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Intrinsic ValueNH Foods Ltd. (2282.T)

Previous Close¥6,968.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥6,968.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

NH Foods Ltd. operates as a diversified meat and food processing company with a strong presence in Japan and international markets. Its core revenue streams stem from three key divisions: Processed Foods, Fresh Meats, and Affiliated Businesses. The Processed Foods division, featuring brands like SCHAU ESSEN and Utsukushi-no-Kuni, specializes in premium hams, sausages, and deli items, catering to retail and foodservice channels. The Fresh Meats division manages the full supply chain from livestock production to distribution, ensuring quality control and traceability. The Affiliated Business segment diversifies into marine products, dairy (ROLF cheese, Luna yogurt), and health foods, targeting supermarkets, bakeries, and convenience stores. NH Foods holds a competitive edge through vertical integration, brand recognition, and a focus on food safety, positioning it as a leader in Japan's packaged foods sector. Its multi-channel distribution and R&D-driven product innovation further solidify its market share in a defensive industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

NH Foods reported revenue of JPY 1.30 trillion for FY2024, with net income of JPY 28.1 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.2%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 86.6 billion, indicating efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of JPY 48.5 billion suggest ongoing investments in production capacity and technology, aligning with its vertically integrated model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company generated diluted EPS of JPY 273.7, supported by stable demand in its core processed and fresh meat segments. Its capital efficiency is underscored by a disciplined approach to capex, with operating cash flow covering 1.8x capital expenditures, indicating sustainable reinvestment without overleveraging.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

NH Foods maintains a conservative balance sheet with JPY 65.5 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of JPY 214.9 billion. The debt level appears manageable given its steady cash flow generation and defensive industry positioning. Liquidity remains adequate to support operations and strategic initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by product innovation and expansion in higher-margin processed foods, though the fresh meat segment faces cyclical pressures. The company pays a dividend of JPY 135 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns, with a payout ratio that balances reinvestment needs and income distribution.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 500.5 billion and a beta of 0.19, NH Foods is valued as a low-volatility defensive stock. The modest earnings multiple suggests market expectations of steady, albeit slow, growth in line with Japan's mature food industry.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NH Foods benefits from brand loyalty, vertical integration, and a diversified product portfolio. Challenges include input cost volatility and demographic shifts in Japan. The outlook remains stable, with opportunities in export markets and health-focused product lines offsetting domestic saturation risks.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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