US · AL
Air Lease Corporation
- Sector
- Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
- Headquarters
- Los Angeles, CA 90067
- Website
- airleasecorp.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
—
Market cap 7.26B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $80.98 | — |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $35.04 | — |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $105.41 | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $176.13 | — |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $20.66 | ||||
| 2012 | $24.39 | $113.15 | $0.00 | $29.63 | $128.32 |
| 2013 | $31.24 | $54.76 | $3.88 | $33.11 | $74.45 |
| 2014 | $31.61 | $50.61 | $2.15 | $37.87 | $74.08 |
| 2015 | $26.92 | $50.86 | $3.96 | $39.39 | $58.83 |
| 2016 | $33.49 | $56.68 | $4.76 | $48.14 | $85.47 |
| 2017 | $38.17 | $57.86 | $9.60 | $72.14 | $107.24 |
| 2018 | $31.10 | $67.18 | $10.08 | $60.69 | $84.95 |
| 2019 | $31.24 | $73.92 | $11.30 | $67.11 | $143.04 |
| 2020 | $47.56 | $84.50 | $4.75 | $65.09 | $36.92 |
| 2021 | $34.78 | $78.63 | $13.17 | $67.25 | $44.31 |
| 2022 | $37.19 | $80.76 | $6.83 | $38.40 | $0.00 |
| 2023 | $42.35 | $95.39 | $5.65 | $74.55 | $128.70 |
| 2024 | $45.20 | $95.86 | $4.98 | $67.84 | $37.85 |
| 2025 | $64.70 | $80.98 | $15.51 | $105.41 | $176.13 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Air Lease Corporation's (AL) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $80.98
- Current price
- —
- AI upside
- —
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$35.04
— upside
Graham-Dodd
$105.41
— upside
Graham Formula
$176.13
— upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| AL | Air Lease Corporation | $64.84 | 7.26B | +25% | -46% | +63% | +172% | 6.64 | 0.85 | 2.40 | 9.64 | 3.71 | 0.85 | 59.43% | 50.53% | 36.09% | 13.60% | 4.40% | 3.34% | 2.33 | 1.71 | 0.93 | 0.55 | 7.01 | 17898.00% | 1032.00% | -4247.00% | -22.96% | 0.73 | -6.03% | 1.97% | 13.10% | 8.53% | 17.38 | -15.97 | 8.78 | 0.63 |
| ADT | ADT Inc. | $8.02 | 6.14B | +396% | -51% | — | -9% | 13.65 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 5.15 | 163.83 | -1.15 | 50.71% | 25.15% | 10.23% | 13.20% | 8.14% | 3.13% | 2.05 | 2.79 | 0.80 | 0.49 | 2.71 | 833.00% | 528.00% | 10228.00% | 25.16% | 1.49 | 14.95% | 2.66% | 36.40% | 9.34% | 11.72 | 8.39 | 2.95 | 0.58 |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | $52.31 | 7.67B | -9% | -51% | -66% | — | -168.93 | 2.66 | 0.56 | -24.13 | — | 2.66 | -0.77% | -2.34% | -0.33% | -1.42% | -11.02% | -0.59% | 0.33 | -8.64 | 1.91 | 1.77 | 4.35 | -10252.00% | -497.00% | -16581.00% | -5.07% | -0.11 | -33.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.75% | -16.29 | -13.53 | 0.38 | 3.75 |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporatio… | $116.43 | 7.08B | -32% | +127% | -79% | -14% | 29.48 | 5.26 | 3.33 | 18.61 | 202.32 | 19.17 | 28.10% | 16.37% | 11.31% | 19.20% | 16.64% | 11.86% | 0.43 | 25.31 | 3.02 | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1457.00% | 1714.00% | 1909.00% | 3.12% | 0.90 | 13.93% | 0.47% | 13.80% | 1.02% | 21.86 | 34.35 | 3.58 | 6.78 |
