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Intrinsic ValueSekisui House, Ltd. (1928.T)

Previous Close¥3,438.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥3,438.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Sekisui House, Ltd. is a leading Japanese residential construction company with a diversified portfolio spanning custom-built homes, rental housing, condominiums, and urban redevelopment projects. The company operates across multiple segments, including architectural and civil engineering, remodeling, and real estate management, catering to both domestic and international markets. Its core revenue model is driven by design-build contracts, property sales, and recurring income from leasing and management services. Sekisui House holds a strong position in Japan's housing sector, leveraging its vertically integrated operations to maintain quality control and cost efficiency. The company also actively pursues sustainable construction practices, aligning with global environmental standards, which enhances its competitive edge in urban development and high-demand housing markets. With a long-standing reputation since its founding in 1929, Sekisui House benefits from brand trust and operational scale, positioning it as a key player in Japan's consumer cyclical sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Sekisui House reported revenue of JPY 4.06 trillion for FY 2025, with net income of JPY 217.7 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.4%. The company's operating cash flow stood at JPY 62.9 billion, though capital expenditures of JPY -76.7 billion indicate significant reinvestment in growth initiatives. These figures highlight steady profitability despite the capital-intensive nature of the construction industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of JPY 335.84 underscores its earnings capability, supported by efficient project execution and diversified revenue streams. While total debt of JPY 1.9 trillion suggests leverage, the JPY 390.3 billion in cash reserves provides liquidity for ongoing operations and strategic investments. The balance between debt and cash reflects prudent financial management in a cyclical sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Sekisui House maintains a robust balance sheet with JPY 390.3 billion in cash and equivalents, offset by total debt of JPY 1.9 trillion. The company's market capitalization of JPY 2.09 trillion indicates investor confidence, while its low beta of 0.429 suggests relative stability compared to broader market volatility. The debt load is manageable given its asset base and recurring income streams.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated consistent growth through its diversified segments, particularly in urban redevelopment and overseas expansion. A dividend per share of JPY 135 reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, supported by stable cash flows. Future growth may hinge on international ventures and Japan's housing demand dynamics, including demographic shifts and sustainability trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 2.09 trillion, Sekisui House trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 9.6x based on FY 2025 earnings. The valuation reflects moderate expectations, balancing Japan's aging population challenges with opportunities in urban renewal and sustainable housing. Investors likely price in steady performance rather than hyper-growth, given the sector's maturity.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Sekisui House benefits from its integrated business model, brand equity, and focus on sustainable construction. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on Japan's urban redevelopment needs and overseas demand for quality housing. However, macroeconomic factors, including interest rates and demographic trends, will influence its long-term trajectory. Strategic investments in technology and green building practices could further solidify its market leadership.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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