US · AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- Bethesda, MD 20814
- Website
- agnc.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$10.94
Market cap 12.43B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $135.55 | +1,139.03% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $7.22 | -34% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | — | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $4.78 | $524.93 | $0.00 | $0.73 | $1,344.26 |
| 2012 | $6.14 | $88.33 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $466.65 |
| 2013 | $4.84 | $43.42 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $5.50 | $108.36 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $5.41 | $52.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2016 | $6.44 | $133.81 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2017 | $6.84 | $2,886.77 | $28.73 | $0.42 | |
| 2018 | $7.38 | $172.97 | $11.11 | $0.00 | $5.84 |
| 2019 | $7.97 | $243.58 | $9.28 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2020 | $8.52 | $199.38 | $18.66 | $0.00 | $37.81 |
| 2021 | $7.35 | $136.96 | $14.17 | $0.99 | $719.43 |
| 2022 | $6.45 | $107.91 | $385.74 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $7.34 | $179.38 | $1.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $37.78 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $349.69 |
| 2025 | $11.15 | $135.55 | $3.23 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates AGNC Investment Corp.'s (AGNC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $135.55
- Current price
- $10.94
- AI upside
- +1,139.03%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$7.22
-34% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
—
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp. | $10.94 | 12.43B | +1,139% | -34% | — | — | 6.81 | 0.92 | 5.95 | 23.73 | 11.73 | 0.96 | 100.00% | 236.30% | 87.34% | 15.08% | 7.42% | 1.64% | 8.21 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 21.31 | 5806.00% | -6079.00% | 65930.00% | 5.74% | 0.01 | 1.07% | 14.08% | 95.90% | 14.08% | 24.66 | 170.64 | 58.28 | -0.96 |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $7.93 | 1.55B | +413% | +119% | +122% | — | 10.50 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 1.36 | — | 0.58 | -58.87% | 19.47% | 98.00% | 5.28% | 0.28% | 1.13% | 0.00 | 0.03 | — | — | -0.56 | -5254.00% | -8253.00% | -1931.00% | 22.47% | — | 4.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 604.87% | 55.02 | 3.15 | 10.72 | 0.13 |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Esta… | $5.02 | 277.95M | +467% | +27% | — | — | -316.42 | 0.56 | 3.34 | 18.57 | — | 0.58 | 57.36% | 72.39% | -1.06% | -0.17% | 3.89% | -0.05% | 2.06 | 0.95 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 14.51 | -9744.00% | -279.00% | -4452.00% | 6.91% | 0.02 | 1.24% | 13.67% | -4324.90% | 45.34% | 21.10 | 66.09 | 15.27 | -0.53 |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.95 | 2.01B | +1,612% | -22% | — | +8,183% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust… | $19.21 | 3.24B | +331% | -59% | — | — | — | 0.96 | 2.21 | 16.36 | — | 0.99 | 76.86% | 71.65% | 7.20% | 0.00% | 5.49% | 0.00% | 4.62 | 1.10 | 8.71 | 8.71 | 13.48 | -15470.00% | -1396.00% | -2460.00% | 8.21% | 0.13 | 1.44% | 9.61% | — | 12.87% | 17.51 | 69.18 | 12.55 | 1.21 |
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corpor… | $13.61 | 1.13B | +899% | +24% | +118% | +4,369% | 4.23 | 0.44 | 1.37 | 17.51 | 2.82 | 0.44 | 94.87% | 93.16% | 28.08% | 10.45% | 5.44% | 1.84% | 5.08 | 1.38 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 16.09 | 15000.00% | 21822.00% | -22101.00% | -22.07% | -0.04 | -1.79% | 7.63% | 32.30% | 7.63% | 18.20 | -55.93 | 16.96 | -0.34 |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital … | $8.43 | 598.07M | +1,377% | +300,655% | +133% | +5,715% | 5.47 | 0.70 | 1.63 | 19.05 | 4.04 | 0.70 | 96.67% | 94.54% | 29.82% | 13.25% | 5.39% | 1.67% | 7.05 | 1.46 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 17.32 | 13538.00% | 32702.00% | -1424.00% | 28.34% | 0.03 | 2.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.05 | 38.94 | 18.01 | -1.50 |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management… | $23.24 | 16.7B | +823% | -60% | — | +5,707% | 7.32 | 0.92 | 2.22 | 18.15 | 9.12 | 0.92 | 99.92% | 102.58% | 30.28% | 14.13% | 8.72% | 1.70% | 6.95 | 1.42 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 15.99 | 8025.00% | 43656.00% | -10908.00% | -1.50% | 0.01 | -0.28% | 12.68% | 92.80% | 12.78% | 18.15 | -561.14 | 18.62 | -0.57 |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, In… | $7.44 | 1.13B | +1,444% | -31% | — | +3,701% | 6.02 | 0.70 | 5.33 | 22.54 | 5.29 | 0.70 | 97.78% | 88.59% | 88.59% | 15.59% | 2.83% | 1.83% | 7.47 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 20.48 | 11379.00% | 22995.00% | 7980.00% | 12.58% | 0.01 | 2.14% | 18.69% | 112.50% | 18.69% | 65.88 | 86.98 | 58.36 | -0.86 |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp. | $10.05 | 5.59B | +275% | +3,965% | +78% | +227% | 45.27 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 32.11 | — | 0.87 | 90.48% | 44.56% | 11.98% | 1.55% | 5.97% | 0.25% | 4.70 | 5.76 | 0.46 | 1.41 | 27.90 | -3772.00% | 1999.00% | -6708.00% | -13.38% | -0.19 | -2.02% | 2.01% | 90.80% | 2.88% | 17.16 | -57.01 | 7.65 | 0.29 |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust, … | $17.81 | 6.6B | +115% | -56% | +43% | -95% | 13.69 | 0.89 | 3.23 | 14.96 | 153.30 | 0.99 | 80.51% | 76.20% | 21.89% | 6.70% | 6.13% | 0.70% | 3.27 | 1.12 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 11.82 | 893.00% | -788.00% | 5806.00% | 16.12% | 0.36 | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.17 | 28.08 | 14.61 | 0.14 |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment Co… | $10.33 | 1.09B | +746% | +219% | — | — | -2.34 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 5.39 | — | -1.68 | 98.66% | 44.15% | -47.70% | -23.24% | 14.27% | -3.94% | 4.79 | 0.86 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.36 | -28397.00% | 1260.00% | -11734.00% | -1.42% | 0.01 | -0.51% | 20.91% | -49.00% | 21.08% | 5.39 | -150.52 | 2.38 | -1.01 |
About AGNC Investment Corp.
AGNC Investment Corp. operates as a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company invests in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by the United States government-sponsored enterprise or by the United States government agency. It funds its investments primarily through collateralized borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. The company has elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986 and would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes, if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was formerly known as American Capital Agency Corp. and changed its name to AGNC Investment Corp. in September 2016. AGNC Investment Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
- CEO
- Peter J. Federico
- Employees
- 53
- Beta
- 1.35
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($7.22 ÷ $10.94) − 1 = -34% (DCF, example).