| GATX | GATX Corporation | $184.17 | 6.57B | -17% | -47% | -55% | -12% | 20.26 | 2.41 | 3.82 | 14.66 | 117.60 | 2.53 | 48.58% | 30.69% | 19.15% | 12.63% | 4.27% | 2.14% | 4.66 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 7.93 | 1722.00% | 977.00% | -3625.00% | -10.30% | 0.16 | -6.51% | 1.35% | 27.40% | 5.09% | 27.07 | -21.15 | 8.31 | 0.80 |
| LOAR | Loar Holdings Inc. | $70.79 | 6.63B | -15% | -55% | -92% | -67% | 93.80 | 5.76 | 13.64 | 42.58 | 44.14 | -15.38 | 52.66% | 23.71% | 14.54% | 6.38% | 8.69% | 4.15% | 0.01 | 4.59 | 4.70 | 2.72 | -0.45 | 21250.00% | 2320.00% | 11531.00% | 1.47% | 1.77 | 8.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.48% | 56.90 | 67.46 | 13.49 | 5.36 |
| PONY | Pony AI Inc. American Dep… | $14.34 | 5.05B | +80% | -43% | — | — | -6.34 | 1.83 | 23.16 | -3.63 | -8.87 | 1.82 | 15.20% | -380.57% | -365.37% | -33.55% | -177.48% | -30.51% | 0.01 | — | 11.77 | 11.03 | 1.88 | 7143.00% | 435.00% | 150.00% | -7.03% | -1.56 | -75.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.96% | -3.52 | -8.23 | 13.41 | 11.03 |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | $221.56 | 8.74B | +9% | -60% | -76% | -55% | 18.47 | 3.03 | 0.73 | 5.33 | 219.71 | 6.22 | 19.77% | 8.57% | 3.94% | 16.24% | 6.79% | 3.03% | 2.84 | 2.69 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 2.55 | 841.00% | 23.00% | -20981.00% | 4.96% | 0.93 | 3.93% | 1.57% | 28.90% | 9.86% | 16.33 | 38.64 | 1.40 | 1.61 |
| RYAAY | Ryanair Holdings plc | $67.49 | 35.43B | -29% | +1,067% | -73% | -40% | 16.44 | 3.76 | 1.90 | 8.23 | — | 3.84 | 19.00% | 11.17% | 11.55% | 22.00% | 23.44% | 9.29% | 0.38 | 23.43 | 0.74 | 0.50 | -0.39 | -1284.00% | 375.00% | 14324.00% | 7.03% | 0.42 | 31.04% | 1.65% | 27.20% | 7.43% | 16.18 | 13.53 | 1.81 | 2.91 |
| SSD | Simpson Manufacturing Co.… | $193.57 | 8.03B | -12% | -59% | -60% | -46% | 23.33 | 3.97 | 3.45 | 14.94 | 277.01 | 7.43 | 45.85% | 18.97% | 14.79% | 17.96% | 15.49% | 11.88% | 0.28 | — | 3.54 | 1.80 | 0.33 | 842.00% | 451.00% | 8860.00% | 3.70% | 1.20 | 13.96% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 18.59 | 27.65 | 3.53 | 6.27 |
| TTC | The Toro Company | $98.86 | 9.67B | -31% | -64% | -97% | -79% | 28.03 | 6.10 | 1.96 | 17.26 | — | 14.48 | 33.36% | 10.89% | 7.01% | 21.04% | 18.16% | 9.00% | 0.70 | 8.31 | 1.87 | 0.79 | 1.23 | -2095.00% | -160.00% | 2399.00% | 6.53% | 0.73 | 25.54% | 1.71% | 47.80% | 6.79% | 19.43 | 16.50 | 2.12 | 5.30 |
About Air Lease Corporation
Air Lease Corporation, an aircraft leasing company, engages in the purchase and leasing of commercial jet aircraft to airlines worldwide. It also sells aircraft from its operating lease portfolio to third parties, including other leasing companies, financial services companies, airlines, and other investors. In addition, the company provides fleet management services to investors and owners of aircraft portfolios. As of December 31, 2021, it owned a fleet of 382 aircraft, including 278 narrowbody aircraft and 104 widebody aircraft. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.
- CEO
- John L. Plueger
- Employees
- 165
- Beta
- 1.13
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($35.04 ÷ —) − 1 = — (DCF, example).