US · NLY
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
- Sector
- Real Estate · REIT - Mortgage
- Headquarters
- New York City, NY 10036
- Website
- annaly.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$22.82
Market cap 16.7B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $214.45 | +839.75% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $9.28 | -59.33% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $1,349.62 | +5,814.22% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $11.72 | $46.59 | $23.79 | $0.00 | $68.90 |
| 2012 | $12.61 | $1,428.39 | $56.93 | $0.00 | $32.09 |
| 2013 | $10.17 | $94.19 | $24.08 | $26.80 | $0.00 |
| 2014 | $10.84 | $32.96 | $70.40 | $0.00 | $175.79 |
| 2015 | $12.05 | $84.03 | $16.17 | $0.00 | $104.61 |
| 2016 | $14.32 | $180.49 | $12.91 | $5.57 | $294.71 |
| 2017 | $14.93 | $162.24 | $6.54 | $8.80 | $149.30 |
| 2018 | $16.48 | $364.77 | $6.51 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2019 | $16.52 | $17.38 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1,080.18 |
| 2020 | $18.09 | $275.24 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |
| 2021 | $16.25 | $92.36 | $26.68 | $13.24 | |
| 2022 | $12.29 | $46.07 | $22.49 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $14.99 | $12.08 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $513.27 |
| 2024 | $19.07 | $28.57 | $40.18 | $0.00 | |
| 2025 | $23.21 | $214.45 | $4.51 | $0.00 | $1,349.62 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Annaly Capital Management, Inc.'s (NLY) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $214.45
- Current price
- $22.82
- AI upside
- +839.75%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$9.28
-59.33% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$1,349.62
+5,814.22% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management… | $22.82 | 16.7B | +840% | -59% | — | +5,814% | 7.32 | 0.92 | 2.22 | 18.15 | 9.12 | 0.92 | 99.92% | 102.58% | 30.28% | 14.13% | 8.72% | 1.70% | 6.95 | 1.42 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 15.99 | 8025.00% | 43656.00% | -10908.00% | -1.50% | 0.01 | -0.28% | 12.68% | 92.80% | 12.78% | 18.15 | -561.14 | 18.62 | -0.57 |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | $7.93 | 1.55B | +413% | +119% | +122% | — | 10.50 | 0.56 | 15.12 | 1.36 | — | 0.58 | -58.87% | 19.47% | 98.00% | 5.28% | 0.28% | 1.13% | 0.00 | 0.03 | — | — | -0.56 | -5254.00% | -8253.00% | -1931.00% | 22.47% | — | 4.95% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 604.87% | 55.02 | 3.15 | 10.72 | 0.13 |
| ACRE | Ares Commercial Real Esta… | $5.02 | 277.95M | +467% | +27% | — | — | -316.42 | 0.56 | 3.34 | 18.57 | — | 0.58 | 57.36% | 72.39% | -1.06% | -0.17% | 3.89% | -0.05% | 2.06 | 0.95 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 14.51 | -9744.00% | -279.00% | -4452.00% | 6.91% | 0.02 | 1.24% | 13.67% | -4324.90% | 45.34% | 21.10 | 66.09 | 15.27 | -0.53 |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp. | $11.21 | 12.43B | +1,109% | -36% | — | — | 6.81 | 0.92 | 5.95 | 23.73 | 11.73 | 0.96 | 100.00% | 236.30% | 87.34% | 15.08% | 7.42% | 1.64% | 8.21 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 21.31 | 5806.00% | -6079.00% | 65930.00% | 5.74% | 0.01 | 1.07% | 14.08% | 95.90% | 14.08% | 24.66 | 170.64 | 58.28 | -0.96 |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT, … | $17.95 | 2.01B | +1,612% | -22% | — | +8,183% | 7.93 | 0.74 | 1.29 | 20.27 | — | 0.74 | 97.02% | 73.91% | 24.72% | 11.69% | 9.00% | 1.23% | 7.94 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 18.53 | -74706.00% | 44408.00% | -5250.00% | 7.40% | 0.01 | 1.16% | 16.89% | 133.90% | 18.08% | 20.27 | 157.46 | 14.98 | -0.96 |
