-99.08% upside
Graham Formula
$298.27
-47.5% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman Corporat… | $568.14 | 102.81B | 0% | -41% | -99% | -48% | 26.35 | 6.61 | 2.63 | 17.43 | 1009.27 | -113.50 | 19.81% | 10.20% | 9.97% | 26.17% | 11.19% | 8.30% | 1.18 | 6.44 | 1.09 | 0.95 | 2.13 | 261.00% | 224.00% | 2617.00% | 3.00% | 0.34 | 10.47% | 1.17% | 30.90% | 3.10% | 29.33 | 37.96 | 2.99 | 3.48 |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | $150.75 | 84.77B | -29% | -61% | — | -70% | 34.53 | 3.82 | 4.31 | 18.47 | 193.65 | -10.53 | 52.84% | 12.42% | 12.73% | 10.72% | 5.80% | 5.21% | 0.68 | 5.78 | 0.88 | 0.47 | 2.51 | 1783.00% | 300.00% | -844.00% | 3.44% | 0.32 | 9.06% | 1.54% | 53.10% | 3.14% | 40.11 | 33.66 | 4.98 | 4.07 |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporat… | $357.05 | 96.54B | -14% | -59% | -98% | -22% | 23.39 | 3.84 | 1.87 | 17.37 | 174.18 | 30.41 | 15.13% | 10.19% | 8.01% | 17.66% | 13.78% | 7.44% | 0.38 | 17.06 | 1.44 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 1343.00% | 1013.00% | 2387.00% | 4.02% | 0.30 | 12.35% | 1.62% | 37.80% | 3.81% | 19.77 | 26.75 | 2.02 | 4.33 |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | $262.53 | 105.67B | -47% | -37% | -94% | -73% | 71.02 | 20.01 | 12.98 | 45.34 | 221.75 | 122.55 | 30.74% | 25.81% | 18.27% | 30.44% | 23.09% | 13.90% | 0.57 | 14.11 | 2.13 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 3203.00% | 1106.00% | 4647.00% | 1.34% | 1.06 | 18.93% | 0.17% | 12.00% | 1.43% | 51.37 | 76.46 | 13.26 | 13.13 |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | $290.63 | 83.76B | -23% | -55% | — | -67% | 27.76 | 26.39 | 5.30 | 20.05 | — | -34.54 | 44.10% | 26.28% | 19.11% | 93.75% | 29.92% | 19.64% | 2.78 | 14.44 | 1.21 | 0.80 | 1.75 | -1042.00% | 92.00% | -482.00% | 3.18% | 0.61 | 24.85% | 2.10% | 58.20% | 3.86% | 22.11 | 34.44 | 5.81 | 8.50 |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies, In… | $364.54 | 68.19B | -25% | -58% | — | -75% | 44.16 | 3.61 | 3.24 | 21.40 | 526.62 | -10.30 | 25.73% | 10.04% | 7.35% | 8.20% | 5.99% | 3.86% | 0.53 | 3.68 | 1.19 | 0.84 | 2.50 | 839.00% | 253.00% | 2469.00% | 3.78% | 0.43 | 8.81% | 1.27% | 56.20% | 7.12% | 36.58 | 29.94 | 3.67 | 2.86 |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin Corporati… | $658.08 | 152.28B | -20% | -56% | — | -55% | 31.14 | 23.25 | 2.08 | 22.42 | — | -24.11 | 10.15% | 10.30% | 6.68% | 76.87% | 27.05% | 8.69% | 3.23 | 6.92 | 1.09 | 0.90 | 2.27 | -368.00% | 565.00% | 3066.00% | 4.42% | 0.37 | 28.53% | 2.00% | 62.40% | 4.06% | 22.48 | 25.16 | 2.32 | 3.81 |
| MMM | 3M Company | $165.32 | 87.07B | -34% | -59% | -96% | -64% | 26.42 | 18.35 | 3.46 | 15.94 | — | -30.59 | 39.55% | 18.29% | 13.03% | 76.43% | 32.37% | 8.41% | 2.75 | 6.34 | 1.71 | 0.99 | 1.32 | -2053.00% | 152.00% | 11881.00% | 1.62% | 0.24 | 13.00% | 1.36% | 36.00% | 7.36% | 20.44 | 66.81 | 3.74 | 4.26 |
| TDG | TransDigm Group Incorpora… | $1,302.79 | 73.57B | +92% | -45% | — | -48% | 37.80 | -8.09 | 8.88 | 23.12 | 149.89 | -3.30 | 60.14% | 47.16% | 23.49% | -25.96% | 21.99% | 8.55% | -3.10 | 2.65 | 3.21 | 2.03 | 5.96 | 2521.00% | 1122.00% | -340.00% | 2.32% | 0.93 | 12.15% | 12.28% | 464.30% | 12.92% | 25.36 | 58.15 | 11.96 | 2.03 |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, In… | $115.96 | 98.46B | -13% | -59% | — | -67% | 17.43 | 5.99 | 1.10 | 10.11 | — | 15.25 | 18.53% | 9.56% | 6.29% | 33.83% | 16.75% | 7.78% | 1.99 | 8.38 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 2.16 | -296.00% | -249.00% | -2331.00% | 4.91% | 0.54 | 12.11% | 5.56% | 96.90% | 6.59% | 14.58 | 25.93 | 1.39 | 3.06 |
| WM | Waste Management, Inc. | $240.84 | 97.14B | -30% | -56% | — | -39% | 36.15 | 9.80 | 3.88 | 16.75 | — | -12.78 | 29.08% | 18.28% | 10.74% | 29.69% | 11.31% | 5.99% | 2.29 | 5.05 | 0.89 | 0.77 | 3.15 | -162.00% | 1424.00% | 3043.00% | 2.88% | 1.09 | 8.74% | 1.36% | 49.30% | 2.16% | 26.18 | 42.82 | 4.78 | 2.50 |
About Northrop Grumman Corporation
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. The company's Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, and sustains aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic ISR systems and vertical take-off and landing tactical ISR systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, and produces weapons and mission systems. It offers products and services, such as integrated battle management systems, weapons systems and aircraft, and mission systems. This segment also provides command and control and weapons systems, including munitions and missiles; precision strike weapons; propulsion, such as air-breathing and hypersonic systems; gun systems and precision munitions; life cycle service and support for software, weapons systems, and aircraft; and logistics support, sustainment, operation, and modernization for air, sea, and ground systems. The company's Mission Systems segment offers cyber, command, control, communications and computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; cyber solutions; intelligence processing systems; navigation; and maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems. This segment also provides airborne multifunction sensors; maritime/land systems and sensors; navigation, targeting, and survivability solutions; and networked information solutions. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; launch vehicles and related propulsion systems; and strategic missiles. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.
- CEO
- Kathy J. Warden
- Employees
- 97K
- Beta
- 0.04
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($337.06 ÷ $568.14) − 1 = -40.67% (DCF, example).