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Intrinsic ValueCyberAgent, Inc. (4751.T)

Previous Close¥1,400.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,400.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

CyberAgent, Inc. operates as a diversified digital services company in Japan, with core segments spanning media, internet advertising, gaming, and venture investments. Its media arm, Abema, combines linear TV and on-demand streaming, competing with traditional broadcasters and digital platforms. The company’s advertising business leverages proprietary ad tech to serve brands and agencies, while its gaming division develops and publishes mobile titles. CyberAgent’s venture capital arm, CyberAgent Ventures, invests in early-stage tech startups, creating synergies with its core operations. The firm holds a strong position in Japan’s digital ecosystem, though it faces competition from global giants like Google and local players such as Line. Its hybrid media model and diversified revenue streams provide resilience, but reliance on domestic markets exposes it to Japan’s economic fluctuations. The company’s strategic focus on high-growth areas like streaming and gaming aligns with broader digital consumption trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

CyberAgent reported revenue of JPY 803 billion for FY 2024, with net income of JPY 16.2 billion, reflecting a modest net margin of approximately 2%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 53.2 billion, though capital expenditures of JPY 20.9 billion indicate ongoing investments in content and technology. The diluted EPS of JPY 29.48 suggests moderate earnings power relative to its market cap.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings are driven by its advertising and gaming segments, with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures comfortably. However, the net income margin remains thin, highlighting competitive pressures and high content costs in its media business. Capital efficiency is supported by its venture investments, which may yield long-term returns but introduce volatility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

CyberAgent maintains a robust balance sheet with JPY 210 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of JPY 106.8 billion, indicating strong liquidity. The debt-to-equity ratio appears manageable, though the company’s aggressive growth strategy in media and gaming could necessitate further borrowing or equity issuance.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, supported by digital advertising and gaming demand. The dividend per share of JPY 16 reflects a conservative payout ratio, prioritizing reinvestment over shareholder returns. Future growth may hinge on Abema’s ability to scale and monetize its user base, as well as the performance of its gaming portfolio.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 718 billion, the stock trades at a P/E multiple of approximately 44, suggesting high expectations for future earnings growth. The beta of 0.56 indicates lower volatility relative to the broader market, possibly due to its diversified operations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CyberAgent’s strengths lie in its integrated digital ecosystem and early-stage investment pipeline. However, its reliance on Japan’s advertising and gaming markets poses concentration risks. The outlook depends on its ability to innovate in streaming and monetize its ventures, while navigating regulatory and competitive headwinds.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

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