US · WSO
Watsco, Inc.
- Sector
- Industrials · Industrial - Distribution
- Headquarters
- Miami, FL 33133
- Website
- watsco.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$428.57
Market cap 16.97B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $336.47 | -21.49% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $164.35 | -61.65% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $43.90 | -89.76% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $44.53 | $59.14 | $1,470.06 | $0.00 | $34.34 |
| 2012 | $55.95 | $54.90 | $1,091.42 | $0.00 | $67.86 |
| 2013 | $70.31 | $70.90 | $146.30 | $14.08 | $61.56 |
| 2014 | $86.30 | $75.54 | $4.30 | $5.87 | $57.50 |
| 2015 | $93.91 | $72.18 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $59.49 |
| 2016 | $111.48 | $91.11 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $54.63 |
| 2017 | $137.07 | $102.64 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $60.45 |
| 2018 | $113.23 | $101.93 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $82.50 |
| 2019 | $151.86 | $109.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $91.67 |
| 2020 | $215.73 | $155.92 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $106.61 |
| 2021 | $254.18 | $217.89 | $338.17 | $0.00 | $371.80 |
| 2022 | $270.96 | $258.52 | $1,489.32 | $0.00 | $392.90 |
| 2023 | $380.97 | $310.47 | $773.47 | $0.00 | $122.17 |
| 2024 | $498.52 | $372.70 | $4.63 | $0.00 | $179.15 |
| 2025 | $410.87 | $336.47 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $43.90 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Watsco, Inc.'s (WSO) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $336.47
- Current price
- $428.57
- AI upside
- -21.49%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$164.35
-61.65% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$43.90
-89.76% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| WSO | Watsco, Inc. | $428.57 | 16.97B | -21% | -62% | — | -90% | 33.55 | 5.60 | 2.15 | 21.26 | — | 8.15 | 28.05% | 9.57% | 6.87% | 17.07% | 21.26% | 10.38% | 0.29 | — | 4.12 | 2.13 | 0.52 | -789.00% | -498.00% | -2793.00% | 3.44% | 0.79 | 20.64% | 3.04% | 102.10% | 3.04% | 22.61 | 29.24 | 2.16 | 10.60 |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Techno… | $282.58 | 10.66B | -29% | -62% | -80% | -64% | 25.77 | 5.49 | 2.22 | 17.79 | 873.42 | 12.71 | 30.31% | 10.92% | 8.61% | 22.24% | 19.60% | 12.83% | 0.31 | 14.52 | 3.32 | 2.20 | 0.32 | 295.00% | 188.00% | 3425.00% | 4.59% | 0.94 | 23.31% | 0.63% | 16.20% | 3.03% | 20.68 | 22.16 | 2.26 | 8.06 |
| ALLE | Allegion plc | $161.15 | 13.88B | -10% | -49% | -95% | -27% | 21.68 | 6.75 | 3.43 | 16.05 | 238.50 | -20.81 | 45.20% | 21.13% | 15.83% | 36.08% | 20.18% | 13.26% | 1.10 | 8.51 | 1.84 | 1.09 | 1.94 | 909.00% | 782.00% | 1764.00% | 4.91% | 1.04 | 19.21% | 1.26% | 27.20% | 1.83% | 18.48 | 23.16 | 3.90 | 4.72 |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorp… | $394.77 | 16.5B | -12% | -55% | -93% | -63% | 22.69 | 9.39 | 3.36 | 15.22 | — | -14.42 | 35.71% | 19.92% | 14.76% | 34.88% | 21.54% | 12.30% | 1.60 | 12.74 | 3.09 | 2.32 | 1.45 | -3864.00% | 33.00% | 262.00% | 5.76% | 1.50 | 26.72% | 1.07% | 24.40% | 8.79% | 18.62 | 19.19 | 3.71 | 5.53 |