| BXMT | Blackstone Mortgage Trust… | $19.21 | 3.24B | +331% | -59% | — | — | — | 0.96 | 2.21 | 16.36 | — | 0.99 | 76.86% | 71.65% | 7.20% | 0.00% | 5.49% | 0.00% | 4.62 | 1.10 | 8.71 | 8.71 | 13.48 | -15470.00% | -1396.00% | -2460.00% | 8.21% | 0.13 | 1.44% | 9.61% | — | 12.87% | 17.51 | 69.18 | 12.55 | 1.21 |
| CIM | Chimera Investment Corpor… | $13.61 | 1.13B | +899% | +24% | +118% | +4,369% | 4.23 | 0.44 | 1.37 | 17.51 | 2.82 | 0.44 | 94.87% | 93.16% | 28.08% | 10.45% | 5.44% | 1.84% | 5.08 | 1.38 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 16.09 | 15000.00% | 21822.00% | -22101.00% | -22.07% | -0.04 | -1.79% | 7.63% | 32.30% | 7.63% | 18.20 | -55.93 | 16.96 | -0.34 |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital … | $8.43 | 598.07M | +1,377% | +300,655% | +133% | +5,715% | 5.47 | 0.70 | 1.63 | 19.05 | 4.04 | 0.70 | 96.67% | 94.54% | 29.82% | 13.25% | 5.39% | 1.67% | 7.05 | 1.46 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 17.32 | 13538.00% | 32702.00% | -1424.00% | 28.34% | 0.03 | 2.64% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.05 | 38.94 | 18.01 | -1.50 |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital, In… | $7.44 | 1.13B | +1,444% | -31% | — | +3,701% | 6.02 | 0.70 | 5.33 | 22.54 | 5.29 | 0.70 | 97.78% | 88.59% | 88.59% | 15.59% | 2.83% | 1.83% | 7.47 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 20.48 | 11379.00% | 22995.00% | 7980.00% | 12.58% | 0.01 | 2.14% | 18.69% | 112.50% | 18.69% | 65.88 | 86.98 | 58.36 | -0.86 |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp. | $10.05 | 5.59B | +275% | +3,965% | +78% | +227% | 45.27 | 0.68 | 1.00 | 32.11 | — | 0.87 | 90.48% | 44.56% | 11.98% | 1.55% | 5.97% | 0.25% | 4.70 | 5.76 | 0.46 | 1.41 | 27.90 | -3772.00% | 1999.00% | -6708.00% | -13.38% | -0.19 | -2.02% | 2.01% | 90.80% | 2.88% | 17.16 | -57.01 | 7.65 | 0.29 |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust, … | $17.81 | 6.6B | +115% | -56% | +43% | -95% | 13.69 | 0.89 | 3.23 | 14.96 | 153.30 | 0.99 | 80.51% | 76.20% | 21.89% | 6.70% | 6.13% | 0.70% | 3.27 | 1.12 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 11.82 | 893.00% | -788.00% | 5806.00% | 16.12% | 0.36 | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 19.17 | 28.08 | 14.61 | 0.14 |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investment Co… | $10.33 | 1.09B | +746% | +219% | — | — | -2.34 | 0.59 | 1.12 | 5.39 | — | -1.68 | 98.66% | 44.15% | -47.70% | -23.24% | 14.27% | -3.94% | 4.79 | 0.86 | 0.19 | 0.97 | 18.36 | -28397.00% | 1260.00% | -11734.00% | -1.42% | 0.01 | -0.51% | 20.91% | -49.00% | 21.08% | 5.39 | -150.52 | 2.38 | -1.01 |
About Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, engages in mortgage finance and corporate middle market lending. The company invests in agency mortgage-backed securities, mortgage servicing rights, Agency commercial mortgage-backed securities, non-Agency residential mortgage assets, residential mortgage loans, credit risk transfer securities, corporate debts, and other commercial real estate investments. It has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT). As a REIT, it is not subject to federal income tax to the extent that it distributes its taxable income to its shareholders. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in New York, New York.
- CEO
- David L. Finkelstein
- Employees
- 191
- Beta
- 1.30
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($9.28 ÷ $22.82) − 1 = -59.33% (DCF, example).