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Intrinsic ValueNichirei Corporation (2871.T)

Previous Close¥1,912.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,912.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Nichirei Corporation operates as a diversified Japanese conglomerate with core operations in processed foods, marine products, meat and poultry, logistics, real estate, and biosciences. The company’s processed foods segment, a key revenue driver, includes frozen foods, wellness products, and retort-pouch meals, catering to Japan’s demand for convenience and quality. Its logistics division provides refrigerated warehousing and transport services, leveraging Japan’s stringent cold-chain requirements. In biosciences, Nichirei focuses on cell biotechnology and functional materials, positioning itself at the intersection of food science and advanced research. The company’s real estate arm manages office spaces and housing developments, benefiting from urban demand in Tokyo. Nichirei’s vertically integrated model—spanning production, distribution, and storage—enhances its resilience in the competitive packaged foods sector. With a legacy dating back to 1942, the firm maintains a strong domestic presence while exploring niche export opportunities for its frozen and marine products.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Nichirei reported revenue of JPY 680.1 billion for FY 2024, with net income of JPY 24.5 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.6%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 62.4 billion, supported by stable demand in its core segments. Capital expenditures of JPY 26.7 billion indicate ongoing investments in logistics infrastructure and production capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of JPY 191.8 underscores its ability to generate earnings despite Japan’s deflationary pressures. Its capital efficiency is evident in the balance between reinvestment (capex at 4% of revenue) and cash flow generation, though debt levels warrant monitoring.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Nichirei holds JPY 31.3 billion in cash against total debt of JPY 98 billion, resulting in a moderate leverage position. The liquidity profile remains manageable, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations. The logistics and real estate assets provide collateral strength.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by processed foods and logistics. The dividend payout of JPY 61.5 per share aligns with a conservative but shareholder-friendly policy, offering a yield in line with Japanese consumer defensive peers.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of JPY 460.9 billion, Nichirei trades at ~19x net income, reflecting its stable cash flows and defensive sector positioning. The low beta (0.32) indicates resilience to market volatility.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Nichirei’s integrated supply chain and diversified revenue streams mitigate sector-specific risks. Focus on premium frozen foods and biosciences R&D could unlock long-term growth, though demographic challenges in Japan may temper upside.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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