| GGG | Graco Inc. | $93.92 | 15.57B | -22% | -55% | -88% | -54% | 30.23 | 5.94 | 7.05 | 20.24 | 327.90 | 8.94 | 52.45% | 27.31% | 23.33% | 19.92% | 24.56% | 16.27% | 0.02 | 211.11 | 3.15 | 2.18 | -0.75 | 922.00% | 583.00% | 2388.00% | 4.04% | 1.46 | 31.52% | 1.16% | 35.10% | 3.84% | 24.91 | 23.85 | 6.80 | 17.55 |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | $209.47 | 15.77B | -9% | -59% | — | -58% | 33.01 | 3.96 | 4.61 | 19.00 | — | -25.11 | 44.51% | 20.82% | 13.98% | 12.34% | 10.53% | 7.06% | 0.45 | 11.18 | 2.86 | 1.91 | 1.37 | -346.00% | 577.00% | 229.00% | 3.87% | 1.18 | 11.83% | 1.33% | 44.10% | 3.67% | 23.85 | 27.84 | 4.97 | 5.23 |
| ITT | ITT Inc. | $202.41 | 17.42B | -19% | -35% | -79% | -51% | 32.38 | 3.87 | 4.01 | 17.78 | — | 7.40 | 35.35% | 17.38% | 12.39% | 14.25% | 16.26% | 8.86% | 0.23 | 14.23 | 2.58 | 1.96 | -0.97 | -302.00% | 848.00% | 2494.00% | 3.47% | 0.52 | 17.25% | 0.70% | 22.70% | 11.17% | 21.89 | 27.37 | 3.80 | 6.31 |
| NDSN | Nordson Corporation | $293.44 | 16.38B | -21% | -64% | — | -66% | 30.52 | 4.86 | 5.30 | 19.24 | 618.81 | -15.69 | 55.16% | 25.94% | 17.35% | 16.21% | 11.39% | 8.13% | 0.71 | 7.16 | 1.64 | 0.92 | 2.34 | 493.00% | 378.00% | 3443.00% | 4.47% | 0.95 | 12.83% | 1.21% | 37.00% | 4.88% | 23.24 | 25.46 | 6.03 | 5.15 |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | $227.18 | 8.48B | -18% | -61% | — | -63% | 20.29 | 6.96 | 1.56 | 13.44 | — | 42.51 | 29.73% | 10.97% | 7.68% | 33.06% | 22.68% | 11.62% | 0.29 | 12.41 | 2.24 | 0.27 | 0.39 | -398.00% | -41.00% | -4839.00% | 3.75% | 0.42 | 15.89% | 2.24% | 45.50% | 17.97% | 14.63 | 27.43 | 1.61 | 4.37 |
| TXT | Textron Inc. | $98.65 | 17.18B | — | -59% | -44% | -18% | 11.31 | 2.30 | 1.23 | 11.99 | — | 3.27 | 16.91% | 8.44% | 6.22% | — | — | — | 0.45 | 12.88 | 5.94 | 2.33 | 0.97 | — | — | — | 4.87% | 1.07 | — | 0.10% | 1.20% | 6.04% | 15.81 | 22.33 | 1.33 | 2.94 |
| WCC | WESCO International, Inc. | $289.50 | 14.09B | -16% | -59% | -78% | -30% | 22.79 | 2.91 | 0.62 | 14.91 | — | -180.79 | 20.31% | 5.24% | 2.72% | 12.85% | 8.47% | 4.07% | 1.49 | 3.19 | 2.20 | 1.21 | 4.77 | 0.00% | 776.00% | -9750.00% | 0.17% | 0.03 | 0.23% | 0.79% | 18.00% | 4.99% | 17.46 | 854.13 | 0.92 | 3.28 |
About Watsco, Inc.
Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes air conditioning, heating, refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies. The company distributes equipment comprising residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. It also offers parts, including replacement compressors, evaporator coils, motors, and other component parts; and supplies, such as thermostats, insulation materials, refrigerants, ductworks, grills, registers, sheet metals, tools, copper tubing, concrete pads, tapes, adhesives, and other ancillary supplies, as well as plumbing and bathroom remodeling supplies. The company serves contractors and dealers that service the replacement and new construction markets for residential and light commercial central air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration systems. As of December 31, 2021, it operated from 671 locations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Puerto Rico, as well as exports its products to Latin America and the Caribbean Basin. Watsco, Inc. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.
- CEO
- Albert H. Nahmad
- Employees
- 7.22K
- Beta
- 1.04
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($164.35 ÷ $428.57) − 1 = -61.65% (DCF, example).